PolyBot

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Traders

onyxt

0x9de3fb3774997d0c3bd12b546cb6449e67dcb489

Realised P&L
$263.70
Volume
$14.7k
Markets traded
151
Open portfolio
$253.13

Can you copy this trader?

plausibleNo blocker visible in the public data. That is a reason to backtest it, not a reason to follow it.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

CautionEdge per dollar1.8%
Real but slim. Leaves little room for the slippage a copier pays by entering later.
ClearMarkets traded151
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
ClearProfit concentration11.1% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)76.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration9.5% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will Anthropic's market cap be between $2.25T and $2.5T at market close on IPO day? · Yes0.1650.205$24.12+$4.76
Will Google have the best AI model at the end of December 2026? · Yes0.0900.100$21.46+$2.15
Will Google have the best AI model at the end of October 2026? · Yes0.0750.078$18.39+$0.73
Saudi-Houthi ceasefire agreement announced by September 30? · Yes0.1000.085$17.00$3.00
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the October 2026 meeting? · Yes0.3550.525$14.32+$4.64
Will the Birch and Swinnerton-Dyer Conjecture be the next Millennium Prize Problem solved by AI? · Yes0.3000.190$12.32$7.14
Will AI solve 3 more Millennium Prize Problems in 2026? · Yes0.1000.058$11.33$8.38
Will OpenAI have the best AI model at the end of September 2026? · No0.8670.989$11.33+$1.39
Will the next Claude Opus model debut at a score of at least 1500 by December 31, 2026? · No0.3000.200$9.73$4.86
US-Iran Hormuz Agreement by September 30? · Yes0.1800.098$8.12$6.88
Another Fed rate hike in 2026? · No0.2500.135$7.81$6.65
Will Dune: Part Three win Best Cinematography at the 99th Academy Awards? · Yes0.2500.245$7.08$0.14
Gemini 4.0 released by September 30, 2026? · No0.7000.911$6.43+$1.49
Will François Hollande advance to the second round of the next French presidential election? · Yes0.1100.068$5.93$3.73
Will Drake release a new album by September 30? · Yes0.1300.051$5.88$9.12

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
09-22 20:00Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 NV-04 House election by 10%-15%?SELL0.7$5.73
09-22 16:01US x Iran diplomatic meeting by October 31, 2026?BUY0.3499999963$4.78
09-22 11:39Saudi-Houthi ceasefire agreement announced by September 30?BUY0.1$20.00
09-21 23:22Will “Choosin' Texas” by Ella Langley win Music Video of the Year at the 2026 CMA Awards?BUY0.4199999844$4.86
09-21 22:32Will OpenAI announce another Millennium Prize solution by September 30, 2026?SELL0.1$2.96
09-21 20:18Will the next Claude Opus model debut at a score of at least 1500 by December 31, 2026?BUY0.2999999959$14.59
09-21 00:43Will any other model be the best AI model on September 21, 2026?SELL0.0166349942$0.43
09-21 00:43Will any other model be the best AI model on September 21, 2026?SELL0.0208944544$0.47
09-20 17:29Will OpenAI announce another Millennium Prize solution by September 30, 2026?SELL0.15$4.96
09-20 14:37Will Gears of War: E-Day win Best Multiplayer at the 2026 Game Awards?SELL0.21$2.44
09-20 04:42Will "Resident Evil" Opening Weekend Box Office be less than 50m?SELL0.999$6.73
09-20 01:51Will Robert Pattinson win Best Supporting Actor at the 99th Academy Awards?SELL0.1979449153$14.95
09-20 00:00Will "Resident Evil" Opening Weekend Box Office be less than 50m?SELL0.998$5.48
09-19 16:15US announces end of Iranian blockade by September 30, 2026?BUY0.0899999994$3.22
09-18 22:12Will Robert Pattinson win Best Supporting Actor at the 99th Academy Awards?SELL0.092$1.70