PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

0x209f300759a4125e6a044cd959d405afac691290

Realised P&L
not known
Volume
not known
Markets traded
30
Open portfolio
$2.26

Can you copy this trader?

difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

Not knownEdge per dollar—
No leaderboard entry for this wallet in the requested window.
ClearMarkets traded30
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
ClearProfit concentration18.7% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
CautionSettled sample17 positions
Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
Not knownWin rate (sample)100.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
CautionOpen concentration100.0% in top position
Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will George R. R. Martin announce "The Winds of Winter" in 2026? · Yes0.1230.056$2.26−$2.74
Will Germany win on 2026-06-25? · Yes0.6210.000$0.00−$3.00
Will Japan win on 2026-06-25? · Yes0.3790.000$0.00−$2.00
Will Austria win on 2026-06-27? · Yes0.5900.000$0.00−$5.00
Will Brazil win on 2026-07-05? · Yes0.5500.000$0.00−$10.00
Will Germany win on 2026-06-29? · Yes0.7140.000$0.00−$12.00
Will Egypt win on 2026-07-07? · Yes0.8600.000$0.00−$7.00
Will Lionel Messi be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup? · Yes0.3930.000$0.00−$5.00
Will Mexico vs. England end in a draw? · Yes0.3100.000$0.00−$5.00
Will Argentina win on 2026-07-03? · Yes0.8500.000$0.00−$4.00
Will Belgium win on 2026-07-01? · Yes0.4600.000$0.00−$3.00
Will Portugal win on 2026-06-27? · Yes0.4800.000$0.00−$4.00
Will Ecuador vs. Germany end in a draw? · Yes0.1980.000$0.00−$1.00

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
07-07 17:41Will Egypt win on 2026-07-07?BUY0.8599999656$2.00
07-07 17:41Will Egypt win on 2026-07-07?BUY0.86$5.00
07-05 19:12Will Mexico vs. England end in a draw?BUY0.3099999622$5.00
07-05 19:11Will Brazil win on 2026-07-05?BUY0.5499999807$10.00
07-01 18:46Will Argentina win on 2026-07-03?BUY0.849999915$1.00
07-01 18:46Will Portugal win on 2026-07-02?BUY0.5499999633$3.00
07-01 18:45Will Belgium win on 2026-07-01?BUY0.4599999264$3.00
07-01 09:39Will Spain win on 2026-07-02?BUY0.74$2.00
07-01 09:38Will Argentina win on 2026-07-03?BUY0.8499999717$3.00
07-01 09:37Will Switzerland win on 2026-07-02?BUY0.479999952$2.00
07-01 09:37Will Portugal win on 2026-07-02?BUY0.5499999633$3.00
07-01 09:37Will United States win on 2026-07-01?BUY0.7099999503$3.00
07-01 09:37Will England win on 2026-07-01?BUY0.7699999897$6.00
06-29 20:35Will France win on 2026-06-30?BUY0.7799999844$6.00
06-29 20:34Will Norway win on 2026-06-30?BUY0.4599999595$5.00