PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

NIKEa

0x1229233bad2fd7462955c6383448904b5432df38

Realised P&L
$10.8k
Volume
$4.33M
Markets traded
438
Open portfolio
$61.3k

Can you copy this trader?

unrealisticMultiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar0.3%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded438
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
BlockerProfit concentration64.0% from one position
Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)70.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration9.5% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
09-17 02:00Will Lula win the most votes in the first round of the 2026 Brazil presidential election?SELL0.23$322.00
09-17 01:59Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?BUY0.457$16.64
09-17 01:38Will OpenAI's valuation hit (LOW) $500B by December 31?BUY0.94$187.90
09-17 01:31Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $6,000 by end of December?BUY0.9$85.17
09-17 01:11Will US unemployment reach at least 5.0% in 2026?BUY0.906$45.30
09-17 00:23Will Eduardo Paes win the Governor of Rio de Janeiro election?BUY0.833$399.52
09-17 00:02Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $3.0T by December 31?BUY0.71$269.64
09-17 00:01Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $1.75T by December 31?BUY0.13$116.01
09-17 00:01Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $1.5T by December 31?BUY0.06$180.00
09-16 23:59Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva qualify for Brazil's presidential runoff?SELL0.959$479.50
09-16 23:55Will the US federal government take a stake in Taiwan Semiconductor Manufacturing Company Limited?BUY0.84$16.80
09-16 23:49Will Sergio Moro win the Governor of Paraná election?SELL0.84$176.40
09-16 23:46Will Brazil’s Annual Inflation in 2026 be between 4.50% and 4.99%?SELL0.377$1.89
09-16 20:34Will US unemployment reach at least 6.0% in 2026?BUY0.94$73.32
09-16 20:26Will Lula win the most votes in the next Brazil presidential election from Sergipe?BUY0.9715714286$68.01