hp210210
0x2ef893ca464d1ab5c6f3364939eee71b33a4b0f4
- Realised P&L
- $-11.49
- Volume
- $11.9k
- Markets traded
- 100
- Open portfolio
- $3.7k
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.1%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded100
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- BlockerProfit concentration85.9% from one position
- Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
- CautionSettled sample8 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)25.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration9.9% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$3.34at 0.850US announces end of Iranian blockade by September 30, 2026?
- +$0.55at 0.725US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 7, 2026?
- +$-0.14at 0.090US announces end of Iranian blockade by October 31, 2026?
- +$-0.20at 0.620Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $70 in August?
- +$-2.10at 0.410US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 11, 2026?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08-08 13:15 | Iran successfully targets shipping by September 30, 2026? | SELL | 0.68 | $29.92 |
| 08-08 07:24 | US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.75 | $54.75 |
| 08-08 07:20 | US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 11, 2026? | SELL | 0.34 | $10.20 |
| 08-08 05:37 | US announces end of Iranian blockade by September 30, 2026? | BUY | 0.12 | $6.96 |
| 08-08 05:03 | Will Mojtaba Khamenei be head of state in Iran end of 2026? | BUY | 0.203 | $1.79 |
| 08-08 03:01 | Iran full airspace closure by December 31? | SELL | 0.69 | $82.11 |
| 08-08 02:40 | US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 14, 2026? | SELL | 0.42 | $8.98 |
| 08-08 01:46 | US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 31, 2026? | SELL | 0.77 | $77.00 |
| 08-08 01:13 | US announces end of Iranian blockade by September 30, 2026? | SELL | 0.88 | $1.76 |
| 08-08 01:12 | US announces end of Iranian blockade by September 30, 2026? | SELL | 0.87 | $143.55 |
| 08-08 01:00 | US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 31, 2026? | SELL | 0.77 | $105.49 |
| 08-08 01:00 | US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 31, 2026? | SELL | 0.77 | $2.31 |
| 08-08 01:00 | US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 31, 2026? | SELL | 0.77 | $5.39 |
| 08-08 00:04 | Iran full airspace closure by December 31? | SELL | 0.69 | $0.69 |
| 08-07 20:34 | US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 10, 2026? | SELL | 0.36 | $3.48 |