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Traders

mrkinetiq

0xb48b1a8f796ba414672f8974dbfedca5c6c504eb

Realised P&L
$15.4k
Volume
$1.45M
Markets traded
596
Open portfolio
$4.4k

Can you copy this trader?

plausibleNo blocker visible in the public data. That is a reason to backtest it, not a reason to follow it.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

CautionEdge per dollar1.1%
Real but slim. Leaves little room for the slippage a copier pays by entering later.
ClearMarkets traded596
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
ClearProfit concentration16.8% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)54.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration30.7% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will Russia enter Kramatorsk by December 31, 2026? · No0.8300.795$1.4k$60.00
Will Russia enter Sloviansk by December 31, 2026? · No0.7670.900$1.0k+$153.88
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $115 in September? · No0.8930.910$417.78+$7.80
Mojtaba Khamenei seen in public by December 31? · Yes0.2770.195$392.14$164.60
China x Philippines military clash before 2027? · No0.6640.715$286.00+$20.32
Will Ro Khanna win the 2028 US Presidential Election? · Yes0.0100.009$254.97$44.99
Will Russia enter Dopropillia by December 31, 2026? · No0.4820.145$248.85$578.92
Will Mojtaba Khamenei be head of state in Iran end of 2026? · Yes0.8230.840$190.35+$3.82
Will an AI lab announce another Millennium Prize solution by September 30, 2026? · No0.6000.815$110.03+$29.02
China ballistic missile launch by December 31? · Yes0.1700.185$61.62+$5.00
Another NATO Article 4 invocation by October 31, 2026? · Yes0.2200.205$41.00$3.00
Will Rodri win the 2026 Ballon d'Or? · Yes0.0930.045$33.68$36.17
US ceasefire against Iran continues through September 30? · Yes0.6400.000$0.00$65.78
U.S. anti-cartel operation outside of the U.S. by July 31? · Yes0.8510.000$0.00$425.61
Dota 2: TEAM VISION vs Team Spirit (BO5) - The International Playoffs · TEAM VISION0.5600.000$0.00$279.99

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
09-14 21:14Will Nithya Raman win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?SELL0.3281853568$70.82
09-14 21:13Will Nithya Raman win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?SELL0.3314642517$347.71
09-14 21:11Will Nicolás Maduro be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?SELL0.839$55.24
09-14 21:11Miguel Díaz-Canel out as leader of Cuba by December 31?SELL0.1495253991$82.42
09-14 21:10Will Anthropic IPO by October 31, 2026?SELL0.6$240.00
09-14 21:10Will the Democrats win the Michigan Senate race in 2026?SELL0.61$244.00
09-14 21:09Will the Republican Party hold 47 or fewer Senate seats after the 2026 midterm elections?SELL0.3$598.17
09-14 21:08US x Iran diplomatic meeting by October 31, 2026?SELL0.78$390.00
09-14 21:08US x Iran diplomatic meeting by September 30, 2026?SELL0.9030536644$901.97
09-14 21:072026 Balance of Power: D Senate, D HouseSELL0.52$1.1k
09-14 21:07Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by December 31?SELL0.7459199064$1.1k
09-14 21:06Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by December 31, 2026?SELL0.85$1.1k
09-14 21:05Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?SELL0.83$2.1k
09-14 21:04Will Mojtaba Khamenei be head of state in Iran end of 2026?SELL0.8278974134$2.0k
09-14 21:03Will the Republican Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections?SELL0.52$2.3k