PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

0x43cb4Ae1f4dDC9E671486C79c9F40A6fd98B84Df-1761656284271

0x43cb4ae1f4ddc9e671486c79c9f40a6fd98b84df

Realised P&L
$77.7k
Volume
$11.71M
Markets traded
34,109
Open portfolio
$88.7k

Can you copy this trader?

unrealisticMultiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar0.7%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
BlockerMarkets traded34,109
Far too many to mirror. This is automated flow across the whole venue, not a set of considered positions — copying it means rebuilding their infrastructure, at which point you are not copying anyone.
BlockerProfit concentration66.8% from one position
Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)94.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration42.3% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will J.D. Vance win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? · Yes0.5000.512$35.9k+$875.00
Will J.D. Vance win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? · No0.5000.487$34.1k$875.00
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on September 30? · Yes0.8330.914$2.3k+$203.64
Will Anthropic have the highest IPO Market Cap 2026? · Yes0.5980.544$1.7k$169.05
Will SpaceX have the highest IPO Market Cap 2026? · Yes0.3540.455$1.4k+$315.78
Reserve Bank of Australia increases interest rates by 25 bps at the September 2026 meeting? · Yes0.6100.855$943.74+$270.09
Will no qualifying diplomatic US-Iran meeting occur by September 30, 2026? · Yes0.9300.934$848.68+$4.15
Will the Danube River return to normal levels between September 15 and September 30, 2026? · Yes0.4220.620$728.93+$232.82
Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of September 2026? · Yes0.8380.967$485.77+$64.60
Will the Rhine River return to normal levels between October 1 and October 31, 2026? · Yes0.4630.535$386.72+$51.70
Will the Danube River return to normal levels between October 1 and October 31, 2026? · Yes0.2990.265$299.48$38.71
Trump meets with Putin by December 31? · Yes0.6350.640$278.40+$2.22
Will the Rhine River fail to return to normal levels before November 1, 2026? · Yes0.2890.375$270.81+$62.08
Will CDU win less than 8% of all valid second votes? · Yes0.7510.825$231.00+$20.60
Will Anthropic have the best Math AI model at the end of September 2026? · Yes0.7800.895$217.50+$27.98

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
09-17 04:21Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 27°C on September 17?BUY0.51$4.08
09-17 04:21Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 29°C on September 17?BUY0.06$0.48
09-17 04:21Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 28°C on September 17?BUY0.4$3.20
09-17 04:19Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 28°C on September 17?BUY0.31956$3.20
09-17 04:19Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 29°C on September 17?BUY0.06$0.60
09-17 04:19Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 27°C on September 17?BUY0.6$2.05
09-17 04:14Bank of Japan increases interest rates by 25 bps after the October 2026 meeting?BUY0.36$7.20
09-17 04:14Bank of Japan decreases interest rates by 25 bps after the October 2026 meeting?BUY0.005$0.10
09-17 04:14Bank of Japan decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after the October 2026 meeting?BUY0.002$0.04
09-17 04:14Bank of Japan increases interest rates by 50+ bps after the October 2026 meeting?BUY0.007$0.14
09-17 04:11Will NYC Mayor post 140-159 posts from September 11 to September 18, 2026?BUY0.007$0.10
09-17 04:11Will NYC Mayor post 160-179 posts from September 11 to September 18, 2026?BUY0.002$0.03
09-17 04:11Will NYC Mayor post 100-119 posts from September 11 to September 18, 2026?BUY0.007$0.10
09-17 04:11Will NYC Mayor post 80-99 posts from September 11 to September 18, 2026?BUY0.007$0.10
09-17 04:11Will NYC Mayor post 60-79 posts from September 11 to September 18, 2026?BUY0.005$0.07