kanhaoleaha
0xd98a51f014315d0130d748b876a5092c38394db0
- Realised P&L
- $363.27
- Volume
- $149.3k
- Markets traded
- 316
- Open portfolio
- $8.8k
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar0.2%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded316
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration11.2% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)82.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration5.0% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$288.27at 0.680US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 10, 2026?
- +$221.02at 0.601US-Iran 60 day negotiation period extended?
- +$219.51at 0.820Israel closes its airspace by June 15?
- +$210.94at 0.560Will Russia capture Bilytske by September 30, 2026?
- +$204.00at 0.320Will fewer than 200 ships transit the Bab el-Mandeb Strait between July 27-August 2?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-31 12:21 | US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.15 | $30.00 |
| 10-31 12:21 | US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.15 | $18.00 |
| 10-31 12:20 | Will Russia capture all of Bilytske by December 31? | BUY | 0.27 | $32.40 |
| 10-31 12:20 | Will Russia capture all of Bilytske by December 31? | BUY | 0.26 | $16.90 |
| 10-31 12:19 | Houthis capture Taiz city by November 30? | BUY | 0.81 | $121.50 |
| 10-31 12:18 | Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the December 2026 meeting? | BUY | 0.71 | $177.50 |
| 10-31 12:18 | Will Trump meet with Kim Jong Un by November 30, 2026? | BUY | 0.11 | $13.20 |
| 10-31 12:16 | Major airlines suspend Ben Gurion flights by November 30, 2026? | BUY | 0.7 | $210.36 |
| 10-31 12:15 | Next US-Iran senior diplomatic meeting by November 30, 2026? | SELL | 0.6 | $84.00 |
| 10-31 12:15 | Next US-Iran senior diplomatic meeting by November 30, 2026? | SELL | 0.61 | $6.10 |
| 10-31 12:14 | Next US-Iran senior diplomatic meeting by November 30, 2026? | SELL | 0.61 | $6.10 |
| 10-31 12:14 | Next US-Iran senior diplomatic meeting by November 30, 2026? | SELL | 0.61 | $24.40 |
| 10-27 16:21 | Will Russia enter Druzkhivka by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.74 | $296.00 |
| 10-27 16:20 | Will there be between 25 and 29 average daily transits of the Bab el-Mandeb Strait on October 31? | BUY | 0.74 | $222.00 |
| 10-24 03:46 | US-Iran Hormuz Agreement by December 31? | BUY | 0.69 | $172.50 |