LornaPredicts
0x74957ea27ac4fbdee46d861fdae357859ff67fcf
- Realised P&L
- $28.0k
- Volume
- $26.03M
- Markets traded
- 102,240
- Open portfolio
- $139.3k
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar0.1%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- BlockerMarkets traded102,240
- Far too many to mirror. This is automated flow across the whole venue, not a set of considered positions — copying it means rebuilding their infrastructure, at which point you are not copying anyone.
- CautionProfit concentration34.2% from one position
- Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)28.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration5.9% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$2.0kat 0.140Cuban regime falls in 2026?
- +$1.6kat 0.130Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?
- +$1.4kat 0.031Mojtaba Khamenei seen in public by July 31?
- +$1.4kat 0.075Will Ronaldo Cry at the World Cup?
- +$1.4kat 0.265Will Trump talk to Xi Jinping in March?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11-01 21:24 | McDonald's (MCD) Q3 global comparable sales growth 0% to 1%? | BUY | 0.25 | $5.00 |
| 11-01 20:33 | Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 US Presidential Election? | SELL | 0.1 | $10.00 |
| 11-01 20:17 | Josh O'Connor announced as next James Bond? | SELL | 0.106 | $2.54 |
| 11-01 20:17 | Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 US Presidential Election? | SELL | 0.1 | $10.00 |
| 11-01 19:55 | Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 US Presidential Election? | SELL | 0.1 | $10.00 |
| 11-01 19:33 | Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 US Presidential Election? | SELL | 0.101 | $0.02 |
| 11-01 19:14 | Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 US Presidential Election? | SELL | 0.101 | $1.82 |
| 11-01 18:36 | Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 Florida gubernatorial election by 6% or more? | BUY | 0.08 | $1.60 |
| 11-01 17:29 | Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 Maine gubernatorial election by 10%-15%? | BUY | 0.48 | $9.60 |
| 11-01 17:10 | Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 New Hampshire gubernatorial election by 3%-6%? | BUY | 0.113 | $2.26 |
| 11-01 17:05 | Josh O'Connor announced as next James Bond? | SELL | 0.11 | $3.30 |
| 11-01 15:20 | Will T1 be number 1 on the end of year Global Power Rankings? | SELL | 0.135 | $13.50 |
| 11-01 13:59 | Will T1 be number 1 on the end of year Global Power Rankings? | SELL | 0.153 | $15.30 |
| 11-01 12:51 | Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 Ohio gubernatorial election by 0%-3%? | BUY | 0.08 | $1.60 |
| 11-01 12:37 | Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 Ohio gubernatorial election by 0%-3%? | BUY | 0.08 | $1.60 |