SingletonFamilyFund
0x4c4ed674fde7dc998036b3ae92445d00fcdb297b
- Realised P&L
- $12.4k
- Volume
- $589.5k
- Markets traded
- 333
- Open portfolio
- $13.2k
Can you copy this trader?
plausible — No blocker visible in the public data. That is a reason to backtest it, not a reason to follow it.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- CautionEdge per dollar2.1%
- Real but slim. Leaves little room for the slippage a copier pays by entering later.
- ClearMarkets traded333
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration27.4% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)34.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration20.0% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$8.9kat 0.179Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of June 2026?
- +$2.5kat 0.247Will Anthropic have the second-best Coding AI model at the end of May 2026?
- +$765.73at 0.744Will any AI model reach 1510 Overall Arena Score by September 30, 2026?
- +$736.51at 0.056Will OpenAI have the best AI model for math on March 31?
- +$706.32at 0.416Will Google be the second-best Math AI lab at the end of August 2026?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-17 05:22 | Next Grok Model (4.7+) released by September 18, 2026? | BUY | 0.6651653543 | $76.03 |
| 09-17 05:22 | Next Grok Model (4.7+) released by September 18, 2026? | BUY | 0.6504836611 | $27.00 |
| 09-16 21:42 | Will the Republican Party win the IA-02 House seat? | BUY | 0.45 | $40.77 |
| 09-16 19:37 | Next Grok Model (4.7+) released by September 18, 2026? | SELL | 0.2055874008 | $57.24 |
| 09-16 18:48 | Will Alibaba be the third-best Chinese AI company at the end of September 2026? | SELL | 0.0028 | $0.70 |
| 09-16 16:29 | Will Z.ai be the third-best Math AI lab at the end of September 2026? | BUY | 0.4171120677 | $55.23 |
| 09-16 13:10 | Will any AI model reach 1520 Overall Arena Score by September 30, 2026? | SELL | 0.999 | $49.95 |
| 09-16 12:43 | Will Moonshot be the third-best Math AI lab at the end of September 2026? | SELL | 0.0151380534 | $3.24 |
| 09-16 10:32 | Will the next Claude Opus model be released by September 24, 2026? | BUY | 0.5 | $74.53 |
| 09-16 09:53 | Will any other model be the best AI model on September 21, 2026? | SELL | 0.1865184393 | $54.07 |
| 09-16 09:49 | Will the next Grok model (4.7+) debut at a score of at least 1460 by June 30, 2027? | BUY | 0.65 | $97.37 |
| 09-16 09:48 | Next Grok Model (4.7+) released by September 18, 2026? | BUY | 0.6199999997 | $172.63 |
| 09-16 09:41 | Will the next Grok model (4.7+) debut at a score of at least 1470 by June 30, 2027? | BUY | 0.7574687855 | $667.33 |
| 09-16 09:41 | Will any AI model reach 1520 Overall Arena Score by September 30, 2026? | SELL | 0.999 | $863.02 |
| 09-16 09:24 | Will the next Google Gemini Pro model added to the Arena Leaderboard debut at a score of at least 1495? | BUY | 0.61 | $24.40 |