melonmanm
0x0787a58e205a70320db638113fe8da18c8800ca3
- Realised P&L
- $34.9k
- Volume
- $1.09M
- Markets traded
- 909
- Open portfolio
- $13.2k
Can you copy this trader?
plausible — No blocker visible in the public data. That is a reason to backtest it, not a reason to follow it.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- ClearEdge per dollar3.2%
- Wide enough that a copier's worse fill would not automatically erase it.
- ClearMarkets traded909
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration29.5% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)50.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration13.9% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$3.3kat 0.052US announces withdrawal from Al Udeid Air Base by Sep 30?
- +$2.4kat 0.120US x Iran diplomatic meeting by September 30, 2026?
- +$2.3kat 0.481Another Iranian diplomat expelled by June 30?
- +$2.3kat 0.210Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?
- +$2.2kat 0.036Will Lebanon recognize Israel by June 30?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-16 22:44 | NATO downs another Russian drone by September 15? | BUY | 0.04 | $4.00 |
| 09-16 22:06 | OpenAI reports another AI sandbox escape by October 15? | BUY | 0.69 | $55.20 |
| 09-16 22:01 | OpenAI reports another AI sandbox escape by September 30? | BUY | 0.2 | $0.60 |
| 09-16 22:01 | OpenAI reports another AI sandbox escape by September 30? | BUY | 0.186 | $22.32 |
| 09-16 21:42 | Will Iran target Iraq by September 15, 2026? | BUY | 0.15 | $1.65 |
| 09-16 20:50 | Another Iranian Ambassador expelled by September 30, 2026? | BUY | 0.79 | $31.60 |
| 09-16 19:56 | Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting? | BUY | 0.46 | $460.00 |
| 09-16 19:33 | Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the December 2026 meeting? | BUY | 0.3 | $2.10 |
| 09-16 19:33 | Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the December 2026 meeting? | BUY | 0.31 | $620.00 |
| 09-16 19:32 | Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting? | BUY | 0.5 | $360.65 |
| 09-16 19:31 | Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting? | BUY | 0.5 | $125.00 |
| 09-16 19:11 | Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting? | BUY | 0.52 | $58.98 |
| 09-16 19:03 | Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting? | BUY | 0.44 | $217.53 |
| 09-16 19:03 | Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting? | BUY | 0.44 | $440.00 |
| 09-16 18:42 | Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting? | BUY | 0.61 | $610.00 |