okakokak
0x79c1d4e4ab909ed1022022cec60b9e959b7f497d
- Realised P&L
- $17.5k
- Volume
- $2.54M
- Markets traded
- 1,990
- Open portfolio
- $1.6k
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar0.7%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- CautionMarkets traded1,990
- High turnover. Following this needs automation and low latency, not judgement.
- ClearProfit concentration12.5% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)78.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration34.2% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$385.52at 0.775Will Elon Musk post 520-539 tweets from January 9 to January 16, 2026?
- +$379.14at 0.130Will Delta Air Lines (DAL) beat quarterly earnings?
- +$350.23at 0.764Will Trump and Machado share the Nobel Peace Prize?
- +$311.14at 0.148Will 2000 Meters to Andriivka be nominated for Best Documentary Feature at the 98th Academy Awards?
- +$297.61at 0.120Will Trump's approval rating be between 42.0 and 42.4 on January 16, 2026?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-09 13:37 | Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections? | BUY | 0.9099999999 | $243.58 |
| 06-16 10:50 | Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027? | BUY | 0.9099999999 | $202.81 |
| 05-24 12:15 | Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $4.0T by December 31? | BUY | 0.94 | $521.70 |
| 03-17 10:51 | Will the Iranian regime fall by April 30? | BUY | 0.84 | $98.64 |
| 02-06 10:32 | Will Trump nominate Judy Shelton as the next Fed chair? | BUY | 0.97 | $250.52 |
| 01-25 11:22 | Will Venezuela recognize Israel by June 30? | SELL | 0.16 | $6.41 |
| 01-25 11:00 | Will the 1st pick in the 2026 Pro Football draft be a QB? | SELL | 0.06 | $5.58 |
| 01-25 10:47 | Reya FDV above $300M one day after launch? | SELL | 0.72 | $18.00 |
| 01-25 10:46 | Will the Philadelphia 76ers make the NBA Playoffs? | SELL | 0.21 | $1.89 |
| 01-25 09:42 | Solstice FDV above $100M one day after launch? | SELL | 0.34 | $22.66 |
| 01-25 09:27 | Will Israel strike 3 countries in 2026? | SELL | 0.8 | $11.64 |
| 01-25 09:23 | Will Silver (SI) settle over $65 on the final trading day of January 2026? | SELL | 0.007 | $0.35 |
| 01-25 06:21 | Will India strike Pakistan by March 31? | SELL | 0.1 | $8.78 |
| 01-25 05:44 | Will India strike Pakistan by March 31? | SELL | 0.1 | $0.57 |
| 01-25 04:24 | US congress stock trading ban before 2027? | SELL | 0.72 | $16.54 |