PolyBot

Read-only · no wallet, no orders

Traders

BloodyMummer

0xffb0b9b292e406fd250854a35a0c9bd5612afa37

Realised P&L
$59.5k
Volume
$1.33M
Markets traded
795
Open portfolio
$15.3k

Can you copy this trader?

plausibleNo blocker visible in the public data. That is a reason to backtest it, not a reason to follow it.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

ClearEdge per dollar4.5%
Wide enough that a copier's worse fill would not automatically erase it.
ClearMarkets traded795
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
ClearProfit concentration13.2% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)66.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration15.3% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by August 31? · Yes0.6320.735$2.3k+$325.99
Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by December 31? · No0.5830.810$1.8k+$508.01
Iran invades Kuwait by August 31? · No0.9140.979$1.7k+$108.71
US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by August 14? · Yes0.4720.650$1.5k+$407.36
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by December 31, 2026? · No0.7660.775$1.2k+$13.38
Will Russia enter Sumy by December 31, 2026? · No0.5820.940$1.2k+$449.12
Will Russia enter Kramatorsk by December 31, 2026? · No0.8240.810$1.1k$18.31
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 31? · Yes0.6040.690$896.87+$111.87
Will Russia enter Sloviansk by December 31, 2026? · No0.7750.790$677.49+$12.62
Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by September 30? · Yes0.7650.840$670.60+$60.07
US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 7, 2026? · No0.7900.794$434.31+$2.46
US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 31, 2026? · No0.4730.380$416.81$102.38
Mykhailo Fedorov reinstated as Ukrainian Defense Minister by August 31, 2026? · No0.9270.930$389.79+$1.19
Will Houthis successfully target shipping on August 20, 2026? · No0.8700.920$193.74+$10.53
Will Russia enter Kharkiv by December 31, 2026? · No0.9420.969$174.72+$4.87

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
07-31 22:02US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by July 31?SELL0.08$430.18
07-31 21:20Iran full airspace closure by August 15?SELL0.7179740092$677.90
07-31 09:44Mykhailo Fedorov reinstated as Ukrainian Defense Minister by August 31, 2026?BUY0.93$83.76
07-30 08:46Mykhailo Fedorov reinstated as Ukrainian Defense Minister by August 31, 2026?BUY0.92$109.60
07-29 23:43US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by July 24?SELL0.001$1.51
07-29 10:59US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by July 24?BUY0.229$17.40
07-29 10:59US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by July 24?BUY0.228$20.10
07-29 10:06US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 7, 2026?BUY0.79$371.24
07-29 00:29US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by August 31?BUY0.66$308.66
07-28 23:59US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by August 31?BUY0.6268932154$423.74
07-28 23:44US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by July 31?BUY0.3864791244$552.63
07-28 23:40US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by July 24?BUY0.285$48.44
07-26 20:07US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 31, 2026?BUY0.41$307.50
07-26 19:53US announces end of Iranian blockade by July 31, 2026?BUY0.78$1.7k
07-25 22:56Iran full airspace closure by August 15?SELL0.7227154837$826.49