PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

miazagsc

0xd517ff1a1b25cd0ef6b26498b29c80f81701382d

Realised P&L
$0.03
Volume
$10.98
Markets traded
3
Open portfolio
$926.46

Can you copy this trader?

unrealisticMultiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar0.2%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
BlockerMarkets traded3
Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
BlockerProfit concentration77.9% from one position
Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
CautionSettled sample3 positions
Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
Not knownWin rate (sample)66.7%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration22.0% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will Bitcoin reach $100,000 by December 31, 2026? · No0.7620.815$196.06+$12.64
Will Ethereum reach $3,500 by December 31, 2026? · Yes0.2250.245$145.57+$11.88
Will Bitcoin reach $100,000 by December 31, 2026? · Yes0.2720.185$134.31$63.14
Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? · Yes0.1870.160$42.20$7.25
Will Bitcoin reach $250,000 by December 31, 2026? · No0.9890.992$37.69+$0.08
Will 2026 be the hottest year on record? · Yes0.3670.740$34.08+$17.17
Opensea FDV above $500M one day after launch? · Yes0.2980.160$31.60$27.30
Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? · Yes0.1430.182$23.65+$5.16
Hantavirus pandemic in 2026? · Yes0.0720.028$18.96$31.08
Will BNB reach $1000 by December 31, 2026? · Yes0.3230.205$13.33$7.65
Counter-Strike: Drama eSports vs ReThink (BO1) - ESEA Advanced Europe Regular Season · ReThink0.5250.330$12.56$7.42
Will J.D. Vance win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? · Yes0.4960.512$12.54+$0.41
Will 2026 be the second-hottest year on record? · No0.4160.765$12.22+$5.58
Will Chicago Fire FC win the 2026 MLS Cup? · No0.9780.943$11.23$0.43
Will BNB reach $1300 by December 31, 2026? · No0.9200.900$10.80$0.24

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
09-17 21:18Will Renan Santos finish in third place in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?BUY0.5$1.00
09-15 14:28Will Marjorie Taylor Greene win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?SELL0.996$2.99
09-15 14:27Will Marjorie Taylor Greene win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?BUY0.9969999995$3.98
09-15 05:42Will no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?BUY0.9389999874$1.87
09-15 05:39Will no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?SELL0.938$1.88