PolyBot

Read-only · no wallet, no orders

Traders

b41eAd279375742D6C2A1A2239Bdce56376411fD.

0xb41ead279375742d6c2a1a2239bdce56376411fd

Realised P&L
$10.3k
Volume
$2.24M
Markets traded
18,770
Open portfolio
$7.9k

Can you copy this trader?

unrealisticMultiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar0.5%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
BlockerMarkets traded18,770
Far too many to mirror. This is automated flow across the whole venue, not a set of considered positions — copying it means rebuilding their infrastructure, at which point you are not copying anyone.
ClearProfit concentration19.5% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)98.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration4.7% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will Blake Butera win the 2026 NL Manager of the Year? · Yes0.0470.269$55.31+$45.55
Will Matt DeLuca win the 2026 PLL Goalie of the Year? · Yes0.0560.347$51.08+$42.78
Will Joey Bosa play for Detroit Lions in 2026-27? · Yes0.0210.387$45.53+$43.02
Will Tyreek Hill play for the Kansas City Chiefs next? · Yes0.1160.349$33.59+$22.44
Will Abstract launch a token by December 31, 2027? · No0.5150.590$30.07+$3.80
Dreamcash FDV above $20M one day after launch? · No0.3300.480$29.48+$9.22
Will ByteDance's valuation hit (HIGH) $575B by August 31? · No0.5000.680$27.20+$7.20
Will Karmine Corp Qualify to VCT Champs 2026? · Yes0.0500.510$27.02+$24.37
Will Ethena reach $0.32 by December 31, 2026? · Yes0.1030.225$27.00+$14.60
California Higher Local Tax Vote Threshold Proposition · No0.4600.660$26.40+$8.00
Cambria FDV above $40M one day after launch? · Yes0.3270.415$24.88+$5.30
Will Tori launch a token by September 30, 2027? · No0.4600.620$24.80+$6.40
Will Caitlin Clark have the highest assists per game in the WNBA 2026 regular season? · No0.5500.600$24.00+$2.00
Will Carvana announce bankruptcy before 2027? · Yes0.2510.600$23.98+$13.94
Will SpaceX (SPCX) beat quarterly earnings? · No0.3700.590$23.60+$8.80

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
08-02 22:57IAEA visits Isfahan, Fordow, or Natanz nuclear site by August 31?BUY0.033$0.66
08-02 22:53IAEA visits Isfahan, Fordow, or Natanz nuclear site by August 31?BUY0.033$1.32
08-02 22:50IAEA visits Isfahan, Fordow, or Natanz nuclear site by August 31?BUY0.033$1.32
08-02 22:03Will the price of Ethereum be between $1,700 and $1,800 on August 4?BUY0.05$2.00
08-02 22:01Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (HIGH) $4,400 in August?BUY0.06$2.40
08-02 22:01Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (HIGH) $4,400 in August?BUY0.06$2.40
08-02 22:00California Tax Spend Audit PropositionSELL0.24$0.24
08-02 22:00Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $80 in August?BUY0.01$0.40
08-02 21:57Will "Ransom Canyon: Season 2" be the #2 global Netflix show this week?SELL0.07$0.03
08-02 21:55Will Moonshot be the third-best Code Arena | WebDev AI lab at the end of August 2026?BUY0.038$0.76
08-02 21:44Will Anthropic’s market cap be between 1.2T and 1.5T at market close on IPO day by December 31 2027?BUY0.063$0.32
08-02 21:27Will the next Prime Minister of Romania be an Independent or a Technocrat?SELL0.47$7.13
08-02 21:26Will Arc launch a token by September 30 2026?BUY0.028$1.12
08-02 21:14Will Jake Piseno win the 2026 PLL Long Stick Midfielder of the Year?BUY0.18$7.20
08-02 21:03Will SpaceX (SPCX) beat quarterly earnings?BUY0.37$14.80