LornaPredicts
0x74957ea27ac4fbdee46d861fdae357859ff67fcf
- Realised P&L
- $81.4k
- Volume
- $24.29M
- Markets traded
- 93,894
- Open portfolio
- $132.4k
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar0.3%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- BlockerMarkets traded93,894
- Far too many to mirror. This is automated flow across the whole venue, not a set of considered positions — copying it means rebuilding their infrastructure, at which point you are not copying anyone.
- ClearProfit concentration25.5% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)36.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration5.6% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$2.0kat 0.140Cuban regime falls in 2026?
- +$1.6kat 0.130Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?
- +$1.5kat 0.140Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of July 2026?
- +$1.4kat 0.031Mojtaba Khamenei seen in public by July 31?
- +$1.4kat 0.075Will Ronaldo Cry at the World Cup?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-16 23:29 | Will RNI win the next Moroccan legislative elections? | SELL | 0.102 | $10.20 |
| 09-16 16:05 | Will Jordan Bardella be on the ballot for the 2027 French presidential election? | SELL | 0.113 | $3.39 |
| 09-15 09:53 | Will the highest score achieved by a Google Gemini model on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026 be 50% or higher? | BUY | 0.79675 | $15.93 |
| 09-15 06:14 | Will the highest score achieved by a Google Gemini model on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026 be 50% or higher? | BUY | 0.79775 | $15.95 |
| 09-14 22:09 | Will Linke win at least 14% of all valid second votes? | SELL | 0.101 | $2.73 |
| 09-14 13:26 | Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on September 30? | SELL | 0.171 | $14.19 |
| 09-14 13:26 | Will any AI model reach 1520 Overall Arena Score by September 30, 2026? | SELL | 0.129 | $9.68 |
| 09-14 13:03 | Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on September 30? | SELL | 0.174 | $17.40 |
| 09-14 10:37 | Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 MS-01 House election by 30%-35%? | BUY | 0.22 | $4.40 |
| 09-13 19:15 | Will the Bank of Canada increase the target for the overnight rate by 25 bps at the October interest rate announcement? | BUY | 0.24075 | $4.81 |
| 09-13 05:02 | Will Anyone's Legend win the LPL 2026 season? | SELL | 0.15 | $15.00 |
| 09-13 04:36 | US-Iran Hormuz Agreement by September 30? | SELL | 0.102 | $1.43 |
| 09-13 04:36 | Will Anyone's Legend win the LPL 2026 season? | SELL | 0.151 | $4.53 |
| 09-13 03:30 | MagicBlock FDV above $10M one day after launch? | SELL | 0.563 | $5.63 |
| 09-12 18:15 | Will Anyone's Legend win the LPL 2026 season? | SELL | 0.15 | $15.00 |