PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

flywheelpoly

0xb637c89655ffa76e2ff7f5ffa8a19374d3f34c42

Realised P&L
$-1.3k
Volume
$906.2k
Markets traded
1,875
Open portfolio
$4.4k

Can you copy this trader?

difficultPossible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-0.1%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
CautionMarkets traded1,875
High turnover. Following this needs automation and low latency, not judgement.
ClearProfit concentration24.1% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)70.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration39.7% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will J.D. Vance win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? · Yes0.5000.512$1.7k+$42.50
Will J.D. Vance win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? · No0.5000.487$1.7k$42.50
Will the next Claude Opus model be released by September 24, 2026? · No0.4880.455$258.21$19.05
Will the next Claude Opus model be released by September 30, 2026? · No0.2150.130$192.62$126.64
Will "Shaun the Sheep: The Beast of Mossy Bottom" score at least 95 on the Rotten Tomatoes Tomatometer? · Yes0.7750.895$111.88+$14.93
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting? · Yes0.4800.495$99.00+$3.00
Will Silver (XAGUSD) hit (LOW) $56 in September? · Yes0.1640.075$90.00$107.00
Will "Resident Evil" score at least 96 on the Rotten Tomatoes Tomatometer? · Yes0.4400.470$51.16+$3.27
Will Belgium participate in Eurovision 2027? · Yes0.2470.560$33.60+$18.80
Will "Shaun the Sheep: The Beast of Mossy Bottom" score at least 90 on the Rotten Tomatoes Tomatometer? · Yes0.9700.955$25.46$0.40
Shipping targeted in Hormuz on September 21, 2026? · Yes0.4400.295$16.23$7.97
Will Silver (XAGUSD) hit (LOW) $54 in September? · Yes0.1150.030$14.24$39.57
Will "Primetime" score at least 92 on the Rotten Tomatoes Tomatometer? · No0.5900.700$14.00+$2.20
Shipping targeted in Hormuz on September 22, 2026? · Yes0.5000.295$11.80$8.20
Will Z.ai have the best Chinese AI model at the end of September 2026? · Yes0.0580.019$11.40$23.30

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
09-17 19:15Will Google be the second-best AI lab at the end of September 2026?BUY0.7145945946$52.88
09-17 19:09Will Google be the second-best AI lab at the end of September 2026?BUY0.67$13.40
09-17 19:06Will Google be the second-best AI lab at the end of September 2026?BUY0.62$12.40
09-17 18:34Will Google be the second-best AI lab at the end of September 2026?BUY0.59$14.75
09-17 18:28Shipping targeted in Hormuz on September 22, 2026?BUY0.5$10.00
09-17 18:21Shipping targeted in Hormuz on September 21, 2026?BUY0.5$10.00
09-17 18:15Shipping targeted in Hormuz on September 23, 2026?BUY0.5$10.00
09-17 18:14Shipping targeted in Hormuz on September 20, 2026?BUY0.5$10.00
09-17 11:55Will the next Claude Opus model be released by September 17, 2026?BUY0.997$1.00
09-17 11:42WTI Crude Oil (WTI) Up or Down on September 17?SELL0.74$3.70
09-17 11:20Will "Resident Evil" score at least 96 on the Rotten Tomatoes Tomatometer?BUY0.44$44.00
09-17 11:17Will "The Weight" score at least 92 on the Rotten Tomatoes Tomatometer?BUY0.45$2.25
09-17 11:07Will "Resident Evil" score at least 94 on the Rotten Tomatoes Tomatometer?BUY0.75$3.75
09-17 11:06Will "Resident Evil" score at least 96 on the Rotten Tomatoes Tomatometer?BUY0.44$3.89
09-17 11:05Will "Resident Evil" score at least 90 on the Rotten Tomatoes Tomatometer?BUY0.97$1.00