PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

InterestingUser

0xb1ca909e848cc24ec4e220ce1c453bc290c51705

Realised P&L
$865.1k
Volume
$20.80M
Markets traded
2,921
Open portfolio
$868.6k

Can you copy this trader?

plausibleNo blocker visible in the public data. That is a reason to backtest it, not a reason to follow it.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

ClearEdge per dollar4.2%
Wide enough that a copier's worse fill would not automatically erase it.
CautionMarkets traded2,921
High turnover. Following this needs automation and low latency, not judgement.
ClearProfit concentration23.1% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)58.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration9.0% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
09-17 03:42Will the Abgeordnetenhaus of Berlin have fewer than 143 seats after the 2026 election?BUY0.96$148.11
09-17 03:41Will the Abgeordnetenhaus of Berlin have 163 or more seats after the 2026 election?BUY0.4828781592$320.03
09-17 03:26Will the peak severe (S2+) drought coverage in Minas Gerais be 40% to 59.99%?BUY0.1173494386$61.98
09-17 03:23Will Apple be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?BUY0.1894585106$240.86
09-17 03:22Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?BUY0.3004642103$5.2k
09-17 02:29Will United Russia win between 280 and 294 seats in the next Russian State Duma election?SELL0.02$6.00
09-17 02:28Will United Russia win fewer than 280 seats in the next Russian State Duma election?BUY0.9789834468$16.5k
09-17 02:21Will Holtec Nuclear not IPO before November 2026?BUY0.8250996931$99.48
09-17 02:15Will Argentina's monthly inflation in September 2026 be between 1.6% and 1.8%?BUY0.614109589$44.83
09-17 02:14Will Argentina's monthly inflation in September 2026 be between 1.9% and 2.1%?BUY0.4551082357$74.21
09-17 02:12Will the Rhine River return to normal levels between September 15 and September 30, 2026?BUY0.938489155$1.0k
09-17 02:09Will China’s CPI increase by at least 1.1% over the 12 month period ending in September 2026?BUY0.1676225322$21.99
09-17 01:26Will Linke win the most seats in the 2026 Berlin state elections?BUY0.3457188234$15.6k
09-16 06:44Will South African inflation be greater than 5.0% in 2026?BUY0.3653939958$94.21
09-16 05:33Will the US add between 100k and 150k jobs in September?BUY0.15$111.27