Anon1234r5
0x55c8b9bd1952006cf6a27903ed74dbc1d9a475cf
- Realised P&L
- $-189.31
- Volume
- $6.4k
- Markets traded
- 67
- Open portfolio
- $7.75
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-3.0%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded67
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- CautionProfit concentration36.7% from one position
- Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)42.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration100.0% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| China ballistic missile launch by December 31? · Yes | 0.200 | 0.155 | $7.75 | −$2.25 |
| Will Bitcoin reach $120,000 by March 31? · Yes | 0.060 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$24.50 |
| Will Bitcoin reach $95,000 again by March 31? · Yes | 0.216 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$46.28 |
| Will Bitcoin reach $105,000 again by March 31? · Yes | 0.090 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$20.00 |
| Will $AI16Z be the next coin listed on Coinbase? · Yes | 0.003 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$0.04 |
| Solana above $145 on March 14? · Yes | 0.143 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$124.80 |
| Will Bitcoin reach $130,000 by March 31? · Yes | 0.035 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$17.51 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$44.09at 0.098Will Bitcoin reach $110,000 by March 31?
- +$15.67at 0.060GOP wins popular vote by 1-2%?
- +$12.59at 0.781Will Trump say 'Elon' or 'Musk' during the 2025 State of the Union?
- +$8.47at 0.328Biden drops out in July?
- +$7.32at 0.820Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08-24 03:12 | China ballistic missile launch by December 31? | BUY | 0.2 | $10.00 |
| 08-24 02:55 | Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027? | SELL | 0.963 | $49.18 |
| 02-28 22:50 | Will Iran name a successor to Khamenei by March 2? | BUY | 0.5699994984 | $1.00 |
| 02-28 22:47 | Nothing Ever Happens: Khamenei | BUY | 0.9849999893 | $21.10 |
| 02-28 22:41 | Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026? | SELL | 0.883 | $18.35 |
| 02-09 00:09 | Will "Mahomes" be said at the Super Bowl? | BUY | 0.5899999296 | $2.18 |
| 02-09 00:07 | Will the Super Bowl national anthem last between 100 and 110 seconds? | SELL | 0.999 | $2.21 |
| 02-08 23:24 | Will the Super Bowl national anthem last between 100 and 110 seconds? | BUY | 0.6089995836 | $1.35 |
| 02-08 23:24 | Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026? | SELL | 0.88 | $1.32 |
| 01-26 02:24 | Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026? | BUY | 0.8799999982 | $19.61 |
| 01-19 01:58 | Will the Chicago Bears win Super Bowl 2026? | SELL | 0.0723498064 | $19.62 |
| 01-18 23:48 | Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027? | BUY | 0.8 | $14.12 |
| 01-15 16:46 | Will the Chicago Bears win Super Bowl 2026? | BUY | 0.052 | $14.10 |
| 01-15 16:29 | Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027? | BUY | 0.8299999982 | $27.74 |
| 01-15 16:19 | Ex-FaZe members form new organization by March 31? | SELL | 0.77 | $27.74 |