flywheelpoly
0xb637c89655ffa76e2ff7f5ffa8a19374d3f34c42
- Realised P&L
- $-1.3k
- Volume
- $906.2k
- Markets traded
- 1,875
- Open portfolio
- $4.4k
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.1%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- CautionMarkets traded1,875
- High turnover. Following this needs automation and low latency, not judgement.
- ClearProfit concentration24.1% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)70.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration39.7% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$1.2kat 0.236Will Grand Theft Auto VI Extended Look get less than 20 million views on week 1?
- +$970.74at 0.959Over $400M committed to the Monad public sale?
- +$867.05at 0.121Will OpenAI’s Astra model be released between August 31 and September 6, 2026?
- +$754.83at 0.174Will OpenAI's Astra model be released on September 3, 2026?
- +$658.86at 0.090Will Netflix dip to $70 in February?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-17 19:15 | Will Google be the second-best AI lab at the end of September 2026? | BUY | 0.7145945946 | $52.88 |
| 09-17 19:09 | Will Google be the second-best AI lab at the end of September 2026? | BUY | 0.67 | $13.40 |
| 09-17 19:06 | Will Google be the second-best AI lab at the end of September 2026? | BUY | 0.62 | $12.40 |
| 09-17 18:34 | Will Google be the second-best AI lab at the end of September 2026? | BUY | 0.59 | $14.75 |
| 09-17 18:28 | Shipping targeted in Hormuz on September 22, 2026? | BUY | 0.5 | $10.00 |
| 09-17 18:21 | Shipping targeted in Hormuz on September 21, 2026? | BUY | 0.5 | $10.00 |
| 09-17 18:15 | Shipping targeted in Hormuz on September 23, 2026? | BUY | 0.5 | $10.00 |
| 09-17 18:14 | Shipping targeted in Hormuz on September 20, 2026? | BUY | 0.5 | $10.00 |
| 09-17 11:55 | Will the next Claude Opus model be released by September 17, 2026? | BUY | 0.997 | $1.00 |
| 09-17 11:42 | WTI Crude Oil (WTI) Up or Down on September 17? | SELL | 0.74 | $3.70 |
| 09-17 11:20 | Will "Resident Evil" score at least 96 on the Rotten Tomatoes Tomatometer? | BUY | 0.44 | $44.00 |
| 09-17 11:17 | Will "The Weight" score at least 92 on the Rotten Tomatoes Tomatometer? | BUY | 0.45 | $2.25 |
| 09-17 11:07 | Will "Resident Evil" score at least 94 on the Rotten Tomatoes Tomatometer? | BUY | 0.75 | $3.75 |
| 09-17 11:06 | Will "Resident Evil" score at least 96 on the Rotten Tomatoes Tomatometer? | BUY | 0.44 | $3.89 |
| 09-17 11:05 | Will "Resident Evil" score at least 90 on the Rotten Tomatoes Tomatometer? | BUY | 0.97 | $1.00 |