PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

okakokak

0x79c1d4e4ab909ed1022022cec60b9e959b7f497d

Realised P&L
$17.5k
Volume
$2.54M
Markets traded
1,990
Open portfolio
$1.6k

Can you copy this trader?

difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar0.7%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
CautionMarkets traded1,990
High turnover. Following this needs automation and low latency, not judgement.
ClearProfit concentration12.5% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)78.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration34.2% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $4.0T by December 31? · No0.9400.956$530.30+$8.60
Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections? · Yes0.9100.945$252.95+$9.37
Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027? · No0.9100.972$216.52+$13.71
Another US debt downgrade before 2027? · No0.5180.920$183.48+$80.05
Reya FDV above $300M one day after launch? · No0.7100.944$70.80+$17.55
Kylie Jenner and Timothée Chalamet engaged in 2026? · No0.6200.900$41.39+$12.88
Will the Republicans win the Kansas Senate race in 2026? · No0.1820.525$35.33+$23.07
Ahmed al-Sharaa out as leader of Syria by December 31, 2026? · No0.7400.957$25.84+$5.86
Will Lighter reach $6 before 2027? · Yes0.2480.290$23.25+$3.38
Hyperbeat FDV above $50M one day after launch? · Yes0.3650.067$12.21−$54.31
Israel and Syria normalize relations by December 31, 2026? · No0.7380.947$11.80+$2.60
Fed emergency rate cut before 2027? · No0.9000.976$9.76+$0.76
Will the Republicans win the Minnesota governor race in 2026? · No0.7820.978$8.93+$1.79
Reya FDV above $200M one day after launch? · Yes0.4750.056$8.87−$66.36
Remote IPO before 2027? · Yes0.1300.037$7.50−$18.50

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
10-09 13:37Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?BUY0.9099999999$243.58
06-16 10:50Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?BUY0.9099999999$202.81
05-24 12:15Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $4.0T by December 31?BUY0.94$521.70
03-17 10:51Will the Iranian regime fall by April 30?BUY0.84$98.64
02-06 10:32Will Trump nominate Judy Shelton as the next Fed chair?BUY0.97$250.52
01-25 11:22Will Venezuela recognize Israel by June 30?SELL0.16$6.41
01-25 11:00Will the 1st pick in the 2026 Pro Football draft be a QB? SELL0.06$5.58
01-25 10:47Reya FDV above $300M one day after launch?SELL0.72$18.00
01-25 10:46Will the Philadelphia 76ers make the NBA Playoffs?SELL0.21$1.89
01-25 09:42Solstice FDV above $100M one day after launch?SELL0.34$22.66
01-25 09:27Will Israel strike 3 countries in 2026?SELL0.8$11.64
01-25 09:23Will Silver (SI) settle over $65 on the final trading day of January 2026?SELL0.007$0.35
01-25 06:21Will India strike Pakistan by March 31?SELL0.1$8.78
01-25 05:44Will India strike Pakistan by March 31?SELL0.1$0.57
01-25 04:24US congress stock trading ban before 2027?SELL0.72$16.54