NIKEa
0x1229233bad2fd7462955c6383448904b5432df38
- Realised P&L
- $10.8k
- Volume
- $4.33M
- Markets traded
- 438
- Open portfolio
- $61.3k
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar0.3%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded438
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- BlockerProfit concentration64.0% from one position
- Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)70.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration9.5% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$6.3kat 0.646Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?
- +$3.5kat 0.006Will Michelle Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?
- +$1.8kat 0.421Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?
- +$850.92at 0.949Will the Workers' Party nominate Lula for President of Brazil by August 15?
- +$683.01at 0.395Will Cleitinho Azevedo win the 2026 Minas Gerais gubernatorial election?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-17 02:00 | Will Lula win the most votes in the first round of the 2026 Brazil presidential election? | SELL | 0.23 | $322.00 |
| 09-17 01:59 | Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? | BUY | 0.457 | $16.64 |
| 09-17 01:38 | Will OpenAI's valuation hit (LOW) $500B by December 31? | BUY | 0.94 | $187.90 |
| 09-17 01:31 | Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $6,000 by end of December? | BUY | 0.9 | $85.17 |
| 09-17 01:11 | Will US unemployment reach at least 5.0% in 2026? | BUY | 0.906 | $45.30 |
| 09-17 00:23 | Will Eduardo Paes win the Governor of Rio de Janeiro election? | BUY | 0.833 | $399.52 |
| 09-17 00:02 | Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $3.0T by December 31? | BUY | 0.71 | $269.64 |
| 09-17 00:01 | Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $1.75T by December 31? | BUY | 0.13 | $116.01 |
| 09-17 00:01 | Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $1.5T by December 31? | BUY | 0.06 | $180.00 |
| 09-16 23:59 | Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva qualify for Brazil's presidential runoff? | SELL | 0.959 | $479.50 |
| 09-16 23:55 | Will the US federal government take a stake in Taiwan Semiconductor Manufacturing Company Limited? | BUY | 0.84 | $16.80 |
| 09-16 23:49 | Will Sergio Moro win the Governor of Paraná election? | SELL | 0.84 | $176.40 |
| 09-16 23:46 | Will Brazil’s Annual Inflation in 2026 be between 4.50% and 4.99%? | SELL | 0.377 | $1.89 |
| 09-16 20:34 | Will US unemployment reach at least 6.0% in 2026? | BUY | 0.94 | $73.32 |
| 09-16 20:26 | Will Lula win the most votes in the next Brazil presidential election from Sergipe? | BUY | 0.9715714286 | $68.01 |