Will George R. R. Martin announce "The Winds of Winter" in 2026?

Tick: 0.001
Min order: 5
Fees: 0.05 · 100 @ 0.50 = $1.25 · takers only
Ends: 2027-01-01

Price history

charttable

Yes. Currently 0.056. down 0.019 over the period, from 0.075. Range 0.054 to 0.095. 151 points.

Order book

Not connected

Yes

Live

Yes asks — sell orders. Worst price first; the best ask is the last row, nearest the spread.
Price	Size	Total
0.077	34	34
0.078	24	58
0.080	300	358
0.130	567	925
0.299	135	1,060
0.300	20	1,080
0.589	100	1,180
0.590	435	1,615
0.879	5	1,620
0.940	5	1,625
0.991	6	1,631
0.992	7	1,638

Spread0.043Mid0.056

Yes bids — buy orders. Best bid first, nearest the spread.
Price	Size	Total
0.034	36	36
0.030	39	75
0.029	33	108
0.028	98	206
0.027	220	426
0.026	1,010	1,436
0.025	5	1,441
0.021	5	1,446
0.017	5	1,451
0.013	32	1,483
0.012	60	1,543
0.010	11,506	13,049

No

Live

No asks — sell orders. Worst price first; the best ask is the last row, nearest the spread.
Price	Size	Total
0.966	36	36
0.970	39	75
0.971	33	108
0.972	98	206
0.973	220	426
0.974	1,010	1,436
0.975	5	1,441
0.979	5	1,446
0.983	5	1,451
0.987	32	1,483
0.988	60	1,543
0.990	11,506	13,049

Spread0.043Mid0.945

No bids — buy orders. Best bid first, nearest the spread.
Price	Size	Total
0.923	34	34
0.922	24	58
0.920	300	358
0.870	567	925
0.701	135	1,060
0.700	20	1,080
0.411	100	1,180
0.410	435	1,615
0.121	5	1,620
0.060	5	1,625
0.009	6	1,631
0.008	7	1,638

Top holders

Largest holders, grouped by outcome then position size. Up to 20 per outcome, measured in shares.
Holder	Outcome	Shares
miazagsc	Yes	1,802.46
MasonsConqueredRome	Yes	1,499.98
JonasB	Yes	561.51
thursdays	Yes	324
b41eAd279375742D6C2A1A2239Bdce56376411fD.	Yes	135
Bthfdji	Yes	134.33
okakokak	Yes	93.38
cambridgeisaac	Yes	66.67
WTFECHO	Yes	65.41
voep0vkmgs9o	Yes	52
Winedrinker	Yes	49.98
0x30075bdF30D53C480278110c1Ce6c16DdBE7eC18-1767059261943	Yes	43.32
paulscoffin	Yes	41.67
0x209F300759a4125e6a044cd959d405aFaC691290-1782330022486	Yes	40.77
0x35df…cf97	Yes	38.46
0x8b6f1b3b6E6EFEcf1C9F1794415C44F7F9E60750-1773212659993	Yes	35.71
planktonXD	Yes	34.83
romanew-1-new	Yes	33.89
paas2	Yes	30
shleppy	Yes	28.57

Recent trades

Most recent trades on this market, newest first.
Time	Side	Outcome	Price	Size	Value
03:04:31	SELL	No	0.88	1	$0.99
20:12:43	SELL	Yes	0.068	16	$1.09
20:12:40	SELL	Yes	0.068	16	$1.09
20:12:34	SELL	Yes	0.068	16	$1.09
20:12:28	SELL	Yes	0.068	16	$1.09
20:12:25	SELL	Yes	0.068	16	$1.09
20:12:21	SELL	Yes	0.068	15	$1.02
17:33:58	SELL	Yes	0.04185	28	$1.17
08:13:38	SELL	Yes	0.051	28	$1.43
08:13:33	SELL	Yes	0.051	47	$2.40
03:01:33	SELL	No	0.87	50	$43.50
03:00:51	BUY	Yes	0.13	11	$1.43
03:00:20	BUY	Yes	0.0971428571	70	$6.80
02:59:44	BUY	Yes	0.1150038415	467	$53.70
02:59:41	BUY	Yes	0.0895406991	1,453	$130.06
08:12:14	SELL	No	0.91	1	$0.80
00:14:42	SELL	Yes	0.043	38	$1.61
22:15:24	BUY	Yes	0.05	15	$0.75
07:45:43	BUY	Yes	0.0952333317	50	$4.76
21:52:40	BUY	No	0.9529999958	5	$5.00
08:49:52	SELL	No	0.877	2	$2.10
03:09:10	SELL	No	0.8855	10	$8.86
04:07:19	SELL	Yes	0.042	5	$0.21
04:05:39	SELL	Yes	0.042	5	$0.21
08:13:43	SELL	No	0.883	2	$1.80