PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

PotatoEggplantChili

0x08ee37b1a6efc66183d691f4569eac9a7579f871

Realised P&L
$-38.89
Volume
$14.1k
Markets traded
40
Open portfolio
$6.20

Can you copy this trader?

difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-0.3%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded40
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
ClearProfit concentration17.1% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample40 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)80.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
CautionOpen concentration100.0% in top position
Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
China ballistic missile launch by December 31? · Yes0.1750.155$6.20−$0.80

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
09-15 13:50Will Satoshi move any Bitcoin in 2026?SELL0.956$48.74
08-30 14:06Will Xi Jinping visit US by September 30?BUY0.93$42.78
08-25 12:29Will Xi Jinping visit US before 2027?SELL0.962$105.82
08-18 06:26Will Satoshi move any Bitcoin in 2026?SELL0.952$94.21
08-18 06:21Will Satoshi move any Bitcoin in 2026?SELL0.952$148.57
08-18 06:21Will Jesus Christ return before 2027?SELL0.98$15.56
08-18 06:19Will Xi Jinping visit US before 2027?BUY0.959$57.54
08-02 11:06Will Jesus Christ return before 2027?SELL0.98$49.27
08-01 14:19Will Jesus Christ return before 2027?SELL0.98$64.83
08-01 14:19Will Xi Jinping visit US before 2027?SELL0.92$36.44
06-03 14:54Will Jia Yueting enter mainland China by June 30?SELL0.979$48.95
06-03 14:54Will Jesus Christ return before 2027?SELL0.979$134.80
06-03 14:54Will Satoshi move any Bitcoin in 2026?SELL0.928$272.83
06-02 23:48Xi Jinping out before 2027?SELL0.932$18.64
05-01 10:51Will Exxon Mobil (XOM) beat quarterly earnings?BUY0.98$192.08