voep0vkmgs9o
0xb333ef191cf2f00a79804529516ec70e63f8e295
- Realised P&L
- $-721.18
- Volume
- $26.2k
- Markets traded
- 542
- Open portfolio
- $467.21
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-2.8%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded542
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration16.2% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)52.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration5.7% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$246.12at 0.707Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 31, 2026?
- +$160.87at 0.143US x Iran ceasefire by April 7?
- +$100.41at 0.528Bulls vs. Wizards: O/U 247.5
- +$96.40at 0.537Bulls vs. Wizards: O/U 248.5
- +$70.34at 0.137Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by June 30, 2026?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06-09 19:35 | Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027? | SELL | 0.87 | $31.15 |
| 06-09 19:35 | Will Tom Steyer win the California Governor Election in 2026? | SELL | 0.992 | $35.86 |
| 06-09 19:35 | Will Andy Burnham be the next Prime Minister of the United Kingdom in 2026? | SELL | 0.6417153929 | $53.82 |
| 06-09 19:34 | Will Trump sell 1-100 Gold Cards in 2026? | SELL | 0.4546142604 | $48.84 |
| 06-09 19:33 | Will Nicolás Maduro be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026? | SELL | 0.743 | $116.06 |
| 05-04 23:10 | Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? | SELL | 0.69 | $1.14 |
| 05-04 21:23 | Will Trump visit China by May 15? | BUY | 0.8199999961 | $21.00 |
| 05-04 21:20 | Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by May 31? | SELL | 0.92 | $21.46 |
| 05-04 19:10 | Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? | SELL | 0.69 | $0.22 |
| 05-04 19:06 | Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? | SELL | 0.69 | $0.02 |
| 05-04 19:01 | Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? | SELL | 0.69 | $0.03 |
| 05-04 18:52 | Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? | SELL | 0.69 | $0.09 |
| 05-04 18:51 | Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? | SELL | 0.69 | $0.37 |
| 05-04 18:46 | Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? | SELL | 0.69 | $0.13 |
| 05-04 18:42 | Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? | SELL | 0.69 | $0.01 |