0xE8C428250693d7f1E588ba6F4666d02E68F0eA5c-1782008528190
0xe8c428250693d7f1e588ba6f4666d02e68f0ea5c
- Realised P&L
- $-1.6k
- Volume
- $305.1k
- Markets traded
- 2,687
- Open portfolio
- $3.6k
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.5%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- CautionMarkets traded2,687
- High turnover. Following this needs automation and low latency, not judgement.
- ClearProfit concentration29.1% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)68.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration4.7% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$39.70at 0.365Will the Bank of Brazil decrease the target for the Selic rate by 25 bps at the August meeting?
- +$21.92at 0.480Will Venezuela recognize Israel by December 31?
- +$18.85at 0.750Will Russia enter Dobropillia by December 31?
- +$17.56at 0.450Will Hyperliquid reach $100 by December 31, 2026?
- +$16.64at 0.820GRVT FDV above $300M one day after launch?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-17 08:04 | Will Neuralink's valuation hit (LOW) $25B by December 31? | SELL | 0.89 | $26.70 |
| 09-17 07:58 | Will OpenAI have the best Code Arena | WebDev AI at the end of October 2026? | SELL | 0.462 | $15.83 |
| 09-17 06:14 | Will the Bank of Canada increase the target for the overnight rate by 25 bps at the December interest rate announcement? | SELL | 0.58 | $8.93 |
| 09-17 05:22 | No change in Bank of England’s interest rates after November 2026 meeting? | SELL | 0.52 | $5.20 |
| 09-17 04:14 | Will OpenAI be the second-best Math AI lab at the end of October 2026? | SELL | 0.76 | $9.13 |
| 09-17 03:48 | Will Neuralink's valuation hit (LOW) $25B by December 31? | BUY | 0.88 | $26.40 |
| 09-17 03:46 | Will Jalen Brunson rank in Google’s Top 5 Most Searched Athletes of 2026? | SELL | 0.81 | $16.20 |
| 09-17 02:28 | Will Lighter reach $8 before 2027? | SELL | 0.674 | $5.86 |
| 09-17 01:56 | Will Gary Sulz win the 2026 Revelstoke mayoral election? | SELL | 0.44 | $22.00 |
| 09-17 01:28 | Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 IL-11 House election by 10%-15%? | SELL | 0.76 | $7.88 |
| 09-16 23:48 | Will the 30-year Treasury yield hit 5.80% before 2027? | SELL | 0.861 | $4.63 |
| 09-16 23:32 | Will OpenAI's valuation hit (HIGH) $1.5T by December 31? | SELL | 0.71 | $7.10 |
| 09-16 23:28 | Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 CT-02 House election by 20%-25%? | SELL | 0.69 | $4.14 |
| 09-16 17:58 | Will Denny Hamlin win the 2026 NASCAR Cup Series championship? | SELL | 0.72 | $25.64 |
| 09-16 16:04 | Will the ECB announce a 25 bps increase at the October 2026 meeting? | SELL | 0.67 | $20.10 |