Will Z.ai have the best Chinese AI model at the end of September 2026?

Tick: 0.001
Min order: 5
Fees: 0.04 · 100 @ 0.50 = $1.00 · takers only
Ends: 2026-10-01
Resolves by: https://arena.ai/leaderboard/text/overall-no-style-control

Price history

charttable

Yes. Currently 0.019. down 0.014 over the period, from 0.033. Range 0.017 to 0.088. 168 points.

Order book

Not connected

Yes

Live

Yes asks — sell orders. Worst price first; the best ask is the last row, nearest the spread.
Price	Size	Total
0.027	40	40
0.029	19	59
0.030	91	150
0.032	130	280
0.033	373	653
0.034	70	723
0.037	19	742
0.040	12	754
0.057	85	839
0.058	50	889
0.060	40	929
0.061	100	1,029

Spread0.016Mid0.019

Yes bids — buy orders. Best bid first, nearest the spread.
Price	Size	Total
0.011	30	30
0.010	1,388	1,418
0.009	999	2,417
0.008	2,350	4,767
0.007	1,531	6,299
0.006	2,352	8,651
0.005	1,333	9,984
0.004	1,750	11,734
0.003	4,142	15,875
0.002	3,400	19,275
0.001	4,443	23,718

No

Live

No asks — sell orders. Worst price first; the best ask is the last row, nearest the spread.
Price	Size	Total
0.989	30	30
0.990	1,388	1,418
0.991	999	2,417
0.992	2,350	4,767
0.993	1,531	6,299
0.994	2,352	8,651
0.995	1,333	9,984
0.996	1,750	11,734
0.997	4,142	15,875
0.998	3,400	19,275
0.999	4,443	23,718

Spread0.016Mid0.981

No bids — buy orders. Best bid first, nearest the spread.
Price	Size	Total
0.973	40	40
0.971	19	59
0.970	91	150
0.968	130	280
0.967	373	653
0.966	70	723
0.963	19	742
0.960	12	754
0.943	85	839
0.942	50	889
0.940	40	929
0.939	100	1,029

Top holders

Largest holders, grouped by outcome then position size. Up to 20 per outcome, measured in shares.
Holder	Outcome	Shares
rewardbots	Yes	4,837.28
Stupendous-Innerstate	Yes	4,835.73
cat6767	Yes	2,000
SingletonFamilyFund	Yes	1,830
OnYesYes	Yes	1,599.97
8dcc906a9b	Yes	1,547.08
maraya	Yes	1,342.63
puckzhao	Yes	1,030.25
molodoyy	Yes	959.94
taerv534	Yes	755.99
AlexWHLUX	Yes	725.45
flywheelpoly	Yes	600
X-Rabbit.Sezu	Yes	600
LornaPredicts	Yes	562.33
qianyi2026	Yes	561.31
Hot-Skull	Yes	499.97
donthackme	Yes	427.02
b41eAd279375742D6C2A1A2239Bdce56376411fD.	Yes	373.08
onyxt	Yes	321.5
planktonXD	Yes	317

Recent trades

Most recent trades on this market, newest first.
Time	Side	Outcome	Price	Size	Value
18:14:18	SELL	Yes	0.01	48	$0.48
18:14:18	SELL	Yes	0.01	82	$0.82
18:14:10	BUY	Yes	0.02364532	85	$2.00
11:02:55	BUY	No	0.989	121	$120.00
10:44:48	BUY	Yes	0.0315545563	171	$5.41
09:07:22	BUY	No	0.9884033484	105	$104.00
08:43:18	BUY	Yes	0.032	11	$0.35
08:42:07	BUY	Yes	0.017	88	$1.49
08:38:18	BUY	Yes	0.017	214	$3.63
08:37:28	BUY	Yes	0.017	654	$11.11
08:35:18	BUY	Yes	0.0169999999	216	$3.68
08:19:28	BUY	No	0.99	11	$10.89
08:19:10	BUY	Yes	0.011	55	$0.61
08:19:07	BUY	No	0.9873076333	300	$296.19
08:19:07	BUY	No	0.984	48	$47.65
08:19:07	BUY	No	0.984	100	$98.40
08:19:00	BUY	No	0.984	168	$165.31
08:18:52	BUY	No	0.9838214286	168	$165.28
08:18:48	BUY	No	0.983	45	$44.23
08:18:48	BUY	No	0.9836074235	30	$29.49
08:18:48	BUY	No	0.9829999998	88	$86.22
08:18:48	BUY	No	0.982	30	$29.46
08:18:48	BUY	No	0.984	425	$417.88
08:18:48	BUY	No	0.983	218	$214.10
08:18:48	BUY	No	0.983	40	$39.32