0x36f79f01e694170c234006Bef19796C828b819d1-1761322334728
0x36f79f01e694170c234006bef19796c828b819d1
- Realised P&L
- $34.31
- Volume
- $683.06
- Markets traded
- 18
- Open portfolio
- $48.04
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- ClearEdge per dollar5.0%
- Wide enough that a copier's worse fill would not automatically erase it.
- BlockerMarkets traded18
- Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
- BlockerProfit concentration77.4% from one position
- Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
- CautionSettled sample4 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)75.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration21.8% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$45.77at 0.170Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
- +$8.14at 0.260Will China announce a Boeing aircraft purchase by May 22?
- +$5.22at 0.495LoL: Invictus Gaming vs Top Esports (BO5) - LPL Playoffs
- +$-0.72at 0.577Will a team from France be the 2026 Champions League winner?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-14 17:57 | KOSPI all-time high before 2028? | BUY | 0.3099999954 | $10.00 |
| 09-14 17:56 | OpenAI vs. Anthropic: First to another Millennium Prize Solution? | BUY | 0.3699999593 | $2.00 |
| 09-14 17:53 | Will OpenAI resume US ChatGPT Pro signups by September 23, 2026? | BUY | 0.2 | $2.00 |
| 09-14 17:52 | LoL: Top Esports vs Invictus Gaming (BO5) - LPL Regional Finals Playoffs | BUY | 0.599999988 | $10.00 |
| 09-01 06:11 | Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through September 30? | BUY | 0.1399998824 | $1.00 |
| 09-01 06:10 | Fed Rate Hike by September 2026 Meeting? | BUY | 0.5599999776 | $5.00 |
| 09-01 05:58 | LoL: Invictus Gaming vs Top Esports (BO5) - LPL Playoffs | BUY | 0.4829489059 | $5.00 |
| 09-01 05:58 | LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs T1 (BO5) - LCK Playoffs | BUY | 0.359999977 | $5.00 |
| 09-01 05:56 | China ballistic missile launch by December 31? | BUY | 0.1799999755 | $5.00 |
| 09-01 05:54 | Zhang Youxia sentenced to prison before 2027? | BUY | 0.1 | $3.00 |
| 09-01 05:52 | Will Xi Jinping visit US before 2027? | BUY | 0.036767522 | $3.00 |
| 05-30 18:22 | Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | BUY | 0.167999969 | $4.07 |
| 05-30 18:13 | Will a team from France be the 2026 Champions League winner? | SELL | 0.5 | $4.25 |
| 05-30 18:11 | Will a team from France be the 2026 Champions League winner? | BUY | 0.5699999541 | $4.84 |
| 05-30 18:10 | Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | SELL | 0.167 | $4.99 |