0x209f300759a4125e6a044cd959d405afac691290
- Realised P&L
- not known
- Volume
- not known
- Markets traded
- 30
- Open portfolio
- $2.26
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- Not knownEdge per dollar—
- No leaderboard entry for this wallet in the requested window.
- ClearMarkets traded30
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration18.7% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- CautionSettled sample17 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)100.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration100.0% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will George R. R. Martin announce "The Winds of Winter" in 2026? · Yes | 0.123 | 0.056 | $2.26 | −$2.74 |
| Will Germany win on 2026-06-25? · Yes | 0.621 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$3.00 |
| Will Japan win on 2026-06-25? · Yes | 0.379 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$2.00 |
| Will Austria win on 2026-06-27? · Yes | 0.590 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$5.00 |
| Will Brazil win on 2026-07-05? · Yes | 0.550 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$10.00 |
| Will Germany win on 2026-06-29? · Yes | 0.714 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$12.00 |
| Will Egypt win on 2026-07-07? · Yes | 0.860 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$7.00 |
| Will Lionel Messi be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup? · Yes | 0.393 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$5.00 |
| Will Mexico vs. England end in a draw? · Yes | 0.310 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$5.00 |
| Will Argentina win on 2026-07-03? · Yes | 0.850 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$4.00 |
| Will Belgium win on 2026-07-01? · Yes | 0.460 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$3.00 |
| Will Portugal win on 2026-06-27? · Yes | 0.480 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$4.00 |
| Will Ecuador vs. Germany end in a draw? · Yes | 0.198 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$1.00 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$7.75at 0.587Will Brazil win on 2026-06-29?
- +$5.79at 0.467Will Norway win on 2026-06-30?
- +$4.83at 0.557Will Portugal win on 2026-07-02?
- +$4.24at 0.544Will Japan vs. Sweden end in a draw?
- +$3.56at 0.587Will Canada win on 2026-06-28?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07-07 17:41 | Will Egypt win on 2026-07-07? | BUY | 0.8599999656 | $2.00 |
| 07-07 17:41 | Will Egypt win on 2026-07-07? | BUY | 0.86 | $5.00 |
| 07-05 19:12 | Will Mexico vs. England end in a draw? | BUY | 0.3099999622 | $5.00 |
| 07-05 19:11 | Will Brazil win on 2026-07-05? | BUY | 0.5499999807 | $10.00 |
| 07-01 18:46 | Will Argentina win on 2026-07-03? | BUY | 0.849999915 | $1.00 |
| 07-01 18:46 | Will Portugal win on 2026-07-02? | BUY | 0.5499999633 | $3.00 |
| 07-01 18:45 | Will Belgium win on 2026-07-01? | BUY | 0.4599999264 | $3.00 |
| 07-01 09:39 | Will Spain win on 2026-07-02? | BUY | 0.74 | $2.00 |
| 07-01 09:38 | Will Argentina win on 2026-07-03? | BUY | 0.8499999717 | $3.00 |
| 07-01 09:37 | Will Switzerland win on 2026-07-02? | BUY | 0.479999952 | $2.00 |
| 07-01 09:37 | Will Portugal win on 2026-07-02? | BUY | 0.5499999633 | $3.00 |
| 07-01 09:37 | Will United States win on 2026-07-01? | BUY | 0.7099999503 | $3.00 |
| 07-01 09:37 | Will England win on 2026-07-01? | BUY | 0.7699999897 | $6.00 |
| 06-29 20:35 | Will France win on 2026-06-30? | BUY | 0.7799999844 | $6.00 |
| 06-29 20:34 | Will Norway win on 2026-06-30? | BUY | 0.4599999595 | $5.00 |