jiudubishu
0x4e521c06f756fbbf32c812d843a4dfe1e52b44e7
- Realised P&L
- $-3.6k
- Volume
- $316.2k
- Markets traded
- 429
- Open portfolio
- $1.2k
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-1.1%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded429
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration14.8% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)82.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration17.9% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$826.03at 0.708Bitcoin Up or Down - December 22, 9:30AM-9:45AM ET
- +$580.90at 0.354Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
- +$501.72at 0.674Will Bitcoin reach $85,000 in February?
- +$423.88at 0.751Will A Nation That Has Never Won the World Cup Win in 2026?
- +$391.44at 0.644Will Europe (UEFA) win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-15 13:41 | Will Xi Jinping visit US by September 24? | BUY | 0.1 | $6.00 |
| 09-10 23:57 | Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections? | BUY | 0.87 | $43.50 |
| 09-10 23:55 | Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting? | BUY | 0.37 | $18.50 |
| 08-18 10:06 | Will Apple be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on August 31? | SELL | 0.9 | $89.99 |
| 08-18 10:06 | Iran leadership change by September 30? | SELL | 0.95 | $190.00 |
| 07-25 12:49 | Will Apple be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on July 31? | BUY | 0.8 | $33.80 |
| 07-25 12:49 | Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on July 31? | BUY | 0.7766820141 | $50.00 |
| 07-23 01:02 | Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026? | SELL | 0.08 | $40.00 |
| 07-23 00:52 | Will Harry Kane win the 2026 Ballon d'Or? | BUY | 0.41 | $123.00 |
| 07-23 00:52 | Will Ousmane Dembélé win the 2026 Ballon d'Or? | BUY | 0.016 | $4.80 |
| 07-21 05:38 | Will Yu Deng win the 2026 Fields Medal? | BUY | 0.016 | $3.78 |
| 07-20 02:51 | Will Trump be in the WC Champions Photo? | BUY | 0.007 | $30.00 |
| 07-19 22:34 | Will Lionel Messi win the Golden Ball at the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | BUY | 0.001 | $80.00 |
| 07-19 21:52 | Spain vs. Argentina: Team to Advance | SELL | 0.92 | $1.2k |
| 07-19 21:50 | Spain vs. Argentina: Team to Advance | BUY | 0.9515828591 | $900.00 |