hp210210
0x2ef893ca464d1ab5c6f3364939eee71b33a4b0f4
- Realised P&L
- $-510.73
- Volume
- $115.9k
- Markets traded
- 397
- Open portfolio
- $6.8k
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.4%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded397
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration15.4% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)66.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration10.2% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$233.66at 0.420Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $75 in August?
- +$129.70at 0.415US x Iran diplomatic meeting by December 31, 2026?
- +$124.80at 0.430US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 14, 2026?
- +$103.25at 0.722US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by September 18?
- +$102.90at 0.790US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by September 30?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-24 10:51 | Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by October 31? | SELL | 0.91 | $4.55 |
| 09-24 10:05 | Will Trump meet with Kim Jong Un in 2026? | SELL | 0.22 | $45.10 |
| 09-24 06:17 | US announces end of Iranian blockade by December 31, 2026? | SELL | 0.417 | $50.04 |
| 09-24 06:00 | US announces end of Iranian blockade by December 31, 2026? | SELL | 0.415 | $3.32 |
| 09-24 05:39 | Will the 10-year Treasury yield hit 5.17% in September? | BUY | 0.59 | $20.65 |
| 09-24 05:29 | Will the 30-year Treasury yield hit 5.60% before 2027? | BUY | 0.43 | $0.00 |
| 09-24 05:08 | US announces end of Iranian blockade by October 31, 2026? | SELL | 0.31 | $54.25 |
| 09-24 05:06 | Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by October 31? | SELL | 0.91 | $4.55 |
| 09-24 05:05 | US-Iran Hormuz Agreement by September 30? | SELL | 0.051 | $4.08 |
| 09-24 05:05 | US announces end of Iranian blockade by September 30, 2026? | SELL | 0.93 | $45.57 |
| 09-24 04:57 | US announces end of Iranian blockade by December 31, 2026? | SELL | 0.418 | $25.08 |
| 09-24 04:55 | NATO x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026? | SELL | 0.31 | $51.15 |
| 09-24 04:46 | Will OpenAI's IPO valuation be at least $2.5T? | SELL | 0.857 | $11.85 |
| 09-23 22:41 | Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through December 31? | SELL | 0.3 | $158.70 |
| 09-23 21:28 | Will South Korea’s 2026 Annual Inflation be at least 3.0%? | BUY | 0.31 | $15.81 |