lottonakamoto
0x2884f98185d2005691d245f3e2e70b15d1e1d0c3
- Realised P&L
- $1.2k
- Volume
- $853.9k
- Markets traded
- 914
- Open portfolio
- $11.9k
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar0.1%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded914
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- BlockerProfit concentration63.5% from one position
- Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)78.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration12.7% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$2.1kat 0.157Will Karol Nawrocki be the next President of Poland?
- +$1.7kat 0.243Will Russia and Ukraine hold any diplomatic meeting by August 31, 2026?
- +$1.2kat 0.867Kanye West performs in Russia by October 31?
- +$1.0kat 0.839Russia x Ukraine ceasefire before October?
- +$924.76at 0.590Copa del Rey Final: Real Madrid vs. Barcelona
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11-02 06:07 | Will Pedro Sánchez be the next leader out before 2027? | BUY | 0.957 | $50.53 |
| 11-02 06:04 | Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next leader out before 2027? | BUY | 0.79 | $7.90 |
| 11-02 05:49 | Will Bitcoin dip to $70,000 by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.57 | $5.70 |
| 11-01 19:22 | EU country expels Russian ambassador by December 31? | SELL | 0.87 | $40.02 |
| 11-01 19:11 | Will Waymo operate in 20-23 cities on December 31 2026? | BUY | 0.95 | $19.01 |
| 11-01 19:11 | Will Waymo operate in 20-23 cities on December 31 2026? | BUY | 0.939 | $19.72 |
| 11-01 19:08 | NATO downs another Russian drone before Russia x Ukraine peace talks? | SELL | 0.5 | $10.00 |
| 11-01 16:26 | Will Waymo launch in Boston, MA by December 31 2026? | SELL | 0.964 | $10.60 |
| 11-01 16:22 | Will Waymo operate in fewer than 12 cities on December 31 2026? | BUY | 0.968 | $44.67 |
| 11-01 16:21 | Will Waymo operate in 20-23 cities on December 31 2026? | BUY | 0.938 | $32.83 |
| 11-01 13:55 | Will Waymo operate in fewer than 12 cities on December 31 2026? | BUY | 0.967 | $50.32 |
| 11-01 11:04 | Will there be between 17 and 19 earthquakes of magnitude 7.0 or higher worldwide in 2026? | BUY | 0.73 | $23.94 |
| 11-01 07:51 | Will Zelenskyy talk to Putin by December 31? | BUY | 0.9 | $27.00 |
| 10-31 22:53 | Will Waymo operate in fewer than 12 cities on December 31 2026? | BUY | 0.916 | $43.83 |
| 10-31 22:53 | Will Waymo operate in 20-23 cities on December 31 2026? | BUY | 0.938 | $22.69 |