PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

0x36f79f01e694170c234006Bef19796C828b819d1-1761322334728

0x36f79f01e694170c234006bef19796c828b819d1

Realised P&L
$34.31
Volume
$683.06
Markets traded
18
Open portfolio
$48.04

Can you copy this trader?

unrealisticMultiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

ClearEdge per dollar5.0%
Wide enough that a copier's worse fill would not automatically erase it.
BlockerMarkets traded18
Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
BlockerProfit concentration77.4% from one position
Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
CautionSettled sample4 positions
Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
Not knownWin rate (sample)75.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration21.8% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
KOSPI all-time high before 2028? · No0.3100.325$10.48+$0.48
LoL: Top Esports vs Invictus Gaming (BO5) - LPL Regional Finals Playoffs · Invictus Gaming0.6000.555$9.25$0.75
Fed Rate Hike by September 2026 Meeting? · Yes0.5600.870$7.77+$2.77
Will Xi Jinping visit US before 2027? · No0.0760.057$6.56$2.25
China ballistic missile launch by December 31? · Yes0.1800.205$5.69+$0.69
Zhang Youxia sentenced to prison before 2027? · Yes0.1000.115$3.45+$0.45
Will OpenAI resume US ChatGPT Pro signups by September 23, 2026? · Yes0.2000.260$2.60+$0.60
OpenAI vs. Anthropic: First to another Millennium Prize Solution? · Anthropic0.3700.235$1.27$0.73
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through September 30? · No0.1400.135$0.96$0.04
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs T1 (BO5) - LCK Playoffs · T10.3600.000$0.00$5.00
Will Trump visit China by April 30? · Yes0.3200.000$0.00$9.99
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June? · Yes0.3300.000$0.00$5.00
Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-05-30? · Yes0.3300.000$0.00$5.00
Will Trump visit China by May 15? · No0.0050.000$0.00$1.00

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
09-14 17:57KOSPI all-time high before 2028?BUY0.3099999954$10.00
09-14 17:56OpenAI vs. Anthropic: First to another Millennium Prize Solution?BUY0.3699999593$2.00
09-14 17:53Will OpenAI resume US ChatGPT Pro signups by September 23, 2026?BUY0.2$2.00
09-14 17:52LoL: Top Esports vs Invictus Gaming (BO5) - LPL Regional Finals PlayoffsBUY0.599999988$10.00
09-01 06:11Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through September 30?BUY0.1399998824$1.00
09-01 06:10Fed Rate Hike by September 2026 Meeting?BUY0.5599999776$5.00
09-01 05:58LoL: Invictus Gaming vs Top Esports (BO5) - LPL PlayoffsBUY0.4829489059$5.00
09-01 05:58LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs T1 (BO5) - LCK PlayoffsBUY0.359999977$5.00
09-01 05:56China ballistic missile launch by December 31?BUY0.1799999755$5.00
09-01 05:54Zhang Youxia sentenced to prison before 2027?BUY0.1$3.00
09-01 05:52Will Xi Jinping visit US before 2027?BUY0.036767522$3.00
05-30 18:22Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?BUY0.167999969$4.07
05-30 18:13Will a team from France be the 2026 Champions League winner?SELL0.5$4.25
05-30 18:11Will a team from France be the 2026 Champions League winner?BUY0.5699999541$4.84
05-30 18:10Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?SELL0.167$4.99