0x43cb4Ae1f4dDC9E671486C79c9F40A6fd98B84Df-1761656284271
0x43cb4ae1f4ddc9e671486c79c9f40a6fd98b84df
- Realised P&L
- $77.7k
- Volume
- $11.71M
- Markets traded
- 34,109
- Open portfolio
- $88.7k
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar0.7%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- BlockerMarkets traded34,109
- Far too many to mirror. This is automated flow across the whole venue, not a set of considered positions — copying it means rebuilding their infrastructure, at which point you are not copying anyone.
- BlockerProfit concentration66.8% from one position
- Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)94.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration42.3% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$35.7kat 0.049Will Elon Musk post 360-379 tweets from February 3 to February 10, 2026?
- +$26.7kat 0.330Will Elon Musk post 340-359 tweets from March 3 to March 10, 2026?
- +$16.8kat 0.652Will Elon Musk post 320-339 tweets from March 13 to March 20, 2026?
- +$16.1kat 0.641Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on July 31?
- +$13.7kat 0.523Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from March 27 to April 3, 2026?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-17 04:21 | Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 27°C on September 17? | BUY | 0.51 | $4.08 |
| 09-17 04:21 | Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 29°C on September 17? | BUY | 0.06 | $0.48 |
| 09-17 04:21 | Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 28°C on September 17? | BUY | 0.4 | $3.20 |
| 09-17 04:19 | Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 28°C on September 17? | BUY | 0.31956 | $3.20 |
| 09-17 04:19 | Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 29°C on September 17? | BUY | 0.06 | $0.60 |
| 09-17 04:19 | Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 27°C on September 17? | BUY | 0.6 | $2.05 |
| 09-17 04:14 | Bank of Japan increases interest rates by 25 bps after the October 2026 meeting? | BUY | 0.36 | $7.20 |
| 09-17 04:14 | Bank of Japan decreases interest rates by 25 bps after the October 2026 meeting? | BUY | 0.005 | $0.10 |
| 09-17 04:14 | Bank of Japan decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after the October 2026 meeting? | BUY | 0.002 | $0.04 |
| 09-17 04:14 | Bank of Japan increases interest rates by 50+ bps after the October 2026 meeting? | BUY | 0.007 | $0.14 |
| 09-17 04:11 | Will NYC Mayor post 140-159 posts from September 11 to September 18, 2026? | BUY | 0.007 | $0.10 |
| 09-17 04:11 | Will NYC Mayor post 160-179 posts from September 11 to September 18, 2026? | BUY | 0.002 | $0.03 |
| 09-17 04:11 | Will NYC Mayor post 100-119 posts from September 11 to September 18, 2026? | BUY | 0.007 | $0.10 |
| 09-17 04:11 | Will NYC Mayor post 80-99 posts from September 11 to September 18, 2026? | BUY | 0.007 | $0.10 |
| 09-17 04:11 | Will NYC Mayor post 60-79 posts from September 11 to September 18, 2026? | BUY | 0.005 | $0.07 |