PolyBot

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Traders

cambridgeisaac

0xb51b3beffd13cde071ed799e70a7b0b598e8b4d9

Realised P&L
$66.2k
Volume
$7.28M
Markets traded
2,336
Open portfolio
$95.1k

Can you copy this trader?

difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar0.9%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
CautionMarkets traded2,336
High turnover. Following this needs automation and low latency, not judgement.
CautionProfit concentration36.1% from one position
Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)74.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration33.7% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
11-01 20:55US x Iran ceasefire continues through November 30?BUY0.38$400.00
11-01 20:54US x Iran ceasefire continues through November 15?BUY0.5199999999$1.5k
11-01 19:22US x Iran ceasefire continues through November 8?BUY0.7299999993$200.00
11-01 19:21US x Iran ceasefire continues through November 15?BUY0.5192023313$300.00
11-01 15:57Will Gadi Eizenkot be the next Prime Minister of Israel?SELL0.63$837.52
11-01 14:14Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?SELL0.36$450.19
10-31 22:57U.S. anti-cartel operation outside of the U.S. by October 31?BUY0.43$89.09
10-31 22:57U.S. anti-cartel operation outside of the U.S. by October 31?BUY0.423943176$215.02
10-31 22:34U.S. anti-cartel operation outside of the U.S. by October 31?BUY0.3799999996$100.00
10-31 22:32Massachusetts passes jungle primary ballot measure?BUY0.72$14.40
10-31 22:27Massachusetts passes jungle primary ballot measure?BUY0.6545312233$191.50
10-31 22:26Massachusetts passes jungle primary ballot measure?BUY0.64$58.30
10-31 20:38Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by November 30?BUY0.24$5.94
10-31 13:49US-Iran Hormuz Agreement by November 2?BUY0.072$36.00
10-31 10:32Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by December 31?BUY0.4$206.15