Will US GDP growth in 2026 be greater than 2.5%?

Tick: 0.001
Min order: 5
Fees: 0.05 · 100 @ 0.50 = $1.25 · takers only
Ends: 2027-01-29
Resolves by: https://www.bea.gov/data/gdp/gross-domestic-product
Rewards: 20 min size · 4.5¢ max spread

Price history

charttable

Yes. Currently 0.469. down 0.018 over the period, from 0.487. Range 0.360 to 0.525. 153 points.

Order book

Not connected

Yes

Live

Yes asks — sell orders. Worst price first; the best ask is the last row, nearest the spread.
Price	Size	Total
0.534	72	72
0.539	35	107
0.564	20	127
0.573	9	136
0.574	40	176
0.577	129	305
0.583	8	313
0.607	170	483
0.620	100	583
0.630	200	783
0.700	210	993
0.780	32	1,025

Spread0.129Mid0.470

Yes bids — buy orders. Best bid first, nearest the spread.
Price	Size	Total
0.405	10	10
0.404	59	69
0.399	5	74
0.393	12	87
0.360	16	103
0.357	20	123
0.281	16	139
0.051	150	289
0.050	250	539
0.040	391	929
0.030	521	1,450
0.021	6	1,456

No

Live

No asks — sell orders. Worst price first; the best ask is the last row, nearest the spread.
Price	Size	Total
0.595	10	10
0.596	59	69
0.601	5	74
0.607	12	87
0.640	16	103
0.643	20	123
0.719	16	139
0.949	150	289
0.950	250	539
0.960	391	929
0.970	521	1,450
0.979	6	1,456

Spread0.129Mid0.530

No bids — buy orders. Best bid first, nearest the spread.
Price	Size	Total
0.466	72	72
0.461	35	107
0.436	20	127
0.427	9	136
0.426	40	176
0.423	129	305
0.417	8	313
0.393	170	483
0.380	100	583
0.370	200	783
0.300	210	993
0.220	32	1,025

Top holders

Largest holders, grouped by outcome then position size. Up to 20 per outcome, measured in shares.
Holder	Outcome	Shares
Rickson83	Yes	1,278.14
Musk5	Yes	754.15
Busdriver23	Yes	297.02
JohnP92	Yes	240
387411007415611814092217897387	Yes	223.55
SnapElectionAvoider	Yes	201.76
kAmweijR	Yes	200
0x3a9d…f332	Yes	181.86
Hugin-og-Munin	Yes	128.75
xiaoaojiang	Yes	90
wozaitaibei	Yes	80
tradetosurvive1	Yes	58.67
Skaliz	Yes	50
dropmeplease	Yes	32.42
0x69f0C154a3412F2b3Fa7eB22c6d08E6B5B32FB27-1778811502354	Yes	30
0x2A02cdfC252a9562205bB950fD38bcA6166c8146-1773134995506	Yes	28.17
masterpotater	Yes	26.83
yiuyoo	Yes	25
tachyo	Yes	23.36
0xBadB335418eF11cdA8D40C48Fa5862bF7DfF8b57-1783025395698	Yes	20.11

Recent trades

Most recent trades on this market, newest first.
Time	Side	Outcome	Price	Size	Value
02:50:10	SELL	Yes	0.393	1	$0.46
13:37:30	SELL	No	0.506	1	$0.31
22:54:50	BUY	Yes	0.4	12	$4.90
19:32:29	BUY	No	0.564	15	$8.51
01:31:45	BUY	No	0.516	40	$20.64
12:44:48	BUY	No	0.551	10	$5.51
05:28:15	BUY	No	0.538	55	$29.64
16:08:21	SELL	No	0.511	0	$0.21
14:02:48	SELL	No	0.511	0	$0.21
13:48:55	BUY	No	0.499	40	$19.96
21:03:11	SELL	No	0.511	20	$10.22
21:02:26	BUY	Yes	0.488	20	$9.76
21:02:26	SELL	No	0.512	20	$10.24
23:02:07	BUY	No	0.521	5	$2.60
11:28:42	BUY	Yes	0.475	10	$4.75
11:28:42	BUY	Yes	0.465	240	$111.60
11:18:10	SELL	Yes	0.46	0	$0.12
10:23:10	SELL	Yes	0.46	18	$8.28
09:59:01	BUY	No	0.527	40	$21.08
09:55:21	BUY	No	0.526	12	$6.31
09:55:21	BUY	No	0.526	6	$3.32
09:55:21	BUY	No	0.526	12	$6.15
08:34:31	SELL	Yes	0.474	10	$4.74
15:21:49	SELL	Yes	0.435	25	$10.88
15:06:19	BUY	No	0.517	65	$33.61