Stitch-X-626
0x0c735e975d74b883832a1e57c7cd731089271a76
- Realised P&L
- $-2.8k
- Volume
- $29.3k
- Markets traded
- 107
- Open portfolio
- $610.27
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-9.7%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded107
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration15.5% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)64.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration27.5% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$184.48at 0.406US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?
- +$139.22at 0.649Will Mike Collins be the Republican nominee for Senate in Georgia?
- +$121.06at 0.573US x Iran permanent peace deal by August 31, 2026?
- +$118.12at 0.477US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by August 14?
- +$117.25at 0.727Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 20°C on April 12?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08-21 02:26 | China ballistic missile launch by December 31? | SELL | 0.17 | $0.17 |
| 08-15 07:10 | Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.87 | $11.59 |
| 08-13 16:50 | US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 13, 2026? | SELL | 0.002 | $0.04 |
| 08-13 16:38 | US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 15, 2026? | SELL | 0.03 | $0.41 |
| 08-09 13:11 | Will Wildberries announce bankruptcy before 2027? | SELL | 0.89 | $28.58 |
| 08-09 13:11 | Will Wildberries announce bankruptcy before 2027? | SELL | 0.89 | $28.58 |
| 08-09 01:02 | Will Wildberries announce bankruptcy before 2027? | SELL | 0.89 | $35.08 |
| 08-08 14:53 | US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by August 31? | SELL | 0.92 | $36.11 |
| 08-08 14:11 | US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 15, 2026? | BUY | 0.45 | $2.35 |
| 08-08 14:11 | US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 15, 2026? | SELL | 0.44 | $3.05 |
| 08-08 14:10 | US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 15, 2026? | SELL | 0.44 | $3.98 |
| 08-08 12:07 | US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 10, 2026? | BUY | 0.73 | $14.60 |
| 08-08 12:07 | US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 10, 2026? | BUY | 0.73 | $14.60 |
| 08-08 10:35 | US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 9, 2026? | BUY | 0.81 | $8.10 |
| 08-07 14:23 | Iran leadership change by September 30? | BUY | 0.87 | $8.70 |