PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

TRHU

0x1e44fb6d27fe3508bd349f8d8083bcd88c0b8d50

Realised P&L
$111.41
Volume
$12.3k
Markets traded
329
Open portfolio
$479.87

Can you copy this trader?

difficultPossible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar0.9%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded329
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
ClearProfit concentration18.5% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)94.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration25.6% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will Xi Jinping visit US before 2027? · Yes0.7160.977$122.78+$32.78
US x China tariff agreement by December 31? · Yes0.8630.893$31.06+$1.06
Ukraine recognizes Russian sovereignty over its territory by December 31, 2026? · No0.9700.976$30.17+$0.17
Trump meets with Putin by December 31? · Yes0.4200.655$23.39+$8.39
2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, D House · Yes0.4300.595$20.76+$5.76
European country agrees to give Ukraine security guarantee by December 31? · No0.9100.925$20.33+$0.33
Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? · Yes0.4570.445$19.50$0.50
NATO x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026? · Yes0.2380.255$16.05+$1.05
Lai Ching-te out as President of Taiwan by December 31, 2026? · No0.9620.963$15.01+$0.01
China x India military clash by December 31, 2026? · No0.9150.935$14.30+$0.30
Will Xi meet with Takaichi by December 31, 2026? · No0.7530.365$12.12$12.88
Will Donald Trump win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026? · No0.8700.983$11.29+$1.29
Will Israel reopen its embassy in Iran in 2026? · No0.9000.986$10.95+$0.95
Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026? · No0.9000.954$10.60+$0.60
Xi meets with Lee Jae-Myung by December 31? · Yes0.8800.921$10.47+$0.47

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
08-09 14:34Ukraine recognizes Russian sovereignty over its territory by December 31, 2026?BUY0.0329999684$1.00
08-09 14:34Ukraine recognizes Russian sovereignty over its territory by December 31, 2026?BUY0.9699999997$30.00
08-09 14:33European country agrees to give Ukraine security guarantee by December 31?BUY0.9099999995$20.00
08-09 14:33Will András Baka be the next President of Hungary?BUY0.996999987$50.00
08-09 14:32Lai Ching-te out as President of Taiwan by December 31, 2026?BUY0.96199997$15.00
08-09 14:31China x India military clash by December 31, 2026?BUY0.9299999953$10.00
08-09 14:31Xi meets with Lee Jae-Myung by December 31?BUY0.8799999296$10.00
08-09 14:30Will Xi meet with Takaichi by December 31, 2026?BUY0.6920551773$5.00
08-09 14:30Will Z.ai be the second-best Chinese AI company at the end of August 2026?BUY0.3489999905$15.00
08-09 14:29Iran-Oman Hormuz Agreement by August 31?BUY0.7899999684$15.00
08-09 14:29NATO x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026?BUY0.2383300909$15.00
08-09 14:28US x Iran diplomatic meeting by August 31, 2026?BUY0.3099999836$10.00
08-09 14:28US-Iran 60 day negotiation period extended?BUY0.6$10.00
08-09 14:28Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by December 31?BUY0.1899999726$5.00
08-09 14:26Foreign intervention in Gaza by December 31?BUY0.3399999857$10.00