PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

0x35df17a7bc98ebcf9e8ee5c958ad778c8aadcf97

Realised P&L
$-185.43
Volume
$13.0k
Markets traded
162
Open portfolio
$218.77

Can you copy this trader?

difficultPossible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-1.4%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded162
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
ClearProfit concentration14.7% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)74.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration6.6% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will Paramount close Warner Bros acquisition? · No0.2900.245$12.67$2.33
Will Tom Steyer win the California Governor Election in 2026? · No0.6841.000$11.69+$3.69
Will the Democrats win the North Carolina Senate race in 2026? · No0.1600.085$7.97$7.03
Will the Republicans win the Vermont governor race in 2026? · No0.2000.105$7.88$7.13
US recognizes Russian sovereignty over Ukraine before 2027? · No0.7500.962$6.41+$1.41
Will Germany recognize Palestine before 2027? · Yes0.0460.057$6.14+$1.14
Xi Jinping out before 2027? · Yes0.0360.043$5.90+$0.90
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? · No0.7400.835$5.64+$0.64
Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 US Presidential Election? · No0.8280.920$5.56+$0.56
Will Harry Kane win the 2026 Ballon d'Or? · No0.6260.425$5.43$2.57
Aziz Akhannouch out as Morocco Prime Minister by December 31, 2026? · No0.2080.141$5.41$2.59
Will Jesus Christ return before GTA VI? · No0.5200.500$4.93$0.20
Lee Jae-myung arrested before 2027? · Yes0.1040.064$4.90$3.10
Will Ethereum reach $10,000 by December 31, 2026? · Yes0.0390.015$4.46$7.54
Kim Jong Un out as Supreme Leader of North Korea by December 31, 2026? · Yes0.0600.053$4.43$0.57

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
09-14 14:55Xi Jinping out before 2027?BUY0.036$5.00
09-14 14:55Will Oman join the Abraham Accords before 2027?SELL0.048$0.48
09-14 14:45Will Oman join the Abraham Accords before 2027?SELL0.048$0.91
09-14 11:14Will Oman join the Abraham Accords before 2027?SELL0.0485233333$1.89
09-14 10:43Will Oman join the Abraham Accords before 2027?SELL0.0483674359$3.77
08-24 15:58Will Gavin Newsom announce a Presidential run by December 31, 2026?SELL0.21$0.42
08-22 18:16Will 2026 be the second-hottest year on record?SELL0.79$1.58
08-11 13:11Will Avengers: Doomsday have the best domestic opening weekend in 2026?SELL0.7$1.40
08-11 12:36Will Avengers: Doomsday have the best domestic opening weekend in 2026?SELL0.7$2.80
08-11 09:10Will Paramount close Warner Bros acquisition?BUY0.2899999915$15.00
08-11 09:09Will 2026 be the second-hottest year on record?SELL0.67$2.68
08-11 09:09Will Avengers: Doomsday have the best domestic opening weekend in 2026?SELL0.7$4.90
08-10 13:54Will 2026 be the second-hottest year on record?SELL0.6665714286$4.67
08-10 13:54Will Avengers: Doomsday have the best domestic opening weekend in 2026?SELL0.7$10.50
07-23 16:02Will Kamala Harris announce a Presidential run before 2027?BUY0.1199999808$5.00