PolyBot

Read-only · no wallet, no orders

Traders

Winedrinker

0x1aeb1e40599b76f5a3061dce387b7de604fb0189

Realised P&L
$-30.17
Volume
$10.3k
Markets traded
12
Open portfolio
$71.85

Can you copy this trader?

unrealisticMultiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-0.3%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
BlockerMarkets traded12
Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
Not knownProfit concentration
No settled positions sampled.
Not knownSettled sample0 positions
Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
ClearOpen concentration29.8% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will 2026 be the hottest year on record? · Yes0.1960.505$21.38+$13.08
Natural Disaster in 2026? · Yes0.2470.240$9.73$0.27
Magnitude 6.5+ earthquake in LA before 2027? · Yes0.1450.130$8.76$1.00
Will any Category 4 hurricane make landfall in the US in before 2027? · Yes0.3400.245$7.21$2.79
GTA 6 launch postponed again? · Yes0.0800.105$6.56+$1.56
Trump out as President before 2027? · Yes0.1000.065$6.50$3.50
Will Trump wear a Yarmulke in 2026? · Yes0.3100.155$5.00$5.00
Taylor Swift pregnant before 2027? · Yes0.3460.095$3.75$9.93
Will Trump pardon Sam Bankman-Fried before 2027? · Yes0.0760.048$2.96$1.73
Alien abduction at Brazil vs Scotland game in Miami? · Yes0.0010.000$0.00$9.00
Taylor Swift pregnant before marriage? · Yes0.0240.000$0.00$10.00
Will the highest temperature in Helsinki be 20°C or below on June 30? · Yes0.0050.000$0.00$1.89

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
07-05 06:47Will Trump pardon Sam Bankman-Fried before 2027?BUY0.0759999854$4.69
06-29 20:07Will the highest temperature in Helsinki be 20°C or below on June 30?BUY0.0052969615$1.89
06-29 20:07Will 2026 be the hottest year on record?SELL0.23$1.99
06-26 09:59Taylor Swift pregnant before 2027?BUY0.3463215835$13.68
06-26 06:58GTA 6 launch postponed again?BUY0.08$5.00
06-26 06:55Taylor Swift pregnant before marriage?BUY0.0242620276$10.00
06-26 06:53Natural Disaster in 2026?BUY0.2466188555$10.00
06-26 06:53Will any Category 4 hurricane make landfall in the US in before 2027?BUY0.3400137774$10.00
06-26 06:51Alien abduction at Brazil vs Scotland game in Miami?BUY0.001$9.00
06-26 06:49Will 2026 be the hottest year on record?BUY0.196066898$10.00
06-25 12:11Will Trump wear a Yarmulke in 2026?BUY0.3099999836$10.00
06-25 12:10Trump out as President before 2027?BUY0.1$10.00
06-25 08:02Magnitude 6.5+ earthquake in LA before 2027?BUY0.1448476362$9.76