planktonXD
0x4ffe49ba2a4cae123536a8af4fda48faeb609f71
- Realised P&L
- $125.6k
- Volume
- $229.06M
- Markets traded
- 100,456
- Open portfolio
- $11.0k
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar0.1%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- BlockerMarkets traded100,456
- Far too many to mirror. This is automated flow across the whole venue, not a set of considered positions — copying it means rebuilding their infrastructure, at which point you are not copying anyone.
- ClearProfit concentration18.5% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)72.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration4.2% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$2.5kat 0.001S&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on January 29?
- +$2.4kat 0.002Will Casey DeSantis be the Republican nominee for Florida Governor?
- +$2.3kat 0.006Syria strikes Israel by August 31?
- +$2.2kat 0.015Will Jay Collins be the Republican nominee for Florida Governor?
- +$1.6kat 0.003Dota 2: Yangon Galacticos vs yache123 (BO3) - EPL World Series Southeast Asia Group Stage
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-17 02:19 | Will Silver (XAGUSD) hit (LOW) $58 in September? | BUY | 0.22 | $1.94 |
| 09-17 02:14 | Will Ethereum reach $3,200 in September? | SELL | 0.03 | $0.17 |
| 09-17 01:57 | Will Iran target an Arab country by September 30, 2026? | SELL | 0.33 | $2.89 |
| 09-17 00:59 | Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 23°C on September 18? | BUY | 0.1 | $1.07 |
| 09-17 00:29 | Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from September 17 to September 19, 2026? | BUY | 0.036 | $1.76 |
| 09-17 00:26 | Will Elon Musk post 400-419 tweets from September 15 to September 22, 2026? | BUY | 0.002 | $1.22 |
| 09-17 00:19 | Will Ethereum reach $3,200 in September? | BUY | 0.028 | $0.16 |
| 09-16 22:53 | Will Ethereum dip to $2,000 September 14-20? | BUY | 0.023 | $1.03 |
| 09-16 22:50 | Will AfD win the most seats in the 2026 Mecklenburg-Vorpommern parliamentary elections? | SELL | 0.32 | $8.96 |
| 09-16 22:40 | Will the 10-year Treasury yield hit 5.2% before 2027? | SELL | 0.39 | $11.31 |
| 09-16 22:33 | Will Boyko Borissov win the next Bulgarian presidential election? | BUY | 0.002 | $0.62 |
| 09-16 21:38 | Will United Russia win between 280 and 294 seats in the next Russian State Duma election? | SELL | 0.032 | $1.00 |
| 09-16 20:32 | Will the Fed Hike–Pause–Pause in the next three decisions (Sep–Oct–Dec)? | SELL | 0.16 | $10.24 |
| 09-16 20:06 | Will the Chiefs win the season series against the Raiders during the 2026-27 NFL regular season? | BUY | 0.38 | $0.63 |
| 09-16 20:00 | Will Anthropic's IPO valuation be between $2.25T and $2.50T? | SELL | 0.072 | $7.20 |