PolyBot

Read-only · no wallet, no orders

Traders

thursdays

0x04dcbd9b805b220a9b2d27e4d9e649ed07902387

Realised P&L
$9.3k
Volume
$1.78M
Markets traded
2,536
Open portfolio
$8.0k

Can you copy this trader?

unrealisticMultiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar0.5%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
CautionMarkets traded2,536
High turnover. Following this needs automation and low latency, not judgement.
BlockerProfit concentration57.8% from one position
Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)14.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration10.3% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
08-01 03:39Will annual inflation be 3.3% in July?BUY0.29$47.90
08-01 03:38Will annual inflation be 3.2% in July?BUY0.0696367159$11.50
08-01 03:38Will annual inflation be 3.1% or less in July?BUY0.054191814$8.95
07-31 22:00Will monthly inflation increase by 0.1% or more in July?BUY0.36$89.83
07-31 22:00Will monthly inflation stay flat (0.0%) in July?BUY0.72$179.66
07-31 02:59Will annual inflation be 3.2% in July?BUY0.06$7.62
07-31 02:58Will annual inflation be 3.4% in July?BUY0.6$161.54
07-27 13:10Will Trump announce Sara Brenner as the next FDA commissioner by December 31?BUY0.929742562$22.50
07-26 13:29Will annual inflation be 3.3% in July?BUY0.62$44.64
07-26 13:29Will annual inflation be 3.4% in July?BUY0.64$46.08
07-26 13:29Will annual inflation be 3.5% in July?BUY0.81$21.87
07-26 13:27Will annual inflation be 3.1% or less in July?BUY0.027$7.33
07-26 13:27Will annual inflation be 3.2% in July?BUY0.0444285714$12.44
07-23 13:55Will OpenAI announce a clip-on device for clothing in 2026?BUY0.1341176471$2.28
07-23 13:54Will the Democratic Party win the OH-10 House seat?BUY0.8091394148$197.45