thursdays
0x04dcbd9b805b220a9b2d27e4d9e649ed07902387
- Realised P&L
- $9.3k
- Volume
- $1.78M
- Markets traded
- 2,536
- Open portfolio
- $8.0k
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar0.5%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- CautionMarkets traded2,536
- High turnover. Following this needs automation and low latency, not judgement.
- BlockerProfit concentration57.8% from one position
- Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)14.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration10.3% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$4.0kat 0.494Will monthly inflation increase by 0.3% in August?
- +$2.9kat 0.015Will annual inflation increase by ≤2.8% in November?
- +$2.6kat 0.489Will monthly inflation increase by 0.4% in September?
- +$2.4kat 0.563Will monthly inflation increase by 0.2% in June?
- +$2.4kat 0.788Will the federal government be shut down for 30 or more days in 2025?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08-01 03:39 | Will annual inflation be 3.3% in July? | BUY | 0.29 | $47.90 |
| 08-01 03:38 | Will annual inflation be 3.2% in July? | BUY | 0.0696367159 | $11.50 |
| 08-01 03:38 | Will annual inflation be 3.1% or less in July? | BUY | 0.054191814 | $8.95 |
| 07-31 22:00 | Will monthly inflation increase by 0.1% or more in July? | BUY | 0.36 | $89.83 |
| 07-31 22:00 | Will monthly inflation stay flat (0.0%) in July? | BUY | 0.72 | $179.66 |
| 07-31 02:59 | Will annual inflation be 3.2% in July? | BUY | 0.06 | $7.62 |
| 07-31 02:58 | Will annual inflation be 3.4% in July? | BUY | 0.6 | $161.54 |
| 07-27 13:10 | Will Trump announce Sara Brenner as the next FDA commissioner by December 31? | BUY | 0.929742562 | $22.50 |
| 07-26 13:29 | Will annual inflation be 3.3% in July? | BUY | 0.62 | $44.64 |
| 07-26 13:29 | Will annual inflation be 3.4% in July? | BUY | 0.64 | $46.08 |
| 07-26 13:29 | Will annual inflation be 3.5% in July? | BUY | 0.81 | $21.87 |
| 07-26 13:27 | Will annual inflation be 3.1% or less in July? | BUY | 0.027 | $7.33 |
| 07-26 13:27 | Will annual inflation be 3.2% in July? | BUY | 0.0444285714 | $12.44 |
| 07-23 13:55 | Will OpenAI announce a clip-on device for clothing in 2026? | BUY | 0.1341176471 | $2.28 |
| 07-23 13:54 | Will the Democratic Party win the OH-10 House seat? | BUY | 0.8091394148 | $197.45 |