PolyBot

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Traders

Stitch-X-626

0x0c735e975d74b883832a1e57c7cd731089271a76

Realised P&L
$-2.8k
Volume
$29.3k
Markets traded
107
Open portfolio
$610.27

Can you copy this trader?

difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-9.7%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded107
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
ClearProfit concentration15.5% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)64.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration27.5% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by December 31, 2026? · No0.7710.865$167.61+$18.26
Will Russia enter Sloviansk by December 31, 2026? · No0.7680.880$128.59+$16.41
Will Russia enter Kramatorsk by December 31, 2026? · No0.8280.820$116.30−$1.09
Iran leadership change by September 30? · No0.0000.996$85.31+$85.31
Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by December 31? · No0.7150.785$27.71+$2.47
Will the Democrats win the Michigan Senate race in 2026? · Yes0.5650.705$21.15+$4.20
China ballistic missile launch by December 31? · Yes0.1620.455$20.88+$13.45
Mojtaba Khamenei seen in public by December 31? · Yes0.2450.185$19.47−$6.34
Another NATO Article 4 invocation by October 31, 2026? · Yes0.2820.230$8.07−$1.83
Will Russia announce a new forced mobilization by October 31, 2026? · Yes0.1210.095$7.07−$1.92
Miguel Díaz-Canel out as leader of Cuba by December 31? · Yes0.5250.140$5.60−$15.40
Will Toy Story 5 be the top grossing movie of 2026? · No0.9751.000$2.05+$0.05
Will Houthis successfully target shipping on August 4, 2026? · No0.8600.000$0.00−$4.30
US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 12, 2026? · Yes0.4140.000$0.00−$13.89
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 15? · No0.6240.000$0.00−$1.94

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
08-21 02:26China ballistic missile launch by December 31?SELL0.17$0.17
08-15 07:10Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by December 31, 2026?BUY0.87$11.59
08-13 16:50US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 13, 2026?SELL0.002$0.04
08-13 16:38US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 15, 2026?SELL0.03$0.41
08-09 13:11Will Wildberries announce bankruptcy before 2027?SELL0.89$28.58
08-09 13:11Will Wildberries announce bankruptcy before 2027?SELL0.89$28.58
08-09 01:02Will Wildberries announce bankruptcy before 2027?SELL0.89$35.08
08-08 14:53US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by August 31?SELL0.92$36.11
08-08 14:11US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 15, 2026?BUY0.45$2.35
08-08 14:11US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 15, 2026?SELL0.44$3.05
08-08 14:10US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 15, 2026?SELL0.44$3.98
08-08 12:07US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 10, 2026?BUY0.73$14.60
08-08 12:07US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 10, 2026?BUY0.73$14.60
08-08 10:35US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 9, 2026?BUY0.81$8.10
08-07 14:23Iran leadership change by September 30?BUY0.87$8.70