PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

Continue in Telegram — referral link

Traders

Winedrinker

0x1aeb1e40599b76f5a3061dce387b7de604fb0189

Realised P&L
$-26.20
Volume
$12.4k
Markets traded
32
Open portfolio
$62.52

Can you copy this trader?

unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-0.2%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded32
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
BlockerProfit concentration51.3% from one position
Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
CautionSettled sample4 positions
Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
Not knownWin rate (sample)100.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration22.9% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will Pope Leo XIV be TIME Person of the Year 2026? · Yes0.1630.180$14.29+$1.38
Lindsay Clancy convicted of murder by December 31, 2027? · Yes0.1900.235$12.03+$2.30
Taylor Swift pregnant before 2027? · Yes0.3460.180$7.11−$6.57
Will Manchester City win the 2026-27 English Premier League (EPL) Championship? · Yes0.2500.105$4.20−$5.80
Will Trump wear a Yarmulke in 2026? · Yes0.3100.105$3.39−$6.61
Trump out as President before 2027? · Yes0.1000.033$3.25−$6.75
Will George R. R. Martin announce "The Winds of Winter" in 2026? · Yes0.0950.056$2.77−$1.99
GTA 6 launch postponed again? · Yes0.0800.041$2.53−$2.47
Natural Disaster in 2026? · Yes0.2470.062$2.51−$7.49
Magnitude 6.5+ earthquake in LA before 2027? · Yes0.1450.034$2.26−$7.50
Will Trump pardon Sam Bankman-Fried before 2027? · Yes0.0760.035$2.13−$2.56
Will Tottenham Hotspur be relegated from the 2026-27 Premier League? · Yes0.1550.060$1.93−$3.07
Lindsay Clancy convicted of murder by December 31, 2026? · Yes0.1800.034$1.89−$8.11
Will any Category 4 hurricane make landfall in the US in before 2027? · Yes0.3400.055$1.62−$8.38
Pierce Brosnan announced as next James Bond? · Yes0.0040.001$0.60−$3.89

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
10-22 10:34Will NK Celje win on 2026-10-22?BUY0.16$3.18
10-22 10:33Will Stade Rennais FC 1901 win on 2026-10-22?BUY0.14$3.50
10-22 10:31Spread: Wild (-1.5)BUY0.4299999991$5.00
10-22 10:31Spread: Golden Knights (-1.5)BUY0.32$5.00
10-20 19:03Liverpool FC vs. Villarreal CF: Liverpool FC O/U 1.5BUY0.6299999884$10.88
10-20 19:01AS Roma vs. ŠK Slovan Bratislava: Both Teams to ScoreBUY0.4199999966$5.00
10-20 19:00FC Porto vs. PSV: Both Teams to ScoreBUY0.5799999768$10.00
10-20 17:05Sabah FK vs. BV Borussia 09 Dortmund: Both Teams to ScoreBUY0.55$14.52
10-20 17:03Fenerbahçe SK vs. SK Slavia Praha: Both Teams to ScoreSELL0.999$14.90
10-20 15:12Fenerbahçe SK vs. SK Slavia Praha: Both Teams to ScoreBUY0.6199999933$9.25
10-20 15:10Will Pope Leo XIV be TIME Person of the Year 2026?BUY0.1625703698$12.91
10-20 15:02Will 2026 be the hottest year on record?SELL0.8$23.03
09-14 18:47Lindsay Clancy convicted of murder by December 31, 2027?BUY0.1899999975$9.73
09-14 18:46Will 2026 be the hottest year on record?SELL0.76$10.29
09-02 07:50Pierce Brosnan announced as next James Bond?BUY0.0037275156$4.49