jiudubishu
0x4e521c06f756fbbf32c812d843a4dfe1e52b44e7
- Realised P&L
- $-3.3k
- Volume
- $314.2k
- Markets traded
- 422
- Open portfolio
- $1.3k
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-1.1%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded422
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration14.1% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)86.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration18.1% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$826.03at 0.708Bitcoin Up or Down - December 22, 9:30AM-9:45AM ET
- +$580.90at 0.355Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
- +$501.72at 0.674Will Bitcoin reach $85,000 in February?
- +$425.00at 0.750Will A Nation That Has Never Won the World Cup Win in 2026?
- +$399.00at 0.637Will Europe (UEFA) win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07-25 12:49 | Will Apple be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on July 31? | BUY | 0.8 | $33.80 |
| 07-25 12:49 | Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on July 31? | BUY | 0.7766820141 | $50.00 |
| 07-23 01:02 | Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026? | SELL | 0.08 | $40.00 |
| 07-23 00:52 | Will Harry Kane win the 2026 Ballon d'Or? | BUY | 0.41 | $123.00 |
| 07-23 00:52 | Will Ousmane Dembélé win the 2026 Ballon d'Or? | BUY | 0.016 | $4.80 |
| 07-21 05:38 | Will Yu Deng win the 2026 Fields Medal? | BUY | 0.016 | $3.78 |
| 07-20 02:51 | Will Trump be in the WC Champions Photo? | BUY | 0.007 | $30.00 |
| 07-19 22:34 | Will Lionel Messi win the Golden Ball at the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | BUY | 0.001 | $80.00 |
| 07-19 21:52 | Spain vs. Argentina: Team to Advance | SELL | 0.92 | $1.2k |
| 07-19 21:50 | Spain vs. Argentina: Team to Advance | BUY | 0.9515828591 | $900.00 |
| 07-19 21:48 | Will Trump be in the WC Champions Photo? | BUY | 0.4099999992 | $300.00 |
| 07-19 21:05 | Spain vs. Argentina: O/U 0.5 | SELL | 0.2975 | $258.54 |
| 07-19 20:43 | Spain vs. Argentina: O/U 0.5 | BUY | 0.6299999987 | $150.00 |
| 07-19 20:17 | Spain vs. Argentina: O/U 1.5 | BUY | 0.4174999989 | $200.00 |
| 07-19 19:59 | Spain vs. Argentina: Team to Advance | BUY | 0.5999999994 | $200.00 |