PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

Winedrinker

0x1aeb1e40599b76f5a3061dce387b7de604fb0189

Realised P&L
$-60.92
Volume
$12.1k
Markets traded
22
Open portfolio
$93.56

Can you copy this trader?

difficultPossible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-0.5%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded22
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
Not knownProfit concentration
No settled positions sampled.
Not knownSettled sample0 positions
Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
ClearOpen concentration22.8% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will 2026 be the hottest year on record? · Yes0.1960.740$21.31+$15.66
Will Manchester City win the 2026-27 English Premier League (EPL) Championship? · Yes0.2500.305$12.20+$2.20
Lindsay Clancy convicted of murder by December 31, 2027? · Yes0.1900.185$9.47$0.26
Natural Disaster in 2026? · Yes0.2470.205$8.31$1.69
Taylor Swift pregnant before 2027? · Yes0.3460.145$5.73$7.95
Trump out as President before 2027? · Yes0.1000.055$5.50$4.50
Will Trump wear a Yarmulke in 2026? · Yes0.3100.155$5.00$5.00
GTA 6 launch postponed again? · Yes0.0800.065$4.06$0.94
Will George R. R. Martin announce "The Winds of Winter" in 2026? · Yes0.0950.075$3.75$1.01
Will Tottenham Hotspur be relegated from the 2026-27 Premier League? · Yes0.1550.105$3.38$1.62
Lindsay Clancy convicted of murder by December 31, 2026? · Yes0.1800.056$3.08$6.92
Will Trump pardon Sam Bankman-Fried before 2027? · Yes0.0760.040$2.44$2.25
Magnitude 6.5+ earthquake in LA before 2027? · Yes0.1450.035$2.36$7.40
Pierce Brosnan announced as next James Bond? · Yes0.0040.002$1.81$2.68
Will any Category 4 hurricane make landfall in the US in before 2027? · Yes0.3400.045$1.32$8.68

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
09-14 18:47Lindsay Clancy convicted of murder by December 31, 2027?BUY0.1899999975$9.73
09-14 18:46Will 2026 be the hottest year on record?SELL0.76$10.29
09-02 07:50Pierce Brosnan announced as next James Bond?BUY0.0037275156$4.49
09-02 07:45Will George R. R. Martin announce "The Winds of Winter" in 2026?BUY0.0952333317$4.76
09-02 07:38Will Bitcoin reach $97,500 in September?BUY0.04$3.57
09-02 07:37Will Bitcoin reach $92,500 in September?BUY0.0899999845$5.00
09-02 07:36Will Bitcoin reach $95,000 in September?BUY0.0569999894$5.00
09-02 07:36Will Bitcoin reach $100,000 in September?BUY0.027432633$5.00
09-02 07:25Lindsay Clancy convicted of murder by December 31, 2026?BUY0.179999987$10.00
09-02 07:20Will Tottenham Hotspur be relegated from the 2026-27 Premier League?BUY0.1554907677$5.00
09-02 07:19Will Manchester City win the 2026-27 English Premier League (EPL) Championship?BUY0.25$10.00
07-05 06:47Will Trump pardon Sam Bankman-Fried before 2027?BUY0.0759999854$4.69
06-29 20:07Will the highest temperature in Helsinki be 20°C or below on June 30?BUY0.0052969615$1.89
06-29 20:07Will 2026 be the hottest year on record?SELL0.23$1.99
06-26 09:59Taylor Swift pregnant before 2027?BUY0.3463215835$13.68