0x35df17a7bc98ebcf9e8ee5c958ad778c8aadcf97
- Realised P&L
- $-185.43
- Volume
- $13.0k
- Markets traded
- 162
- Open portfolio
- $218.77
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-1.4%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded162
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration14.7% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)74.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration6.6% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$31.06at 0.330Will Sweden qualify for the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
- +$25.76at 0.034Will Alphabet be the largest company in the world by market cap on June 30?
- +$23.09at 0.069Will AC Milan finish in the top 4 in the 2025-26 Serie A season?
- +$12.91at 0.120Will Arsenal win the 2025–26 English Premier League?
- +$12.04at 0.114Billionaire one-time wealth tax on California ballot?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-14 14:55 | Xi Jinping out before 2027? | BUY | 0.036 | $5.00 |
| 09-14 14:55 | Will Oman join the Abraham Accords before 2027? | SELL | 0.048 | $0.48 |
| 09-14 14:45 | Will Oman join the Abraham Accords before 2027? | SELL | 0.048 | $0.91 |
| 09-14 11:14 | Will Oman join the Abraham Accords before 2027? | SELL | 0.0485233333 | $1.89 |
| 09-14 10:43 | Will Oman join the Abraham Accords before 2027? | SELL | 0.0483674359 | $3.77 |
| 08-24 15:58 | Will Gavin Newsom announce a Presidential run by December 31, 2026? | SELL | 0.21 | $0.42 |
| 08-22 18:16 | Will 2026 be the second-hottest year on record? | SELL | 0.79 | $1.58 |
| 08-11 13:11 | Will Avengers: Doomsday have the best domestic opening weekend in 2026? | SELL | 0.7 | $1.40 |
| 08-11 12:36 | Will Avengers: Doomsday have the best domestic opening weekend in 2026? | SELL | 0.7 | $2.80 |
| 08-11 09:10 | Will Paramount close Warner Bros acquisition? | BUY | 0.2899999915 | $15.00 |
| 08-11 09:09 | Will 2026 be the second-hottest year on record? | SELL | 0.67 | $2.68 |
| 08-11 09:09 | Will Avengers: Doomsday have the best domestic opening weekend in 2026? | SELL | 0.7 | $4.90 |
| 08-10 13:54 | Will 2026 be the second-hottest year on record? | SELL | 0.6665714286 | $4.67 |
| 08-10 13:54 | Will Avengers: Doomsday have the best domestic opening weekend in 2026? | SELL | 0.7 | $10.50 |
| 07-23 16:02 | Will Kamala Harris announce a Presidential run before 2027? | BUY | 0.1199999808 | $5.00 |