0xf0f5df3a0db3ac9cb838107317c30ae6701e72bc
- Realised P&L
- $-327.47
- Volume
- $29.5k
- Markets traded
- 340
- Open portfolio
- $54.72
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-1.1%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded340
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- CautionProfit concentration34.6% from one position
- Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)48.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration17.5% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$21.60at 0.307Will Anthropic’s valuation hit (HIGH) $1.1T by June 30?
- +$21.43at 0.176Mitch McConnell steps down from Senate before his term ends?
- +$12.03at 0.236GPT-5.6 released by July 8, 2026?
- +$9.88at 0.280US x Iran diplomatic meeting by July 31, 2026?
- +$6.32at 0.670Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 7?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07-25 18:25 | US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by August 14? | BUY | 0.52 | $1.04 |
| 07-25 12:25 | US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by July 31? | BUY | 0.71 | $1.42 |
| 07-25 10:33 | Israel closes its airspace by July 31? | SELL | 0.86 | $2.58 |
| 07-25 01:58 | Will BN win the 2026 Negeri Sembilan general elections? | BUY | 0.41 | $0.82 |
| 07-23 13:06 | Israel closes its airspace by July 31? | BUY | 0.68 | $2.04 |
| 07-23 08:28 | Will Raphaël Glucksmann be on the ballot for the 2027 French presidential election? | SELL | 0.62 | $3.72 |
| 07-21 19:17 | Will Angie Craig be the Democratic nominee for Senate in Minnesota? | BUY | 0.1965384615 | $5.11 |
| 07-21 18:54 | Will Angie Craig be the Democratic nominee for Senate in Minnesota? | BUY | 0.19 | $0.95 |
| 07-21 17:35 | Will Gadi Eizenkot be the next Prime Minister of Israel? | SELL | 0.488 | $4.88 |
| 07-21 00:14 | Will 5-6 SpaceX Starship launches successfully reach Space in 2026? | BUY | 0.45 | $1.80 |
| 07-20 23:30 | China ballistic missile launch by December 31? | SELL | 0.35 | $1.75 |
| 07-20 00:47 | Will Axel Kicillof win the 2027 Argentina presidential election? | SELL | 0.53 | $2.12 |
| 07-19 13:23 | Will there be at least 3500 measles cases in the U.S. in 2026? | BUY | 0.38 | $2.66 |
| 07-19 08:07 | Will Denis Bećirović be the Bosniak Presidency Member of Bosnia and Herzegovina following the 2026 general election? | BUY | 0.38 | $0.76 |
| 07-19 07:14 | Pedro Castillo pardoned in 2026? | BUY | 0.64065 | $5.13 |