0xe59a69b247920fb9af39d332d8935c4b6a95f8e5
- Realised P&L
- not known
- Volume
- not known
- Markets traded
- 55
- Open portfolio
- $73.51
Can you copy this trader?
plausible — No blocker visible in the public data. That is a reason to backtest it, not a reason to follow it.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- Not knownEdge per dollar—
- No leaderboard entry for this wallet in the requested window.
- ClearMarkets traded55
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration28.0% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample48 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)33.3%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration47.6% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? · Yes | 0.160 | 1.000 | $35.00 | +$29.40 |
| Will Kamala Harris win the 2028 US Presidential Election? · Yes | 0.035 | 0.039 | $19.89 | +$1.94 |
| Will Kamala Harris win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? · Yes | 0.056 | 0.054 | $11.00 | −$0.30 |
| Tim Walz charged by December 31, 2026? · Yes | 0.190 | 0.034 | $3.99 | −$18.30 |
| Will George R. R. Martin announce "The Winds of Winter" in 2026? · Yes | 0.147 | 0.056 | $3.63 | −$5.97 |
| Will Sungjae Im win the 2026 Masters tournament? · Yes | 0.010 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$1.00 |
| Will Hideki Matsuyama win the 2026 Masters tournament? · Yes | 0.016 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$0.77 |
| Will the Minnesota Wild win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup? · Yes | 0.044 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$2.71 |
| Will the Minnesota Timberwolves win the 2026 NBA Finals? · Yes | 0.029 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$2.12 |
| Will Sahith Theegala win the 2026 Masters tournament? · Yes | 0.008 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$2.00 |
| Will Min Woo Lee win the 2026 Masters tournament? · Yes | 0.010 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$4.70 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$23.15at 0.342Will Team Vitality win PGL Cluj-Napoca 2026?
- +$11.90at 0.300Will Team Vitality win IEM Krakow 2026?
- +$10.54at 0.340Thunder vs. Timberwolves
- +$9.58at 0.458Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs Aurora Gaming (BO3) - PGL Cluj-Napoca Group Stage
- +$8.00at 0.540US government shutdown Saturday?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02-24 23:56 | Will Trump say "Hockey" during the 2026 State of the Union address? | BUY | 0.1099999946 | $17.31 |
| 02-24 23:55 | Will Donald Trump's tie be red? | SELL | 0.33 | $17.32 |
| 02-24 20:51 | Will Donald Trump's tie be red? | BUY | 0.6342840131 | $33.29 |
| 02-22 05:07 | Counter-Strike: Vitality vs PARIVISION (BO5) - PGL Cluj-Napoca Playoffs | BUY | 0.19 | $7.60 |
| 02-22 05:06 | Will Team Vitality win PGL Cluj-Napoca 2026? | SELL | 0.79 | $40.86 |
| 02-16 17:31 | Counter-Strike: FURIA vs Team Falcons (BO3) - PGL Cluj-Napoca Group Stage | BUY | 0.3099999643 | $4.43 |
| 02-16 17:30 | Human moon landing in 2026? | SELL | 0.0492783344 | $4.43 |
| 02-16 17:01 | Counter-Strike: FURIA vs Team Falcons (BO3) - PGL Cluj-Napoca Group Stage | BUY | 0.4599999864 | $17.56 |
| 02-16 08:23 | Will Team Vitality win PGL Cluj-Napoca 2026? | BUY | 0.3424188274 | $17.71 |
| 02-16 08:21 | Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs Aurora Gaming (BO3) - PGL Cluj-Napoca Group Stage | SELL | 0.46 | $5.00 |
| 02-16 08:16 | Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs Aurora Gaming (BO3) - PGL Cluj-Napoca Group Stage | BUY | 0.4399999955 | $15.69 |
| 02-16 08:16 | Games Total: O/U 2.5 | BUY | 0.4699999915 | $10.00 |
| 02-16 08:13 | Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs Aurora Gaming (BO3) - PGL Cluj-Napoca Group Stage | BUY | 0.4899999814 | $10.00 |
| 02-16 08:10 | Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs Aurora Gaming (BO3) - PGL Cluj-Napoca Group Stage | SELL | 0.48 | $5.71 |
| 02-16 08:03 | Will Sahith Theegala win the 2026 Masters tournament? | BUY | 0.008046419 | $2.00 |