0x57cc0ba8ed5ffc0a42cfeddb8cd4ddc528c39f51
- Realised P&L
- not known
- Volume
- not known
- Markets traded
- 29
- Open portfolio
- $31.16
Can you copy this trader?
plausible — No blocker visible in the public data. That is a reason to backtest it, not a reason to follow it.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- Not knownEdge per dollar—
- No leaderboard entry for this wallet in the requested window.
- ClearMarkets traded29
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration20.8% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample30 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)66.7%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration100.0% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will George R. R. Martin announce "The Winds of Winter" in 2026? · Yes | 0.198 | 0.056 | $31.16 | −$80.12 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$968.98at 0.430Trump announces Hormuz deadline extension today?
- +$914.58at 0.022Will a Republican win the popular vote and a Democrat win the Presidency?
- +$464.96at 0.600Biden drops out of presidential race?
- +$358.44at 0.1202024 presidential election: GOP wins by 35-64
- +$251.25at 0.213Will Trump win 30% of Black men?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04-13 20:55 | Will George R. R. Martin announce "The Winds of Winter" in 2026? | BUY | 0.1871552363 | $30.00 |
| 04-12 18:37 | Will George R. R. Martin announce "The Winds of Winter" in 2026? | BUY | 0.2 | $195.00 |
| 04-07 17:38 | Trump announces Hormuz deadline extension today? | BUY | 0.43 | $210.02 |
| 04-07 17:35 | US x Iran ceasefire by April 7? | SELL | 0.9540326371 | $730.79 |
| 10-28 19:19 | 2024 presidential election: GOP wins by 35-64 | BUY | 0.12 | $80.24 |
| 10-24 10:10 | Who will win Latino men? | SELL | 0.29 | $53.99 |
| 10-24 10:09 | Will Trump win 30% of Black men? | SELL | 0.29 | $200.31 |
| 10-24 10:09 | Who will win Latino men? | SELL | 0.3 | $170.10 |
| 10-22 20:50 | Will Trump win 30% of Black men? | BUY | 0.22 | $175.73 |
| 10-22 20:46 | Will Trump win 30% of Black men? | BUY | 0.21 | $405.66 |
| 10-22 20:38 | Who will win Latino men? | BUY | 0.23 | $251.91 |
| 10-22 20:38 | Who will win Latino men? | BUY | 0.22 | $130.62 |
| 10-17 09:18 | Kamala Harris 538 odds >55% on Friday? | SELL | 0.76 | $122.03 |
| 10-16 11:16 | Will Kamala Harris win the 2024 US Presidential Election? | SELL | 0.601 | $902.70 |
| 09-16 17:25 | Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after September 2024 meeting? | SELL | 0.45 | $760.03 |