0x8550b3faa71e487b470d72ffd1904fd1e7b7408b
- Realised P&L
- not known
- Volume
- not known
- Markets traded
- 4
- Open portfolio
- $2.31
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- Not knownEdge per dollar—
- No leaderboard entry for this wallet in the requested window.
- BlockerMarkets traded4
- Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
- BlockerProfit concentration100.0% from one position
- Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
- CautionSettled sample2 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)50.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration100.0% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will George R. R. Martin announce "The Winds of Winter" in 2026? · Yes | 0.120 | 0.056 | $2.31 | −$2.69 |
| Netanyahu out by March 31? · Yes | 0.010 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$10.00 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$3.52at 0.630Will Rachida Dati win the Paris mayor election?
- +$-14.00at 0.242Will Trump say "Antifa" this week? (February 1)
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06-11 19:13 | Will George R. R. Martin announce "The Winds of Winter" in 2026? | BUY | 0.1199999808 | $5.00 |
| 03-25 15:32 | Netanyahu out by March 31? | BUY | 0.01 | $10.00 |
| 01-30 22:50 | Will Trump say "Antifa" this week? (February 1) | BUY | 0.2416666556 | $14.00 |
| 01-30 22:49 | Will Rachida Dati win the Paris mayor election? | BUY | 0.6299999958 | $6.00 |