MasonsConqueredRome
0x357ecb1969b0a288d37e6a28223e620ef2082a0c
- Realised P&L
- $-83.2k
- Volume
- $11.70M
- Markets traded
- 974
- Open portfolio
- $26.5k
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.7%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded974
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration18.4% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)92.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration12.1% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$46.8kat 0.158LoL: Bilibili Gaming vs Vivo Keyd Stars - Game 2 Winner
- +$31.0kat 0.475Maduro out by January 31, 2026?
- +$26.0kat 0.447Will the Party for Freedom win the second most seats in the 2025 Netherlands parliamentary election?
- +$17.5kat 0.121Maduro in U.S. custody by January 31?
- +$15.4kat 0.140Will Barack Obama be named in newly released Epstein files?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06-08 04:26 | US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 7? | BUY | 0.999 | $20.8k |
| 04-21 18:14 | Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by May 15? | BUY | 0.999 | $41.5k |
| 04-08 20:57 | US forces enter Iran by December 31? | BUY | 0.998 | $24.6k |
| 03-04 19:42 | 2026 U.S. Senate Election: Republican Odds under 55% by March 31? | SELL | 0.6338627325 | $2.2k |
| 03-01 18:57 | Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz before 2027? | BUY | 0.602444186 | $1.2k |
| 03-01 18:42 | Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz by March 31? | BUY | 0.69 | $2.0k |
| 03-01 18:22 | Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by March 31? | BUY | 0.89 | $2.2k |
| 03-01 10:13 | Miguel Díaz-Canel out as leader of Cuba by March 31? | BUY | 0.8635403066 | $714.29 |
| 03-01 10:12 | Will UK strike Iran by March 31? | BUY | 0.8123363636 | $35.74 |
| 03-01 10:12 | Will another country strike Iran by March 31? | BUY | 0.5798327881 | $319.02 |
| 03-01 10:11 | Will Saudi Arabia strike Iran by March 31? | BUY | 0.7286034314 | $440.38 |
| 03-01 10:10 | Will UAE strike Iran by March 31? | BUY | 0.64 | $97.63 |
| 03-01 10:09 | Will Iran strike gulf oil facilities by March 31? | BUY | 0.4642250753 | $1.9k |
| 03-01 10:07 | Will another country strike Iran by March 31? | BUY | 0.5672507804 | $109.03 |
| 03-01 00:11 | Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by February 28? | BUY | 0.973 | $729.75 |