PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

OnYesYes

0xac29dd1fdcd974bc1bbd62f5859418ea5aab36c7

Realised P&L
$3.7k
Volume
$729.7k
Markets traded
59
Open portfolio
$6.7k

Can you copy this trader?

unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar0.5%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded59
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
BlockerProfit concentration53.4% from one position
Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
CautionSettled sample29 positions
Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
Not knownWin rate (sample)55.2%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
CautionOpen concentration67.8% in top position
Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will China invade Taiwan by December 31, 2027? · Yes0.1240.095$4.5k−$1.4k
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the December 2026 meeting? · Yes0.3400.275$1.6k−$389.98
Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $6,000 by end of December? · Yes0.0980.021$363.14−$1.4k
Will DeepSeek have the best AI model at the end of December 2026? · Yes0.0050.003$45.32−$56.06
Will Z.ai have the best AI model at the end of December 2026? · Yes0.0040.002$37.62−$70.46
Will ByteDance have the best AI model at the end of December 2026? · Yes0.0020.001$17.82−$53.27
Will Baidu have the best AI model at the end of December 2026? · Yes0.0020.001$11.49−$34.46
Will Alibaba have the best AI model at the end of December 2026? · Yes0.0070.004$10.03−$9.13
Will Microsoft have the best AI model at the end of December 2026? · Yes0.0020.001$2.53−$7.59
Will DeepSeek have the best Chinese AI model at the end of November 2026? · Yes0.0200.031$1.09+$0.39
Will Moonshot have the best AI model at the end of December 2026? · Yes0.0110.003$0.51−$1.75
Will Z.ai have the best AI model at the end of September 2026? · Yes0.0020.000$0.00−$80.00
Will DeepSeek have the best Chinese AI model at the end of August 2026? · Yes0.0130.000$0.00−$95.75
Will Z.ai have the best AI model at the end of October 2026? · Yes0.0040.000$0.00−$20.73
Will ByteDance have the best Chinese AI model at the end of September 2026? · Yes0.0050.000$0.00−$18.71

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
08-25 22:31Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $6,000 by end of December?SELL0.2$1.2k
08-22 12:26Will DeepSeek be the second-best Chinese AI company at the end of September 2026?BUY0.002$0.07
08-19 16:00Will DeepSeek have the best AI model at the end of August 2026?SELL0.001$12.60
08-15 13:37Will Alibaba have the best AI model at the end of October 2026?BUY0.003$0.03
08-03 16:17Will Microsoft have the best AI model at the end of December 2026?BUY0.002$9.15
08-03 16:05Will DeepSeek have the best AI model at the end of August 2026?BUY0.002$9.05
08-02 23:55Will Z.ai have the best AI model at the end of December 2026?BUY0.004$15.96
08-02 23:53Will DeepSeek have the best AI model at the end of December 2026?BUY0.007$40.43
08-01 14:15Will StepFun have the best Chinese AI model at the end of September 2026?BUY0.001$0.05
08-01 14:15Will Meituan have the best Chinese AI model at the end of September 2026?BUY0.001$0.53
08-01 10:46Will ByteDance have the best AI model at the end of September 2026?BUY0.002$0.67
08-01 10:45Will Alibaba have the best AI model at the end of September 2026?BUY0.002$0.52
08-01 02:11Will ByteDance have the best Chinese AI model at the end of September 2026?BUY0.012$4.80
08-01 02:03Will StepFun have the best Chinese AI model at the end of September 2026?BUY0.002$1.00
07-30 23:10Will Alibaba have the best AI model at the end of September 2026?BUY0.002$0.63