0x8b6f1b3b6e6efecf1c9f1794415c44f7f9e60750
- Realised P&L
- not known
- Volume
- not known
- Markets traded
- 17
- Open portfolio
- $1.98
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- Not knownEdge per dollar—
- No leaderboard entry for this wallet in the requested window.
- BlockerMarkets traded17
- Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
- BlockerProfit concentration70.7% from one position
- Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
- CautionSettled sample2 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)100.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration100.0% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$9.10at 0.060Mojtaba Khamenei seen in public by March 13?
- +$3.77at 0.650US forces enter Iran by April 30?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05-12 10:54 | Will George R. R. Martin announce "The Winds of Winter" in 2026? | BUY | 0.1399999787 | $5.00 |
| 05-12 10:53 | Callum Turner announced as next James Bond? | BUY | 0.0600982807 | $6.00 |
| 03-31 10:17 | US forces enter Iran by April 30? | BUY | 0.6499999211 | $7.00 |
| 03-23 19:45 | US forces enter Iran by March 31? | BUY | 0.16 | $3.00 |
| 03-14 14:54 | Will Russia enter Zaporizhia by June 30? | BUY | 0.0699999688 | $2.00 |
| 03-14 14:51 | Will Russia enter Zaporizhia by June 30? | BUY | 0.0699999363 | $1.00 |
| 03-14 12:13 | Will "Project Hail Mary" Opening Weekend Box Office be less than 50m? | SELL | 0.023 | $1.01 |
| 03-13 19:16 | Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz by March 31? | BUY | 0.001 | $1.00 |
| 03-12 12:17 | Mojtaba Khamenei seen in public by March 13? | SELL | 0.606 | $10.10 |
| 03-11 17:06 | Will Trump cut off trade with Spain? | BUY | 0.04 | $1.00 |
| 03-11 15:50 | Mojtaba Khamenei seen in public by March 13? | BUY | 0.059999946 | $1.00 |
| 03-11 14:16 | Will "Project Hail Mary" Opening Weekend Box Office be less than 50m? | BUY | 0.0289999724 | $1.00 |
| 03-11 14:14 | Will "Project Hail Mary" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 65m and 70m? | BUY | 0.1499998875 | $1.00 |
| 03-11 14:14 | Will "Project Hail Mary" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 55m and 60m? | BUY | 0.064 | $1.00 |
| 03-11 14:13 | Will "Project Hail Mary" Opening Weekend Box Office be less than 50m? | BUY | 0.0286278107 | $1.00 |