OnYesYes
0xac29dd1fdcd974bc1bbd62f5859418ea5aab36c7
- Realised P&L
- $3.7k
- Volume
- $729.7k
- Markets traded
- 59
- Open portfolio
- $6.7k
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar0.5%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded59
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- BlockerProfit concentration53.4% from one position
- Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
- CautionSettled sample29 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)55.2%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration67.8% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$2.7kat 0.114Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $70 by end of June?
- +$929.99at 0.150Will Alibaba have the best Chinese AI model at the end of September 2026?
- +$675.28at 0.500Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?
- +$555.53at 0.080Will Xi Jinping visit US before 2027?
- +$106.49at 0.031Will Anthropic's market cap be $3.0T or greater at market close on IPO day?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08-25 22:31 | Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $6,000 by end of December? | SELL | 0.2 | $1.2k |
| 08-22 12:26 | Will DeepSeek be the second-best Chinese AI company at the end of September 2026? | BUY | 0.002 | $0.07 |
| 08-19 16:00 | Will DeepSeek have the best AI model at the end of August 2026? | SELL | 0.001 | $12.60 |
| 08-15 13:37 | Will Alibaba have the best AI model at the end of October 2026? | BUY | 0.003 | $0.03 |
| 08-03 16:17 | Will Microsoft have the best AI model at the end of December 2026? | BUY | 0.002 | $9.15 |
| 08-03 16:05 | Will DeepSeek have the best AI model at the end of August 2026? | BUY | 0.002 | $9.05 |
| 08-02 23:55 | Will Z.ai have the best AI model at the end of December 2026? | BUY | 0.004 | $15.96 |
| 08-02 23:53 | Will DeepSeek have the best AI model at the end of December 2026? | BUY | 0.007 | $40.43 |
| 08-01 14:15 | Will StepFun have the best Chinese AI model at the end of September 2026? | BUY | 0.001 | $0.05 |
| 08-01 14:15 | Will Meituan have the best Chinese AI model at the end of September 2026? | BUY | 0.001 | $0.53 |
| 08-01 10:46 | Will ByteDance have the best AI model at the end of September 2026? | BUY | 0.002 | $0.67 |
| 08-01 10:45 | Will Alibaba have the best AI model at the end of September 2026? | BUY | 0.002 | $0.52 |
| 08-01 02:11 | Will ByteDance have the best Chinese AI model at the end of September 2026? | BUY | 0.012 | $4.80 |
| 08-01 02:03 | Will StepFun have the best Chinese AI model at the end of September 2026? | BUY | 0.002 | $1.00 |
| 07-30 23:10 | Will Alibaba have the best AI model at the end of September 2026? | BUY | 0.002 | $0.63 |