cat6767
0x124a73f09f38910fe1f7638f22a0f223c3723741
- Realised P&L
- $9.5k
- Volume
- $1.50M
- Markets traded
- 399
- Open portfolio
- $5.4k
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar0.6%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded399
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration21.4% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)72.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration44.0% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$2.6kat 0.412Game Handicap: HLE (-2.5) vs LYON (+2.5)
- +$2.6kat 0.680LoL: KT Rolster Challengers vs T1 Academy (BO3) - LCK Challengers League Rounds 3-4 Challenge Group
- +$2.6kat 0.380LoL: DN SOOPers Challengers vs Nongshim Esports Academy (BO5) - LCK Challengers League Playoffs
- +$2.5kat 0.400Grok 4.6 released by August 12, 2026?
- +$2.5kat 0.322LoL: DN SOOPers Challengers vs Nongshim Esports Academy - Game 3 Winner
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-04 01:38 | Next Claude Sonnet (5.6+) released by January 31, 2027? | BUY | 0.79 | $15.80 |
| 09-30 20:11 | Will Google be the first company to have an AI model hit 1550 on Chatbot Arena in 2026? | BUY | 0.1065245364 | $136.08 |
| 09-30 20:11 | Will Google be the first company to have an AI model hit 1550 on Chatbot Arena in 2026? | BUY | 0.0229396355 | $4.52 |
| 09-24 17:17 | Will any AI model reach 1575 Math Arena Score by December 31, 2026? | SELL | 0.66 | $132.00 |
| 09-24 14:15 | Will the next Google Gemini Pro model be released by October 31, 2026? | SELL | 0.2266209 | $226.62 |
| 09-24 09:29 | Will the next Google Gemini Pro model added to the Arena Leaderboard debut at a score of at least 1490? | SELL | 0.1399736736 | $173.60 |
| 09-23 12:15 | Will the next Google Gemini Pro model added to the Arena Leaderboard debut at a score of at least 1490? | BUY | 0.1120799013 | $102.19 |
| 09-23 07:27 | Will the next Google Gemini Pro model added to the Arena Leaderboard debut at a score of at least 1490? | SELL | 0.1390475711 | $146.47 |
| 09-23 04:53 | Will the next Google Gemini Pro model added to the Arena Leaderboard debut at a score of at least 1490? | BUY | 0.122 | $1.87 |
| 09-23 04:53 | Will the next Google Gemini Pro model added to the Arena Leaderboard debut at a score of at least 1490? | BUY | 0.1074648492 | $81.87 |
| 09-22 17:56 | Next OpenAI GPT Luna (5.7+) released by September 22, 2026? | BUY | 0.98 | $51.94 |
| 09-22 17:56 | Will the next OpenAI GPT Sol model be released on or prior to September 22, 2026? | BUY | 0.989 | $9.89 |
| 09-22 17:52 | Will the next OpenAI GPT Sol model be released on or prior to September 22, 2026? | BUY | 0.949 | $12.13 |
| 09-22 17:21 | Will Anthropic IPO by October 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.04 | $61.41 |
| 09-22 17:21 | Will Anthropic IPO by October 15, 2026? | BUY | 0.0086683088 | $47.02 |