PolyBot

Read-only · no wallet, no orders

Traders

jiudubishu

0x4e521c06f756fbbf32c812d843a4dfe1e52b44e7

Realised P&L
$-3.3k
Volume
$314.2k
Markets traded
422
Open portfolio
$1.3k

Can you copy this trader?

difficultPossible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-1.1%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded422
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
ClearProfit concentration14.1% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)86.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration18.1% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31? · Yes0.5150.575$230.00+$24.00
Zhang Youxia sentenced to prison before 2027? · Yes0.2100.115$218.50$181.49
Iran leadership change by September 30? · No0.8800.945$189.00+$13.00
Will Harry Kane win the 2026 Ballon d'Or? · Yes0.4100.530$159.15+$36.15
China x Japan military clash before 2027? · Yes0.1370.085$62.00$38.00
China ballistic missile launch by December 31? · Yes0.2320.185$55.50$14.00
China x Taiwan military clash before 2027? · Yes0.1550.077$49.92$50.08
Will Volodymyr Zelenskyy win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026? · No0.8760.931$46.58+$2.77
Will Bitcoin dip to $45,000 by December 31, 2026? · No0.5400.755$37.75+$10.75
Will the People’s Bank of China not change rates by September 30? · No0.3800.295$29.50$8.50
Will Xi meet with Takaichi by December 31, 2026? · Yes0.3100.295$29.50$1.50
US x China tariff agreement by December 31? · Yes0.8300.891$27.20+$1.86
Will the U.S. invade Cuba in 2026? · No0.7800.905$27.15+$3.75
SEC removes quarterly reporting requirement? · No0.5000.805$21.68+$8.21
Will Lionel Messi win the 2026 Ballon d'Or? · Yes0.0480.035$17.25$6.75

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
07-25 12:49Will Apple be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on July 31?BUY0.8$33.80
07-25 12:49Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on July 31?BUY0.7766820141$50.00
07-23 01:02Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026?SELL0.08$40.00
07-23 00:52Will Harry Kane win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?BUY0.41$123.00
07-23 00:52Will Ousmane Dembélé win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?BUY0.016$4.80
07-21 05:38Will Yu Deng win the 2026 Fields Medal?BUY0.016$3.78
07-20 02:51Will Trump be in the WC Champions Photo?BUY0.007$30.00
07-19 22:34Will Lionel Messi win the Golden Ball at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?BUY0.001$80.00
07-19 21:52Spain vs. Argentina: Team to AdvanceSELL0.92$1.2k
07-19 21:50Spain vs. Argentina: Team to AdvanceBUY0.9515828591$900.00
07-19 21:48Will Trump be in the WC Champions Photo?BUY0.4099999992$300.00
07-19 21:05Spain vs. Argentina: O/U 0.5SELL0.2975$258.54
07-19 20:43Spain vs. Argentina: O/U 0.5BUY0.6299999987$150.00
07-19 20:17Spain vs. Argentina: O/U 1.5BUY0.4174999989$200.00
07-19 19:59Spain vs. Argentina: Team to AdvanceBUY0.5999999994$200.00