PotatoEggplantChili
0x08ee37b1a6efc66183d691f4569eac9a7579f871
- Realised P&L
- $-38.89
- Volume
- $14.1k
- Markets traded
- 40
- Open portfolio
- $6.20
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.3%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded40
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration17.1% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample40 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)80.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration100.0% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| China ballistic missile launch by December 31? · Yes | 0.175 | 0.155 | $6.20 | −$0.80 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$26.90at 0.543Will Trump meet with Xi Jinping by October 31?
- +$19.57at 0.908Xi Jinping out in 2025?
- +$18.05at 0.896Will GPT-5 be released by August 5?
- +$14.62at 0.923Will Xi Jinping visit US by September 30?
- +$13.49at 0.914Will Satoshi move any Bitcoin in 2026?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-15 13:50 | Will Satoshi move any Bitcoin in 2026? | SELL | 0.956 | $48.74 |
| 08-30 14:06 | Will Xi Jinping visit US by September 30? | BUY | 0.93 | $42.78 |
| 08-25 12:29 | Will Xi Jinping visit US before 2027? | SELL | 0.962 | $105.82 |
| 08-18 06:26 | Will Satoshi move any Bitcoin in 2026? | SELL | 0.952 | $94.21 |
| 08-18 06:21 | Will Satoshi move any Bitcoin in 2026? | SELL | 0.952 | $148.57 |
| 08-18 06:21 | Will Jesus Christ return before 2027? | SELL | 0.98 | $15.56 |
| 08-18 06:19 | Will Xi Jinping visit US before 2027? | BUY | 0.959 | $57.54 |
| 08-02 11:06 | Will Jesus Christ return before 2027? | SELL | 0.98 | $49.27 |
| 08-01 14:19 | Will Jesus Christ return before 2027? | SELL | 0.98 | $64.83 |
| 08-01 14:19 | Will Xi Jinping visit US before 2027? | SELL | 0.92 | $36.44 |
| 06-03 14:54 | Will Jia Yueting enter mainland China by June 30? | SELL | 0.979 | $48.95 |
| 06-03 14:54 | Will Jesus Christ return before 2027? | SELL | 0.979 | $134.80 |
| 06-03 14:54 | Will Satoshi move any Bitcoin in 2026? | SELL | 0.928 | $272.83 |
| 06-02 23:48 | Xi Jinping out before 2027? | SELL | 0.932 | $18.64 |
| 05-01 10:51 | Will Exxon Mobil (XOM) beat quarterly earnings? | BUY | 0.98 | $192.08 |