PolyBot

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Traders

SnapElectionAvoider

0xb1ca909e848cc24ec4e220ce1c453bc290c51705

Realised P&L
$207.5k
Volume
$22.20M
Markets traded
3,602
Open portfolio
$361.1k

Can you copy this trader?

difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar0.9%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
CautionMarkets traded3,602
High turnover. Following this needs automation and low latency, not judgement.
ClearProfit concentration22.3% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)62.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration6.7% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will Gladyz Butanda Macías win the 2027 Michoacán Governor Election? · No0.7540.994$9.6k+$2.3k
Will Google have the best AI model at the end of December 2026? · Yes0.4020.535$8.3k+$2.1k
Will Gregory Nthatisi be the next mayor of Mangaung? · No0.4830.945$7.8k+$3.8k
Jack Lowden announced as next James Bond? · No0.7030.629$7.8k−$903.53
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31? · No0.3010.445$7.8k+$2.5k
US-Canada diplomatic agreement to lower tariffs by October 31? · No0.6510.970$7.6k+$2.5k
No one announced as next James Bond? · Yes0.1950.140$5.1k−$2.0k
Will Republicans win Alaska, Iowa, Kansas, Michigan, and Texas, and lose Maine and Ohio? · Yes0.0060.004$4.6k−$2.2k
Will Mikaela Waltersson be the next Regional Board Chair of Region Halland? · Yes0.6370.755$4.1k+$642.84
Will Eva Lindberg be the next Regional Board Chair of Region Gävleborg? · Yes0.4700.923$3.8k+$1.8k
Will Åsa Johansson be the next Regional Board Chair of Region Värmland? · Yes0.7230.906$3.4k+$684.51
Will Nkosindiphile Xhakaza be the next mayor of Ekurhuleni? · No0.6560.973$3.2k+$1.0k
Will Elber Requejo Sánchez win the next Chiclayo mayoral elections? · Yes0.0220.990$3.1k+$3.0k
Will Republican House incumbents not win in between four and six nominating elections in the 2026 cycle? · Yes0.8620.891$2.5k+$83.16
Will Rahm Emanuel win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? · Yes0.0150.015$2.4k+$19.88

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
11-01 00:10Will Republicans win Alaska, Iowa, Kansas, Michigan, and Texas, and lose Maine and Ohio?SELL0.006$0.60
11-01 00:02Will Republicans win Alaska, Iowa, Kansas, Michigan, and Texas, and lose Maine and Ohio?BUY0.006$6.4k
10-31 23:56Will Republicans win Alaska and Kansas, and lose Iowa, Maine, Michigan, Ohio, and Texas?BUY0.008$17.87
10-31 23:49Will Republicans win Alaska, Iowa, Kansas, Maine, Michigan, and Ohio, and lose Texas?BUY0.005$72.09
10-31 23:48Will Republicans win Alaska, Iowa, Kansas, Michigan, and Texas, and lose Maine and Ohio?BUY0.005$67.10
10-31 23:45Will Republicans win Alaska, Iowa, Kansas, Maine, and Ohio, and lose Michigan and Texas?BUY0.005$32.29
10-31 23:42Will Republicans win Iowa, Kansas, Michigan, Ohio, and Texas, and lose Alaska and Maine?BUY0.006$35.49
10-31 23:42Will Republicans win Iowa, Kansas, Michigan, Ohio, and Texas, and lose Alaska and Maine?BUY0.0040551977$73.47
10-31 23:40Will Republicans win Alaska, Iowa, Kansas, and Michigan, and lose Maine, Ohio, and Texas?BUY0.004$53.95
10-31 23:38Will Republicans win Iowa, Maine, and Texas, and lose Alaska, Kansas, Michigan, and Ohio?BUY0.004$56.72
10-31 23:33Will Republicans win Alaska, Iowa, Ohio, and Texas, and lose Kansas, Maine, and Michigan?BUY0.003$32.06
10-31 23:26Will Republicans win Maine and Michigan, and lose Alaska, Iowa, Kansas, Ohio, and Texas?BUY0.003$4.24
10-31 23:24Will Republicans win Alaska, Iowa, Maine, Michigan, Ohio, and Texas, and lose Kansas?BUY0.002$29.08
10-31 23:21Will Republicans win Alaska, Iowa, Maine, Ohio, and Texas, and lose Kansas and Michigan?BUY0.002$44.93
10-31 23:16Will Republicans win Alaska, Iowa, Maine, and Ohio, and lose Kansas, Michigan, and Texas?BUY0.002$24.40