China ballistic missile launch by December 31?

Tick: 0.01
Min order: 5
Fees: None on this market
Ends: 2027-01-01
Rewards: 20 min size · 4.5¢ max spread

Price history

charttable

Yes. Currently 0.18. up 0.01 over the period, from 0.17. Range 0.16 to 0.21. 169 points.

Order book

Not connected

Yes

Live

Yes asks — sell orders. Worst price first; the best ask is the last row, nearest the spread.
Price	Size	Total
0.19	197	197
0.20	162	359
0.21	45	404
0.22	338	742
0.40	5	747
0.50	205	952
0.64	50	1,002
0.66	800	1,802
0.67	1,939	3,741
0.71	2,759	6,500
0.74	30	6,530
0.75	3,200	9,730

Spread0.01Mid0.18

Yes bids — buy orders. Best bid first, nearest the spread.
Price	Size	Total
0.18	132	132
0.17	166	298
0.16	114	412
0.15	332	744
0.14	68	812
0.11	50	862
0.10	51	912
0.09	30	942
0.08	698	1,640
0.06	9	1,649
0.05	574	2,223
0.04	500	2,723

No

Live

No asks — sell orders. Worst price first; the best ask is the last row, nearest the spread.
Price	Size	Total
0.82	132	132
0.83	166	298
0.84	114	412
0.85	332	744
0.86	68	812
0.89	50	862
0.90	51	912
0.91	30	942
0.92	698	1,640
0.94	9	1,649
0.95	574	2,223
0.96	500	2,723

Spread0.01Mid0.81

No bids — buy orders. Best bid first, nearest the spread.
Price	Size	Total
0.81	197	197
0.80	162	359
0.79	45	404
0.78	338	742
0.60	5	747
0.50	205	952
0.36	50	1,002
0.34	800	1,802
0.33	1,939	3,741
0.29	2,759	6,500
0.26	30	6,530
0.25	3,200	9,730

Top holders

Largest holders, grouped by outcome then position size. Up to 20 per outcome, measured in shares.
Holder	Outcome	Shares
jiudubishu	Yes	527.35
NoSteinNoGate	Yes	410.1
mrkinetiq	Yes	333.1
kanhaoleaha	Yes	311.81
TheKinginYellow	Yes	255
Oskoreiter	Yes	188
BloodyMummer	Yes	166.25
LornaPredicts	Yes	151.43
hp210210	Yes	120
melonmanm	Yes	108
Anon1234r5	Yes	50
0xf0f5…72bc	Yes	48
TheBigYes	Yes	46.26
Stitch-X-626	Yes	45.88
planktonXD	Yes	43.27
PotatoEggplantChili	Yes	40
TRHU	Yes	40
0x36f79f01e694170c234006Bef19796C828b819d1-1761322334728	Yes	27.78
jensond	Yes	25
0x69d7617B00DAfC2f6f6Ab5577CEE246331E0c25C-1773164568814	Yes	20

Recent trades

Most recent trades on this market, newest first.
Time	Side	Outcome	Price	Size	Value
08:28:24	BUY	No	0.8062149228	46	$37.06
18:00:22	SELL	No	0.79	20	$15.80
21:23:07	SELL	Yes	0.19	6	$1.19
11:59:46	SELL	No	0.8070994475	203	$163.62
11:54:19	SELL	No	0.81	17	$13.77
11:54:12	SELL	No	0.82	60	$49.20
11:54:01	SELL	No	0.820608	450	$369.27
21:47:55	SELL	Yes	0.15	51	$7.69
13:47:09	SELL	Yes	0.15	40	$6.00
13:14:31	SELL	Yes	0.15	19	$2.86
13:13:06	SELL	Yes	0.15	77	$11.55
13:13:06	SELL	Yes	0.15	20	$3.00
13:13:00	SELL	Yes	0.15	20	$3.00
13:12:57	BUY	No	0.84	157	$131.88
13:12:55	SELL	Yes	0.16	40	$6.40
13:12:54	BUY	No	0.83	258	$213.99
09:22:48	BUY	No	0.82	10	$8.20
03:24:57	SELL	No	0.8	113	$90.71
03:23:45	SELL	No	0.82	5	$4.10
03:23:16	BUY	No	0.81	108	$87.80
03:23:07	SELL	No	0.8	9	$7.20
03:22:54	SELL	No	0.8	40	$31.99
03:22:52	SELL	No	0.81	368	$298.27
03:22:51	BUY	No	0.81	25	$19.90
23:42:43	SELL	Yes	0.18	5	$0.90