onyxt
0x9de3fb3774997d0c3bd12b546cb6449e67dcb489
- Realised P&L
- $263.70
- Volume
- $14.7k
- Markets traded
- 151
- Open portfolio
- $253.13
Can you copy this trader?
plausible — No blocker visible in the public data. That is a reason to backtest it, not a reason to follow it.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- CautionEdge per dollar1.8%
- Real but slim. Leaves little room for the slippage a copier pays by entering later.
- ClearMarkets traded151
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration11.1% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)76.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration9.5% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$49.19at 0.167Will the next Google Gemini Pro model be released by August 31, 2026?
- +$40.38at 0.090Iran-Oman Hormuz Agreement by August 31?
- +$33.03at 0.229Will "The Odyssey" 4th Weekend Box Office be at least 32m?
- +$30.33at 0.249Will OpenAI announce another Millennium Prize solution by December 31, 2026?
- +$29.22at 0.256Will an AI lab announce another Millennium Prize solution by December 31, 2026?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-22 20:00 | Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 NV-04 House election by 10%-15%? | SELL | 0.7 | $5.73 |
| 09-22 16:01 | US x Iran diplomatic meeting by October 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.3499999963 | $4.78 |
| 09-22 11:39 | Saudi-Houthi ceasefire agreement announced by September 30? | BUY | 0.1 | $20.00 |
| 09-21 23:22 | Will “Choosin' Texas” by Ella Langley win Music Video of the Year at the 2026 CMA Awards? | BUY | 0.4199999844 | $4.86 |
| 09-21 22:32 | Will OpenAI announce another Millennium Prize solution by September 30, 2026? | SELL | 0.1 | $2.96 |
| 09-21 20:18 | Will the next Claude Opus model debut at a score of at least 1500 by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.2999999959 | $14.59 |
| 09-21 00:43 | Will any other model be the best AI model on September 21, 2026? | SELL | 0.0166349942 | $0.43 |
| 09-21 00:43 | Will any other model be the best AI model on September 21, 2026? | SELL | 0.0208944544 | $0.47 |
| 09-20 17:29 | Will OpenAI announce another Millennium Prize solution by September 30, 2026? | SELL | 0.15 | $4.96 |
| 09-20 14:37 | Will Gears of War: E-Day win Best Multiplayer at the 2026 Game Awards? | SELL | 0.21 | $2.44 |
| 09-20 04:42 | Will "Resident Evil" Opening Weekend Box Office be less than 50m? | SELL | 0.999 | $6.73 |
| 09-20 01:51 | Will Robert Pattinson win Best Supporting Actor at the 99th Academy Awards? | SELL | 0.1979449153 | $14.95 |
| 09-20 00:00 | Will "Resident Evil" Opening Weekend Box Office be less than 50m? | SELL | 0.998 | $5.48 |
| 09-19 16:15 | US announces end of Iranian blockade by September 30, 2026? | BUY | 0.0899999994 | $3.22 |
| 09-18 22:12 | Will Robert Pattinson win Best Supporting Actor at the 99th Academy Awards? | SELL | 0.092 | $1.70 |