PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

0xE8C428250693d7f1E588ba6F4666d02E68F0eA5c-1782008528190

0xe8c428250693d7f1e588ba6f4666d02e68f0ea5c

Realised P&L
$-3.5k
Volume
$549.3k
Markets traded
4,197
Open portfolio
$5.6k

Can you copy this trader?

difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-0.6%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
CautionMarkets traded4,197
High turnover. Following this needs automation and low latency, not judgement.
ClearProfit concentration14.9% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)50.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration3.5% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will Hsu Hsin-ying win the next Hsinchu County Magistrate election? · No0.7800.580$116.00−$40.00
Will Anthropic's IPO valuation be between $1.75T and $2.00T? · No0.7370.695$104.25−$6.25
Will Katie Zacharia be officially given a new role in the Trump administration by December 31? · No0.7800.715$100.10−$9.10
Anthropic IPO closing market cap above $2T? · No0.6290.595$95.20−$5.50
Will Emmanuel Bwacha win the 2027 Taraba State gubernatorial election? · No0.8700.830$83.00−$4.00
Will Ukraine re-enter Terny by December 31, 2026? · No0.7500.660$80.14−$10.93
Will the 5-year Treasury yield hit 5.10% before 2027? · No0.7170.642$75.95−$8.87
Will "Water Girl" be nominated for Best Animated Short Film at the 99th Academy Awards? · No0.8500.755$75.50−$9.50
Will Sulaiman Bolakale Kawu win the 2027 Kwara State gubernatorial election? · No0.8000.745$74.50−$5.50
Will Google have the best Math AI model at the end of November 2026? · No0.6930.545$73.03−$19.77
Will GPT Astra 6.1+ debut at a score of at least 1450 by June 30, 2027? · No0.5500.365$73.00−$36.99
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the March 2027 meeting? · No0.5770.505$72.04−$10.27
Will there be exactly 2 North Korea tests in November 2026? · No0.7780.715$71.50−$6.30
Will "Despacito" by Luis Fonsi, Daddy Yankee be on the radio in GTA VI at launch? · No0.9000.875$70.00−$2.00
Will François Hollande be on the ballot for the 2027 French presidential election? · No0.7500.690$69.00−$6.00

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
11-01 19:361win FDV above $70M one day after launch?SELL0.67$41.54
11-01 18:14Will no next Israeli Minister of Justice be appointed by February 28, 2027?SELL0.57$34.20
11-01 08:52Will the Ornn H200 Index be between $5.50 and $6.00 on December 31, 2026?SELL0.14$0.70
11-01 06:26Will Minnesota Wild be the 2027 NHL Western Conference Champion?SELL0.14$4.62
11-01 06:18Will the Ornn A100 Index be between $0.50 and $0.75 on November 30, 2026?SELL0.9$38.07
11-01 05:52Will Justin Herbert have 21.5+ passing touchdowns in the 2026-27 NFL regular season?SELL0.65$3.31
11-01 05:24Will Anthropic have the #1 AI model at the end of November 2026?SELL0.75$23.03
11-01 04:44Will Anthropic have the #1 AI model at the end of November 2026?SELL0.75$3.75
11-01 04:42Will Anthropic have the #1 AI model at the end of November 2026?SELL0.76$4.94
11-01 04:38Will Anthropic have the #1 AI model at the end of November 2026?SELL0.75$15.00
11-01 04:34Will Anthropic have the #1 AI model at the end of November 2026?SELL0.75$15.00
11-01 04:22Will the Reserve Bank of India increase the policy repo rate by 50+ bps at the December meeting?SELL0.87$8.70
11-01 03:48Will the next Claude Opus model (5.6+) debut with an HLE-Diamond score of 60% or higher?SELL0.49$24.50
11-01 02:00Will Marco Rubio announce a presidential run before 2028?SELL0.55$6.50
11-01 01:42Will the next Claude Opus model (5.6+) debut at a score of at least 1540 by June 30, 2027?SELL0.81$58.32