0x43cb4Ae1f4dDC9E671486C79c9F40A6fd98B84Df-1761656284271
0x43cb4ae1f4ddc9e671486c79c9f40a6fd98b84df
- Realised P&L
- $63.5k
- Volume
- $13.07M
- Markets traded
- 43,992
- Open portfolio
- $114.8k
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar0.5%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- BlockerMarkets traded43,992
- Far too many to mirror. This is automated flow across the whole venue, not a set of considered positions — copying it means rebuilding their infrastructure, at which point you are not copying anyone.
- CautionProfit concentration44.6% from one position
- Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)70.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration18.2% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$35.7kat 0.049Will Elon Musk post 360-379 tweets from February 3 to February 10, 2026?
- +$26.7kat 0.330Will Elon Musk post 340-359 tweets from March 3 to March 10, 2026?
- +$21.1kat 0.122Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the second round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election by less than 4%?
- +$16.8kat 0.652Will Elon Musk post 320-339 tweets from March 13 to March 20, 2026?
- +$16.1kat 0.641Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on July 31?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11-01 21:25 | Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 Texas Senate election by 12% or more? | BUY | 0.981 | $38.26 |
| 11-01 21:25 | Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 Texas Senate election by 12% or more? | BUY | 0.997 | $38.88 |
| 11-01 21:25 | Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 Texas Senate election by 9%-12%? | BUY | 0.977 | $38.10 |
| 11-01 21:25 | Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 Texas Senate election by 6%-9%? | BUY | 0.99 | $38.61 |
| 11-01 21:25 | Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 Texas Senate election by 9%-12%? | BUY | 0.999 | $38.96 |
| 11-01 21:25 | Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 Texas Senate election by 0%-3%? | BUY | 0.85 | $33.15 |
| 11-01 21:25 | Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 Texas Senate election by 0%-3%? | BUY | 0.73 | $28.47 |
| 11-01 21:25 | Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 Texas Senate election by 3%-6%? | BUY | 0.67 | $26.13 |
| 11-01 21:25 | Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 Texas Senate election by 6%-9%? | BUY | 0.856 | $33.38 |
| 11-01 21:21 | Will GPT Astra 6.1+ be released between November 9 and November 15, 2026? | BUY | 0.16 | $3.92 |
| 11-01 21:20 | Next Astra Model (6.1+) released by November 15, 2026? | BUY | 0.30645 | $30.64 |
| 11-01 21:20 | Will GPT Astra 6.1+ be released between November 9 and November 15, 2026? | BUY | 0.16 | $13.93 |
| 11-01 21:20 | Will GPT Astra 6.1+ be released between November 2 and November 8, 2026? | BUY | 0.485 | $48.50 |
| 11-01 21:20 | Next Astra Model (6.1+) released by November 15, 2026? | BUY | 0.3 | $7.35 |
| 11-01 21:20 | Will GPT Astra 6.1+ be released between November 2 and November 8, 2026? | BUY | 0.485 | $11.88 |