PolyBot

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Traders

LornaPredicts

0x74957ea27ac4fbdee46d861fdae357859ff67fcf

Realised P&L
$81.4k
Volume
$24.29M
Markets traded
93,894
Open portfolio
$132.4k

Can you copy this trader?

unrealisticMultiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar0.3%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
BlockerMarkets traded93,894
Far too many to mirror. This is automated flow across the whole venue, not a set of considered positions — copying it means rebuilding their infrastructure, at which point you are not copying anyone.
ClearProfit concentration25.5% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)36.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration5.6% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Major meteor strike (10kt+) in 2026? · No0.1290.915$1.1k+$923.63
Will FISA Section 702 reauthorization become law this year? · No0.1760.870$913.03+$728.29
Will Bitcoin reach $120,000 by December 31, 2026? · No0.1600.935$748.00+$620.00
Will Stripe acquire any part of Paypal in 2026? · No0.2390.905$744.54+$548.16
Nigel Farage out as Reform UK leader by December 31, 2026? · No0.2890.875$728.25+$487.88
Masoud Pezeshkian out by December 31? · No0.2800.885$706.64+$483.07
NATO x Russia military clash by October 31, 2026? · No0.2300.880$704.00+$520.00
Will Bitcoin reach $82,500 in September? · No0.1700.755$604.00+$468.00
U.S. x Russia Nuclear deal by September 30? · No0.3910.981$506.07+$304.26
Will the Republican Party hold 47 or fewer Senate seats after the 2026 midterm elections? · No0.1500.675$492.75+$383.25
Arc FDV above $500M one day after launch? · Yes0.3400.695$490.57+$250.58
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? · No0.7400.835$463.43+$52.73
Supreme Court vacancy in 2026? · No0.2400.760$443.08+$303.16
Theo FDV above $100M one day after launch? · No0.1310.625$442.31+$349.30
Will there be exactly 1 confirmed VEI 4 or higher volcanic eruption worldwide in 2026? · Yes0.0200.535$428.00+$412.00

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
09-16 23:29Will RNI win the next Moroccan legislative elections?SELL0.102$10.20
09-16 16:05Will Jordan Bardella be on the ballot for the 2027 French presidential election?SELL0.113$3.39
09-15 09:53Will the highest score achieved by a Google Gemini model on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026 be 50% or higher?BUY0.79675$15.93
09-15 06:14Will the highest score achieved by a Google Gemini model on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026 be 50% or higher?BUY0.79775$15.95
09-14 22:09Will Linke win at least 14% of all valid second votes?SELL0.101$2.73
09-14 13:26Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on September 30?SELL0.171$14.19
09-14 13:26Will any AI model reach 1520 Overall Arena Score by September 30, 2026?SELL0.129$9.68
09-14 13:03Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on September 30?SELL0.174$17.40
09-14 10:37Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 MS-01 House election by 30%-35%?BUY0.22$4.40
09-13 19:15Will the Bank of Canada increase the target for the overnight rate by 25 bps at the October interest rate announcement?BUY0.24075$4.81
09-13 05:02Will Anyone's Legend win the LPL 2026 season?SELL0.15$15.00
09-13 04:36US-Iran Hormuz Agreement by September 30?SELL0.102$1.43
09-13 04:36Will Anyone's Legend win the LPL 2026 season?SELL0.151$4.53
09-13 03:30MagicBlock FDV above $10M one day after launch?SELL0.563$5.63
09-12 18:15Will Anyone's Legend win the LPL 2026 season?SELL0.15$15.00