China ballistic missile launch by December 31?

Tick: 0.01
Min order: 5
Fees: None on this market
Ends: 2027-01-01
Rewards: 20 min size · 6.5¢ max spread

Price history

charttable

Yes. Currently 0.15. down 0.07 over the period, from 0.22. Range 0.15 to 0.23. 150 points.

Order book

Not connected

Yes

Live

Yes asks — sell orders. Worst price first; the best ask is the last row, nearest the spread.
Price	Size	Total
0.16	93	93
0.17	485	578
0.18	98	676
0.22	120	796
0.24	17	813
0.29	40	853
0.48	100	953
0.49	100	1,053
0.59	483	1,536
0.79	200	1,736
0.82	277	2,013
0.83	11,765	13,778

Spread0.01Mid0.15

Yes bids — buy orders. Best bid first, nearest the spread.
Price	Size	Total
0.15	198	198
0.14	98	296
0.13	1,116	1,412
0.12	180	1,592
0.10	51	1,643
0.07	106	1,749
0.06	1,083	2,832
0.05	1,104	3,936
0.04	1,873	5,809
0.03	1,800	7,608
0.02	3,208	10,816
0.01	6,914	17,730

No

Live

No asks — sell orders. Worst price first; the best ask is the last row, nearest the spread.
Price	Size	Total
0.85	198	198
0.86	98	296
0.87	1,116	1,412
0.88	180	1,592
0.90	51	1,643
0.93	106	1,749
0.94	1,083	2,832
0.95	1,104	3,936
0.96	1,873	5,809
0.97	1,800	7,608
0.98	3,208	10,816
0.99	6,914	17,730

Spread0.01Mid0.84

No bids — buy orders. Best bid first, nearest the spread.
Price	Size	Total
0.84	93	93
0.83	485	578
0.82	98	676
0.78	120	796
0.76	17	813
0.71	40	853
0.52	100	953
0.51	100	1,053
0.41	483	1,536
0.21	200	1,736
0.18	277	2,013
0.17	11,765	13,778

Top holders

Largest holders, grouped by outcome then position size. Up to 20 per outcome, measured in shares.
Holder	Outcome	Shares
jiudubishu	Yes	1,366.05
NoSteinNoGate	Yes	410.1
mrkinetiq	Yes	333.1
xtxpleasecallme	Yes	323.98
kanhaoleaha	Yes	311.81
BloodyMummer	Yes	166.25
LornaPredicts	Yes	151.43
hp210210	Yes	120
0xE8C428250693d7f1E588ba6F4666d02E68F0eA5c-1782008528190	Yes	79.96
melonmanm	Yes	52.69
Anon1234r5	Yes	50
0xf0f5…72bc	Yes	48
TheBigYes	Yes	46.26
Stitch-X-626	Yes	45.88
PotatoEggplantChili	Yes	40
TRHU	Yes	40
Fihdrzgdd	Yes	40
lottonakamoto	Yes	34.3
PPMT	Yes	30.06
0x36f79f01e694170c234006Bef19796C828b819d1-1761322334728	Yes	27.78

Recent trades

Most recent trades on this market, newest first.
Time	Side	Outcome	Price	Size	Value
16:37:46	SELL	No	0.83	0	$0.04
16:37:46	BUY	No	0.8499997025	1	$1.00
02:14:39	BUY	Yes	0.16	113	$18.04
18:15:34	BUY	Yes	0.16	34	$5.49
13:36:06	SELL	No	0.83	0	$0.20
13:36:04	BUY	No	0.8499999725	5	$4.63
16:30:19	BUY	Yes	0.16	20	$3.20
16:30:17	SELL	No	0.82	4	$2.96
16:30:17	BUY	No	0.8480293397	149	$126.00
13:30:49	BUY	Yes	0.17	5	$0.85
13:20:47	BUY	Yes	0.18	76	$13.66
13:20:31	BUY	No	0.82	11	$9.09
13:20:14	SELL	Yes	0.1800866181	262	$47.20
13:20:14	SELL	No	0.79	4	$3.39
13:20:14	BUY	No	0.83	24	$19.92
13:20:14	BUY	No	0.83	20	$16.60
13:20:14	BUY	No	0.83	36	$29.88
08:16:13	SELL	No	0.79	48	$38.07
20:58:30	BUY	Yes	0.2	5	$1.00
01:36:15	SELL	No	0.79	1	$0.59
01:36:15	SELL	Yes	0.18	17	$3.00
14:37:20	SELL	Yes	0.19	20	$3.80
14:37:05	SELL	Yes	0.19	56	$10.68
14:36:56	SELL	Yes	0.21	20	$4.20
14:36:48	BUY	No	0.8	37	$29.60