PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

0xb11d09dc7589a01c770abdf4134df6c2f741a6c5

Realised P&L
not known
Volume
not known
Markets traded
92
Open portfolio
$2.99

Can you copy this trader?

plausible — No blocker visible in the public data. That is a reason to backtest it, not a reason to follow it.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

Not knownEdge per dollar—
No leaderboard entry for this wallet in the requested window.
ClearMarkets traded92
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
ClearProfit concentration11.6% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)58.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
CautionOpen concentration53.1% in top position
Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will George R. R. Martin announce "The Winds of Winter" in 2026? · Yes0.1400.056$1.59−$2.41
Will US withdraw from NATO before 2027? · Yes0.1250.018$1.40−$8.60
Will Hakainde Hichilema win the 2026 Zambian presidential elections? · No0.1260.000$0.00−$30.00
Will Vinson Watkins be the Republican nominee for Senate in Georgia? · Yes0.0100.000$0.00−$0.42
Will Bryan Johnson have sex again this month? · No0.3010.000$0.00−$5.00
Will Juan Manuel Galán win the 2026 Colombian presidential election? · Yes0.0300.000$0.00−$3.00
Will Claudia López win the 2026 Colombian presidential election? · Yes0.0040.000$0.00−$1.20

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
08-07 09:24Will Hakainde Hichilema win the 2026 Zambian presidential elections?BUY0.1258064482$30.00
07-26 03:22Will Iliana Iotova win the next Bulgarian presidential election?SELL0.54$12.85
07-15 12:49Will Mojtaba Khamenei be head of state in Iran end of 2026?SELL0.2164678475$5.62
06-16 07:10Will Dune 3 or Avengers: Doomsday gross more on their opening weekend?SELL0.1022326951$2.78
05-31 08:50Will Dune 3 or Avengers: Doomsday gross more on their opening weekend?SELL0.1539173323$7.71
05-06 10:47Will Xi Jinping purge Li Xi in 2026?SELL0.971$14.04
05-05 14:06Will Mojtaba Khamenei be head of state in Iran end of 2026?BUY0.3849999908$10.00
04-27 10:22Will Clavicular cry on stream by May 1, 2026BUY0.8299999967$5.00
04-27 10:21Will Clavicular cry on stream by May 1, 2026BUY0.8299999967$5.00
04-26 05:47Will George R. R. Martin announce "The Winds of Winter" in 2026?BUY0.1399999727$4.00
04-25 14:30Will Trump dance during WHCA Dinner on April 25?BUY0.7099998694$4.86
04-25 14:17Will Trump dance during WHCA Dinner on April 25?BUY0.699999993$9.70
04-24 23:33US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by May 31?SELL0.89$9.45
04-24 23:33Will Mallory McMorrow win the 2026 Michigan Democratic Primary?SELL0.4$9.28
04-22 11:10US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by May 31?BUY0.8499999906$9.03