Will US GDP growth in 2026 be greater than 2.5%?

Tick: 0.001
Min order: 5
Fees: 0.05 · 100 @ 0.50 = $1.25 · takers only
Ends: 2027-01-29
Rewards: 20 min size · 4.5¢ max spread

Price history

charttable

Yes. Currently 0.202. up 0.087 over the period, from 0.115. Range 0.085 to 0.289. 169 points.

Order book

Not connected

Yes

Live

Yes asks — sell orders. Worst price first; the best ask is the last row, nearest the spread.
Price	Size	Total
0.221	160	160
0.222	61	221
0.223	20	241
0.224	111	352
0.308	9	361
0.309	10	371
0.310	60	431
0.339	95	526
0.340	20	546
0.342	20	566
0.344	120	686
0.348	5	691

Spread0.039Mid0.202

Yes bids — buy orders. Best bid first, nearest the spread.
Price	Size	Total
0.182	51	51
0.181	40	91
0.177	115	206
0.176	157	363
0.154	21	384
0.114	16	400
0.112	20	420
0.100	11	431
0.091	20	451
0.079	30	481
0.011	12	493
0.010	34	527

No

Live

No asks — sell orders. Worst price first; the best ask is the last row, nearest the spread.
Price	Size	Total
0.818	51	51
0.819	40	91
0.823	115	206
0.824	157	363
0.846	21	384
0.886	16	400
0.888	20	420
0.900	11	431
0.909	20	451
0.921	30	481
0.989	12	493
0.990	34	527

Spread0.039Mid0.798

No bids — buy orders. Best bid first, nearest the spread.
Price	Size	Total
0.779	160	160
0.778	61	221
0.777	20	241
0.776	111	352
0.692	9	361
0.691	10	371
0.690	60	431
0.661	95	526
0.660	20	546
0.658	20	566
0.656	120	686
0.652	5	691

Top holders

Largest holders, grouped by outcome then position size. Up to 20 per outcome, measured in shares.
Holder	Outcome	Shares
Rickson83	Yes	1,278.14
Busdriver23	Yes	297.02
387411007415611814092217897387	Yes	223.55
InterestingUser	Yes	201.76
kAmweijR	Yes	200
Hugin-og-Munin	Yes	128.75
xiaoaojiang	Yes	90
wozaitaibei	Yes	80
0x3a9d…f332	Yes	51.02
Skaliz	Yes	50
planktonXD	Yes	40
dropmeplease	Yes	32.42
0x69f0C154a3412F2b3Fa7eB22c6d08E6B5B32FB27-1778811502354	Yes	30
AJSV	Yes	29.96
0x2A02cdfC252a9562205bB950fD38bcA6166c8146-1773134995506	Yes	28.17
masterpotater	Yes	26.83
yiuyoo	Yes	25
tachyo	Yes	23.36
0xBadB335418eF11cdA8D40C48Fa5862bF7DfF8b57-1783025395698	Yes	20.11
0x37525cB351f53968Cb1177C1059C09bC25E69d56-1761723227494	Yes	20

Recent trades

Most recent trades on this market, newest first.
Time	Side	Outcome	Price	Size	Value
15:32:03	BUY	Yes	0.1819999901	18	$3.28
15:24:24	BUY	Yes	0.182	5	$0.91
15:24:15	BUY	Yes	0.182	5	$0.91
15:24:09	BUY	Yes	0.182	5	$0.91
12:39:03	SELL	Yes	0.153	5	$0.80
08:09:13	BUY	No	0.853	34	$29.00
00:39:12	SELL	No	0.808	30	$24.24
00:37:49	SELL	Yes	0.164	5	$0.86
22:04:22	BUY	No	0.805	5	$4.21
17:32:19	BUY	No	0.78	20	$15.60
16:48:21	BUY	No	0.786	32	$24.88
15:51:00	SELL	No	0.829	80	$66.32
13:51:21	SELL	Yes	0.153	9	$1.36
13:51:12	SELL	Yes	0.159	6	$0.97
13:50:57	BUY	No	0.8310938881	20	$16.96
13:50:57	SELL	Yes	0.1584446196	152	$24.12
13:47:45	SELL	Yes	0.1817272727	110	$19.99
13:46:54	SELL	Yes	0.21075	20	$4.21
13:46:49	SELL	Yes	0.183	20	$3.66
13:39:49	SELL	Yes	0.2284193548	155	$35.40
13:33:39	SELL	Yes	0.23	36	$8.31
13:29:33	SELL	Yes	0.23	50	$11.57
13:28:19	SELL	Yes	0.19	40	$7.60
13:28:01	SELL	No	0.744	20	$14.88
13:27:52	BUY	No	0.75	5	$3.75