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onyxt

0x9de3fb3774997d0c3bd12b546cb6449e67dcb489

Realised P&L
$65.64
Volume
$4.8k
Markets traded
26
Open portfolio
$110.16

Can you copy this trader?

difficultPossible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

CautionEdge per dollar1.4%
Real but slim. Leaves little room for the slippage a copier pays by entering later.
ClearMarkets traded26
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
BlockerProfit concentration59.6% from one position
Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
CautionSettled sample12 positions
Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
Not knownWin rate (sample)41.7%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration34.3% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will the next Google Gemini Pro model be released by August 31, 2026? · No0.2100.408$37.68+$18.28
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting? · Yes0.6450.625$9.53$0.30
Will François Hollande advance to the second round of the next French presidential election? · Yes0.1100.105$9.22$0.44
Another GTA VI trailer released by August 31? · Yes0.5180.375$7.88$3.01
Will the next Google Gemini Pro model be released on August 27, 2026? · Yes0.0920.075$7.34$1.63
Anthropic IPO before 2027? · Yes0.6600.725$5.43+$0.49
Will the Bank of Japan announce a 25 bps increase at the September 2026 meeting? · Yes0.3800.420$5.37+$0.51
Will the Bank of Japan announce no change at the September 2026 meeting? · No0.4100.415$4.93+$0.06
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the December 2026 meeting? · Yes0.5900.585$4.87$0.04
Next Mythos-Class Model released by September 30, 2026? · Yes0.7300.640$4.34$0.61
Will the next Google Gemini Pro model be released by August 31, 2026? · Yes0.7150.592$4.09$0.85
Will the total domestic gross for The Odyssey be between 550m and 570m by August 31? · Yes0.4240.165$3.78$5.95
Will GPT-6 be released by August 31, 2026? · Yes0.3000.135$3.64$4.44
Will Republicans hold ≤46 Senate seats and ≤192 House seats after the 2026 midterms? · No0.7500.838$1.33+$0.14
Will the next Google Gemini Pro model be released by August 14, 2026? · Yes0.2640.080$0.45$1.03

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
08-08 15:27Will OpenAI have the best AI model at the end of August 2026?SELL0.036$0.19
08-08 11:55Will the next Google Gemini Pro model be released on August 27, 2026?BUY0.0916409874$8.97
08-08 09:26Will OpenAI have the best AI model at the end of August 2026?SELL0.038$0.19
08-08 09:26Will Karim Benzema attend Cristiano Ronaldo's wedding?SELL0.011$0.05
08-08 07:26Will Republicans hold ≤46 Senate seats and ≤192 House seats after the 2026 midterms?SELL0.829$4.15
08-08 07:26Will the total domestic gross for Spider-Man: Brand New Day be at least 900m by August 31?SELL0.574$3.13
08-08 07:26Will OpenAI have the best AI model at the end of August 2026?SELL0.045$0.45
08-08 05:25Will the total domestic gross for Spider-Man: Brand New Day be at least 900m by August 31?SELL0.595$4.62
08-08 05:25Will OpenAI have the best AI model at the end of August 2026?SELL0.06$1.21
08-08 05:25Will the total domestic gross for Spider-Man: Brand New Day be at least 900m by August 31?SELL0.595$6.49
08-08 03:26Will OpenAI have the best AI model at the end of August 2026?SELL0.06$2.43
08-08 03:26Will the total domestic gross for Spider-Man: Brand New Day be at least 900m by August 31?SELL0.545$8.45
08-08 03:26Will the total domestic gross for Spider-Man: Brand New Day be at least 900m by August 31?SELL0.5468323408$11.94
08-08 01:25Will no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?SELL0.137$0.58
08-08 01:25Will OpenAI have the best AI model at the end of August 2026?SELL0.06$4.86
Trader onyxt · PolyBot