PolyBot

Read-only · no wallet, no orders

Traders

PPMT

0x510f4963b66b1b18505faab74b0bb943d1dda43c

Realised P&L
$18.5k
Volume
$11.20M
Markets traded
28,863
Open portfolio
$17.7k

Can you copy this trader?

unrealisticMultiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar0.2%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
BlockerMarkets traded28,863
Far too many to mirror. This is automated flow across the whole venue, not a set of considered positions — copying it means rebuilding their infrastructure, at which point you are not copying anyone.
ClearProfit concentration27.2% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)74.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration3.0% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will the For safe food – through strengthening sustainable domestic production, increasing plant-based foods and ensuring clean drinking water (food initiative) initiative be approved in Switzerland’s September 27, 2026 popular vote? · No0.9560.965$58.87+$0.57
Will Mohamed Salah join Al-Hilal? · No0.9130.946$56.76+$1.98
Will the Democrats win the South Carolina Senate race in 2026? · No0.9100.900$56.61$0.63
Will voter turnout be between 59% and 62% in the 2026 Russian parliamentary election? · No0.8940.907$54.42+$0.78
Will the US economy be in stagflation at the end of 2026? · No0.9670.904$54.30$3.81
Will the Democratic Party win the WI-06 House seat? · No0.8960.879$52.74$1.02
Will Mallory Aurichio win Big Brother season 28? · No0.9720.946$51.08$1.40
Will John Rose win the 2026 Tennessee Governor Republican primary election? · No0.8950.894$50.51$0.09
Will Abdul El-Sayed win Genesee County in the Michigan Senate Democratic primary? · Yes0.8250.810$48.62$0.90
Will Michael be the #1 searched movie on Google this year? · No0.9730.965$48.25$0.40
Will Anthropic’s market cap be between 1.5T and 1.8T at market close on IPO day by December 31 2027? · No0.7960.802$48.16+$0.39
Will Mamdani pass the 2% Millionaire Tax before 2027? · No0.9510.954$47.70+$0.15
Will Russia enter Borova by September 30? · No0.8400.840$47.52+$0.00
Will Databricks' valuation hit (HIGH) $180B by December 31? · Yes0.9320.915$43.34$0.82
Will OpenAI's valuation hit (HIGH) $900B by December 31? · Yes0.8400.710$42.61$7.80

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
08-03 06:42Will the highest temperature in Paris be 33°C on August 4?SELL0.69$17.25
08-03 06:41Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 34°C on August 3?SELL0.08$1.16
08-03 06:32Will the highest temperature in Milan be 35°C on August 4?SELL0.53$10.60
08-03 06:26Will the highest temperature in London be 30°C on August 4?SELL0.2$6.00
08-03 06:23Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from July 31 to August 7, 2026?SELL0.071$0.71
08-03 06:20Will the Bank of Japan announce no change at the September 2026 meeting?SELL0.41$3.83
08-03 06:16Will the Eurozone's 2026 Annual Inflation be at least 3.1%?SELL0.618$18.54
08-03 06:12Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 31°C on August 3?SELL0.16$3.58
08-03 06:02Another critical Cloudflare incident by September 30, 2026?SELL0.74$14.80
08-03 06:00Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 33°C or higher on August 3?SELL0.1$3.00
08-03 05:52Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 34°C on August 3?SELL0.07$0.52
08-03 05:51Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 32°C on August 3?SELL0.6515479876$21.04
08-03 05:48Farsi Island no longer under Iranian control by August 31?SELL0.973$29.19
08-03 05:35Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from July 28 to August 4, 2026?SELL0.757$9.99
08-03 05:34Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from July 28 to August 4, 2026?SELL0.759$7.59