Will Z.ai have the best Chinese AI model at the end of September 2026?

Tick: 0.01
Min order: 5
Fees: 0.04 · 100 @ 0.50 = $1.00 · takers only
Ends: 2026-09-30
Resolves by: https://arena.ai/leaderboard/text/overall-no-style-control

Price history

charttable

Yes. Currently 0.05. down 0.10 over the period, from 0.15. Range 0.05 to 0.15. 142 points.

Order book

Not connected

Yes

Live

Yes asks — sell orders. Worst price first; the best ask is the last row, nearest the spread.
Price	Size	Total
0.06	34	34
0.07	226	259
0.11	59	319
0.12	208	526
0.13	167	693
0.14	314	1,007
0.15	162	1,169
0.16	137	1,306
0.19	120	1,426
0.20	5	1,431
0.22	165	1,597
0.30	120	1,717

Spread0.02Mid0.05

Yes bids — buy orders. Best bid first, nearest the spread.
Price	Size	Total
0.04	1,688	1,688
0.03	2,600	4,288
0.02	2,182	6,470
0.01	5,605	12,075

No

Live

No asks — sell orders. Worst price first; the best ask is the last row, nearest the spread.
Price	Size	Total
0.96	1,688	1,688
0.97	2,600	4,288
0.98	2,182	6,470
0.99	5,605	12,075

Spread0.02Mid0.95

No bids — buy orders. Best bid first, nearest the spread.
Price	Size	Total
0.94	34	34
0.93	226	259
0.89	59	319
0.88	208	526
0.87	167	693
0.86	314	1,007
0.85	162	1,169
0.84	137	1,306
0.81	120	1,426
0.80	5	1,431
0.78	165	1,597
0.70	120	1,717

Top holders

Largest holders, grouped by outcome then position size. Up to 20 per outcome, measured in shares.
Holder	Outcome	Shares
OnYesYes	Yes	1,083.27
cqk	Yes	770.8
Hot-Skull	Yes	466.83
0x45e6Df48cCF5d1773D509C97052F819690cEC078-1782111207998	Yes	165.28
LornaPredicts	Yes	59.7
Alarak	Yes	55.29
planktonXD	Yes	39.5
rocky42024	Yes	38.14
0x5533…51ba	Yes	33.5
molodoyy	Yes	30.4
romanew-1-new	Yes	29.08
PPMT	Yes	26.37
AJSV	Yes	23.78
mustbethewater	Yes	23.21
Numitus1994	Yes	21
Mojito9	Yes	20.3
0x64b7fACDe41701a63500741faB214b9CC374334e-1776364975653	Yes	14.29
0x652bFf901f401Fdhsk342kdjfnfk029abks13	Yes	10.5
Fihdrzgdd	Yes	9
0x40C73F1916fbd495f8117Dc5755561aD778CB1E8-1782111633519	Yes	5

Recent trades

Most recent trades on this market, newest first.
Time	Side	Outcome	Price	Size	Value
03:30:54	BUY	No	0.94	39	$36.66
03:30:42	BUY	No	0.94	67	$63.31
03:30:42	BUY	No	0.94	21	$19.74
03:30:42	BUY	No	0.94	40	$37.60
03:30:42	BUY	No	0.9399999998	160	$150.85
03:30:42	BUY	No	0.94	140	$131.98
03:15:26	BUY	No	0.939999997	13	$12.41
03:15:24	BUY	No	0.9399999995	40	$37.95
02:29:54	BUY	No	0.93	14	$12.56
02:29:53	BUY	No	0.93	10	$9.30
02:29:51	BUY	No	0.93	10	$9.30
02:26:59	BUY	No	0.94	10	$9.40
02:26:59	BUY	No	0.94	40	$37.60
02:26:57	BUY	No	0.94	10	$9.40
02:26:57	BUY	No	0.94	40	$37.60
02:26:56	BUY	No	0.94	40	$37.60
02:26:54	BUY	No	0.94	29	$27.26
02:26:54	BUY	Yes	0.06	80	$4.80
00:38:24	BUY	No	0.96	40	$38.40
00:38:24	BUY	No	0.96	62	$59.52
00:38:23	BUY	No	0.96	145	$139.59
00:38:23	BUY	No	0.96	100	$96.00
00:38:23	BUY	No	0.96	40	$38.40
17:12:54	BUY	Yes	0.0699999363	14	$1.00
04:09:12	BUY	No	0.96	5	$4.87