PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

Continue in Telegram — referral link

Traders

0x8b6f1b3b6e6efecf1c9f1794415c44f7f9e60750

Realised P&L
not known
Volume
not known
Markets traded
17
Open portfolio
$1.98

Can you copy this trader?

unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

Not knownEdge per dollar—
No leaderboard entry for this wallet in the requested window.
BlockerMarkets traded17
Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
BlockerProfit concentration70.7% from one position
Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
CautionSettled sample2 positions
Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
Not knownWin rate (sample)100.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
CautionOpen concentration100.0% in top position
Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.

Largest open positions

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
05-12 10:54Will George R. R. Martin announce "The Winds of Winter" in 2026?BUY0.1399999787$5.00
05-12 10:53Callum Turner announced as next James Bond?BUY0.0600982807$6.00
03-31 10:17US forces enter Iran by April 30?BUY0.6499999211$7.00
03-23 19:45US forces enter Iran by March 31?BUY0.16$3.00
03-14 14:54Will Russia enter Zaporizhia by June 30?BUY0.0699999688$2.00
03-14 14:51Will Russia enter Zaporizhia by June 30?BUY0.0699999363$1.00
03-14 12:13Will "Project Hail Mary" Opening Weekend Box Office be less than 50m?SELL0.023$1.01
03-13 19:16Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz by March 31?BUY0.001$1.00
03-12 12:17Mojtaba Khamenei seen in public by March 13?SELL0.606$10.10
03-11 17:06Will Trump cut off trade with Spain?BUY0.04$1.00
03-11 15:50Mojtaba Khamenei seen in public by March 13?BUY0.059999946$1.00
03-11 14:16Will "Project Hail Mary" Opening Weekend Box Office be less than 50m?BUY0.0289999724$1.00
03-11 14:14Will "Project Hail Mary" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 65m and 70m?BUY0.1499998875$1.00
03-11 14:14Will "Project Hail Mary" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 55m and 60m?BUY0.064$1.00
03-11 14:13Will "Project Hail Mary" Opening Weekend Box Office be less than 50m?BUY0.0286278107$1.00