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Traders

SingletonFamilyFund

0x4c4ed674fde7dc998036b3ae92445d00fcdb297b

Realised P&L
$12.4k
Volume
$589.5k
Markets traded
333
Open portfolio
$13.2k

Can you copy this trader?

plausibleNo blocker visible in the public data. That is a reason to backtest it, not a reason to follow it.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

CautionEdge per dollar2.1%
Real but slim. Leaves little room for the slippage a copier pays by entering later.
ClearMarkets traded333
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
ClearProfit concentration27.4% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)34.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration20.0% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will any AI model reach 1560 Coding Arena Score by December 31, 2026? · No0.5890.705$2.6k+$431.78
Will any AI model reach 1580 Coding Arena Score by December 31, 2026? · No0.6440.770$1.2k+$188.70
Will any AI model reach 1520 Overall Arena Score by September 30, 2026? · Yes0.5961.000$949.53+$383.14
Will the next Google Gemini Pro model added to the Arena Leaderboard debut at a score of at least 1490? · Yes0.7620.869$902.42+$110.11
Will the Republican Party win the IA-02 House seat? · Yes0.5010.445$819.07$102.68
Will the next Grok model (4.7+) debut at a score of at least 1470 by June 30, 2027? · No0.7570.845$744.45+$77.12
Will Google be the second-best Math AI lab at the end of September 2026? · Yes0.5640.795$556.35+$161.77
Will Z.ai be the third-best Math AI lab at the end of September 2026? · Yes0.1800.520$491.46+$321.77
Will Z.ai be the second-best Chinese AI company at the end of September 2026? · Yes0.5950.695$465.53+$67.10
Will the highest score achieved by a Moonshot Kimi model on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026 be 55% or higher? · No0.6820.795$367.00+$52.29
Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of December 2026? · Yes0.5910.715$357.50+$62.22
Will the Democratic Party win the AZ-02 House seat? · No0.6430.675$337.50+$15.95
Will Meta be the third-best AI lab at the end of September 2026? · Yes0.6810.892$321.54+$76.09
Will the Democrats win the Iowa Senate race in 2026? · No0.5860.605$302.50+$9.32
Will any AI model reach a Chatbot Arena score of at least 1520 by December 31? · Yes0.6291.000$296.80+$109.89

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
09-17 05:22Next Grok Model (4.7+) released by September 18, 2026?BUY0.6651653543$76.03
09-17 05:22Next Grok Model (4.7+) released by September 18, 2026?BUY0.6504836611$27.00
09-16 21:42Will the Republican Party win the IA-02 House seat?BUY0.45$40.77
09-16 19:37Next Grok Model (4.7+) released by September 18, 2026?SELL0.2055874008$57.24
09-16 18:48Will Alibaba be the third-best Chinese AI company at the end of September 2026?SELL0.0028$0.70
09-16 16:29Will Z.ai be the third-best Math AI lab at the end of September 2026?BUY0.4171120677$55.23
09-16 13:10Will any AI model reach 1520 Overall Arena Score by September 30, 2026?SELL0.999$49.95
09-16 12:43Will Moonshot be the third-best Math AI lab at the end of September 2026?SELL0.0151380534$3.24
09-16 10:32Will the next Claude Opus model be released by September 24, 2026?BUY0.5$74.53
09-16 09:53Will any other model be the best AI model on September 21, 2026?SELL0.1865184393$54.07
09-16 09:49Will the next Grok model (4.7+) debut at a score of at least 1460 by June 30, 2027?BUY0.65$97.37
09-16 09:48Next Grok Model (4.7+) released by September 18, 2026?BUY0.6199999997$172.63
09-16 09:41Will the next Grok model (4.7+) debut at a score of at least 1470 by June 30, 2027?BUY0.7574687855$667.33
09-16 09:41Will any AI model reach 1520 Overall Arena Score by September 30, 2026?SELL0.999$863.02
09-16 09:24Will the next Google Gemini Pro model added to the Arena Leaderboard debut at a score of at least 1495?BUY0.61$24.40