0xE8C428250693d7f1E588ba6F4666d02E68F0eA5c-1782008528190
0xe8c428250693d7f1e588ba6f4666d02e68f0ea5c
- Realised P&L
- $-3.5k
- Volume
- $549.3k
- Markets traded
- 4,197
- Open portfolio
- $5.6k
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.6%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- CautionMarkets traded4,197
- High turnover. Following this needs automation and low latency, not judgement.
- ClearProfit concentration14.9% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)50.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration3.5% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$21.87at 0.105Will Venezuela recognize Israel by December 31?
- +$18.85at 0.750Will Russia enter Dobropillia by December 31?
- +$16.64at 0.820GRVT FDV above $300M one day after launch?
- +$16.29at 0.890Will the next US-Iran senior diplomatic meeting take place in the United States by December 31, 2026?
- +$16.14at 0.770US x Iran diplomatic meeting by July 31, 2026?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11-01 19:36 | 1win FDV above $70M one day after launch? | SELL | 0.67 | $41.54 |
| 11-01 18:14 | Will no next Israeli Minister of Justice be appointed by February 28, 2027? | SELL | 0.57 | $34.20 |
| 11-01 08:52 | Will the Ornn H200 Index be between $5.50 and $6.00 on December 31, 2026? | SELL | 0.14 | $0.70 |
| 11-01 06:26 | Will Minnesota Wild be the 2027 NHL Western Conference Champion? | SELL | 0.14 | $4.62 |
| 11-01 06:18 | Will the Ornn A100 Index be between $0.50 and $0.75 on November 30, 2026? | SELL | 0.9 | $38.07 |
| 11-01 05:52 | Will Justin Herbert have 21.5+ passing touchdowns in the 2026-27 NFL regular season? | SELL | 0.65 | $3.31 |
| 11-01 05:24 | Will Anthropic have the #1 AI model at the end of November 2026? | SELL | 0.75 | $23.03 |
| 11-01 04:44 | Will Anthropic have the #1 AI model at the end of November 2026? | SELL | 0.75 | $3.75 |
| 11-01 04:42 | Will Anthropic have the #1 AI model at the end of November 2026? | SELL | 0.76 | $4.94 |
| 11-01 04:38 | Will Anthropic have the #1 AI model at the end of November 2026? | SELL | 0.75 | $15.00 |
| 11-01 04:34 | Will Anthropic have the #1 AI model at the end of November 2026? | SELL | 0.75 | $15.00 |
| 11-01 04:22 | Will the Reserve Bank of India increase the policy repo rate by 50+ bps at the December meeting? | SELL | 0.87 | $8.70 |
| 11-01 03:48 | Will the next Claude Opus model (5.6+) debut with an HLE-Diamond score of 60% or higher? | SELL | 0.49 | $24.50 |
| 11-01 02:00 | Will Marco Rubio announce a presidential run before 2028? | SELL | 0.55 | $6.50 |
| 11-01 01:42 | Will the next Claude Opus model (5.6+) debut at a score of at least 1540 by June 30, 2027? | SELL | 0.81 | $58.32 |