PolyBot

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Traders

kanhaoleaha

0xd98a51f014315d0130d748b876a5092c38394db0

Realised P&L
$363.27
Volume
$149.3k
Markets traded
316
Open portfolio
$8.8k

Can you copy this trader?

difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar0.2%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded316
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
ClearProfit concentration11.2% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)82.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration5.0% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31? · Yes0.7930.992$446.40+$89.40
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? · No0.8500.825$437.25−$13.25
Houthis enter Aden by December 31, 2026? · No0.7380.825$429.00+$45.00
Will Yemeni forces enter Sanaa by November 30? · No0.8400.941$376.20+$40.20
Will Russia capture Orikhiv by December 31, 2026? · No0.6300.915$366.00+$114.00
Netanyahu out by end of 2026? · No0.4800.805$322.00+$130.00
Will the Houthis enter Saudi Arabia by October 31? · No0.9200.995$314.36+$23.70
Houthis enter Aden by November 30, 2026? · No0.8640.925$305.25+$20.15
US-Iran Hormuz Agreement by November 2? · No0.8440.962$288.45+$35.25
Will Russia enter Druzkhivka by December 31, 2026? · No0.7400.720$288.00−$8.00
Will Rafael Grossi be the next Secretary-General of the United Nations? · No0.5800.930$282.17+$106.19
US-Iran ceasefire continues through the midterms? · Yes0.7500.935$280.50+$55.50
US announces end of Iranian blockade by November 30, 2026? · No0.6970.725$253.75+$9.75
Houthis enter Aden by October 31, 2026? · No0.7600.997$249.25+$59.25
Houthi x Saudi Arabia effective ceasefire by October 31? · No0.8600.988$246.88+$31.88

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
10-31 12:21US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by December 31, 2026?BUY0.15$30.00
10-31 12:21US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by December 31, 2026?BUY0.15$18.00
10-31 12:20Will Russia capture all of Bilytske by December 31?BUY0.27$32.40
10-31 12:20Will Russia capture all of Bilytske by December 31?BUY0.26$16.90
10-31 12:19Houthis capture Taiz city by November 30?BUY0.81$121.50
10-31 12:18Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the December 2026 meeting?BUY0.71$177.50
10-31 12:18Will Trump meet with Kim Jong Un by November 30, 2026?BUY0.11$13.20
10-31 12:16Major airlines suspend Ben Gurion flights by November 30, 2026?BUY0.7$210.36
10-31 12:15Next US-Iran senior diplomatic meeting by November 30, 2026?SELL0.6$84.00
10-31 12:15Next US-Iran senior diplomatic meeting by November 30, 2026?SELL0.61$6.10
10-31 12:14Next US-Iran senior diplomatic meeting by November 30, 2026?SELL0.61$6.10
10-31 12:14Next US-Iran senior diplomatic meeting by November 30, 2026?SELL0.61$24.40
10-27 16:21Will Russia enter Druzkhivka by December 31, 2026?BUY0.74$296.00
10-27 16:20Will there be between 25 and 29 average daily transits of the Bab el-Mandeb Strait on October 31?BUY0.74$222.00
10-24 03:46US-Iran Hormuz Agreement by December 31?BUY0.69$172.50