planktonXD
0x4ffe49ba2a4cae123536a8af4fda48faeb609f71
- Realised P&L
- $123.4k
- Volume
- $224.60M
- Markets traded
- 95,470
- Open portfolio
- $11.9k
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar0.1%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- BlockerMarkets traded95,470
- Far too many to mirror. This is automated flow across the whole venue, not a set of considered positions — copying it means rebuilding their infrastructure, at which point you are not copying anyone.
- ClearProfit concentration10.1% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)96.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration9.5% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$2.5kat 0.001S&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on January 29?
- +$2.3kat 0.006Syria strikes Israel by August 31?
- +$1.6kat 0.003Dota 2: Yangon Galacticos vs yache123 (BO3) - EPL World Series Southeast Asia Group Stage
- +$1.6kat 0.007Will Solana dip to $130 January 12-18?
- +$1.5kat 0.012Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 29°C on June 17?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08-02 22:30 | Will the price of Bitcoin be between $66,000 and $68,000 on August 4? | BUY | 0.04 | $0.20 |
| 08-02 22:05 | Will the Minnesota Twins clinch a spot in the 2026 MLB Postseason? | SELL | 0.27 | $11.07 |
| 08-02 21:57 | Will Trump praise Allah again by August 31? | BUY | 0.16 | $0.80 |
| 08-02 21:50 | Will Amazon have the best AI model at the end of September 2026? | BUY | 0.002 | $0.23 |
| 08-02 21:40 | Will Vinicius Junior join Arsenal? | SELL | 0.341 | $11.94 |
| 08-02 21:14 | Will "DTF St. Louis" win 4 or 5 awards at the Emmys? | SELL | 0.0524720497 | $8.45 |
| 08-02 20:35 | Will Amazon have the best AI model at the end of September 2026? | BUY | 0.002 | $0.91 |
| 08-02 20:34 | Will the Bayeux Tapestry be back in France by December 31, 2027? | SELL | 0.13 | $6.50 |
| 08-02 20:34 | Will two SpaceX Starships dock together by December 31, 2027? | SELL | 0.33 | $2.59 |
| 08-02 20:34 | Will Ethereum reach $2,750 by December 31, 2026? | SELL | 0.28 | $5.60 |
| 08-02 20:25 | Will Bradley Barcola stay at Paris Saint-Germain? | SELL | 0.35 | $7.00 |
| 08-02 20:21 | Will Zelenskyy and Putin meet next in Ukraine before 2027? | BUY | 0.002 | $0.98 |
| 08-02 20:21 | Will Katharina Pötter win the next Osnabrück mayoral election? | BUY | 0.39 | $0.78 |
| 08-02 20:04 | Will Charles Oliveira be the UFC Lightweight Champion on December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.011 | $0.05 |
| 08-02 18:17 | Will the price of Bitcoin be between $60,000 and $62,000 on August 8? | BUY | 0.19 | $9.50 |