0x69dbc5459c261f2c9871fb705abca057fe498bd3
- Realised P&L
- not known
- Volume
- not known
- Markets traded
- 4
- Open portfolio
- $7.46
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- Not knownEdge per dollar—
- No leaderboard entry for this wallet in the requested window.
- BlockerMarkets traded4
- Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
- Not knownProfit concentration—
- No settled positions sampled.
- Not knownSettled sample0 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- CautionOpen concentration100.0% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will George R. R. Martin announce "The Winds of Winter" in 2026? · Yes | 0.112 | 0.056 | $7.46 | −$7.54 |
| Will Moonshot have the best AI model at the end of July 2026? · Yes | 0.002 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$10.00 |
| Will Nigel Farage up his vote share in Clacton? · No | 0.049 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$10.00 |
| Will Count Binface win the Clacton by-election? · Yes | 0.041 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$10.00 |
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07-25 06:13 | Will Moonshot have the best AI model at the end of July 2026? | BUY | 0.002 | $10.00 |
| 07-25 06:11 | Will Nigel Farage up his vote share in Clacton? | BUY | 0.0493631679 | $10.00 |
| 07-25 06:09 | Will Count Binface win the Clacton by-election? | BUY | 0.0410000002 | $10.00 |
| 07-25 06:08 | Will George R. R. Martin announce "The Winds of Winter" in 2026? | BUY | 0.1116654233 | $15.00 |