BloodyMummer
0xffb0b9b292e406fd250854a35a0c9bd5612afa37
- Realised P&L
- $60.4k
- Volume
- $1.35M
- Markets traded
- 822
- Open portfolio
- $13.7k
Can you copy this trader?
plausible — No blocker visible in the public data. That is a reason to backtest it, not a reason to follow it.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- ClearEdge per dollar4.5%
- Wide enough that a copier's worse fill would not automatically erase it.
- ClearMarkets traded822
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration21.9% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)72.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration24.2% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$3.0kat 0.416Will another country strike Iran by March 31?
- +$1.7kat 0.434Will UAE strike Iran by March 31?
- +$1.6kat 0.440Iran/Hezbollah strike on Cyprus by March 7?
- +$1.5kat 0.676Iran leadership change by April 30?
- +$1.4kat 0.784GTA VI released before June 2026?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11-01 21:13 | Will the Democrats win the Texas Senate race in 2026? | BUY | 0.71 | $355.00 |
| 11-01 19:59 | Will the Democrats win the Texas Senate race in 2026? | BUY | 0.71 | $355.00 |
| 11-01 13:46 | Will the Democrats win the Texas Senate race in 2026? | BUY | 0.71 | $355.00 |
| 10-31 15:35 | Will Russia enter Kramatorsk by December 31, 2027? | BUY | 0.5053883495 | $208.22 |
| 10-31 08:25 | Święczkowski reinstated as Constitutional Tribunal President by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.75 | $162.75 |
| 10-31 01:05 | Tusk out by December 31? | BUY | 0.91 | $155.88 |
| 10-31 01:05 | Tusk out by December 31? | BUY | 0.91 | $165.62 |
| 10-31 00:58 | Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by December 31? | SELL | 0.6354663701 | $1.4k |
| 10-31 00:55 | Nawrocki out by December 31? | BUY | 0.93 | $220.48 |
| 10-31 00:54 | Nawrocki out by December 31? | BUY | 0.92 | $126.41 |
| 10-31 00:00 | Tusk out by December 31? | BUY | 0.8177941176 | $222.44 |
| 10-30 23:54 | Nawrocki out by December 31? | BUY | 0.9105199928 | $251.62 |
| 10-30 23:54 | Nawrocki out by December 31? | BUY | 0.87 | $388.88 |
| 10-30 14:35 | Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections? | BUY | 0.94 | $1.4k |
| 10-29 12:57 | Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections? | BUY | 0.93 | $1.9k |