onyxt
0x9de3fb3774997d0c3bd12b546cb6449e67dcb489
- Realised P&L
- $65.64
- Volume
- $4.8k
- Markets traded
- 26
- Open portfolio
- $110.16
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- CautionEdge per dollar1.4%
- Real but slim. Leaves little room for the slippage a copier pays by entering later.
- ClearMarkets traded26
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- BlockerProfit concentration59.6% from one position
- Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
- CautionSettled sample12 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)41.7%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration34.3% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$27.04at 0.209Will the total domestic gross for Spider-Man: Brand New Day be at least 900m by August 31?
- +$5.95at 0.290Another GTA VI trailer released by August 31?
- +$5.87at 0.250Will Ricardo Quaresma attend Cristiano Ronaldo's wedding?
- +$5.57at 0.119Will GPT-6 be released by August 21, 2026?
- +$0.94at 0.105Will Leonardo Bonucci attend Cristiano Ronaldo's wedding?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08-08 15:27 | Will OpenAI have the best AI model at the end of August 2026? | SELL | 0.036 | $0.19 |
| 08-08 11:55 | Will the next Google Gemini Pro model be released on August 27, 2026? | BUY | 0.0916409874 | $8.97 |
| 08-08 09:26 | Will OpenAI have the best AI model at the end of August 2026? | SELL | 0.038 | $0.19 |
| 08-08 09:26 | Will Karim Benzema attend Cristiano Ronaldo's wedding? | SELL | 0.011 | $0.05 |
| 08-08 07:26 | Will Republicans hold ≤46 Senate seats and ≤192 House seats after the 2026 midterms? | SELL | 0.829 | $4.15 |
| 08-08 07:26 | Will the total domestic gross for Spider-Man: Brand New Day be at least 900m by August 31? | SELL | 0.574 | $3.13 |
| 08-08 07:26 | Will OpenAI have the best AI model at the end of August 2026? | SELL | 0.045 | $0.45 |
| 08-08 05:25 | Will the total domestic gross for Spider-Man: Brand New Day be at least 900m by August 31? | SELL | 0.595 | $4.62 |
| 08-08 05:25 | Will OpenAI have the best AI model at the end of August 2026? | SELL | 0.06 | $1.21 |
| 08-08 05:25 | Will the total domestic gross for Spider-Man: Brand New Day be at least 900m by August 31? | SELL | 0.595 | $6.49 |
| 08-08 03:26 | Will OpenAI have the best AI model at the end of August 2026? | SELL | 0.06 | $2.43 |
| 08-08 03:26 | Will the total domestic gross for Spider-Man: Brand New Day be at least 900m by August 31? | SELL | 0.545 | $8.45 |
| 08-08 03:26 | Will the total domestic gross for Spider-Man: Brand New Day be at least 900m by August 31? | SELL | 0.5468323408 | $11.94 |
| 08-08 01:25 | Will no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026? | SELL | 0.137 | $0.58 |
| 08-08 01:25 | Will OpenAI have the best AI model at the end of August 2026? | SELL | 0.06 | $4.86 |