InterestingUser
0xb1ca909e848cc24ec4e220ce1c453bc290c51705
- Realised P&L
- $865.1k
- Volume
- $20.80M
- Markets traded
- 2,921
- Open portfolio
- $868.6k
Can you copy this trader?
plausible — No blocker visible in the public data. That is a reason to backtest it, not a reason to follow it.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- ClearEdge per dollar4.2%
- Wide enough that a copier's worse fill would not automatically erase it.
- CautionMarkets traded2,921
- High turnover. Following this needs automation and low latency, not judgement.
- ClearProfit concentration23.1% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)58.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration9.0% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$147.6kat 0.027Will Daniel Ennis win the 2026 Dublin-central by-election?
- +$58.6kat 0.084Will Andy Burnham win the 2026 Makerfield by-election?
- +$25.1kat 0.044Will Bev Craig win the 2026 Greater Manchester Mayoral Election?
- +$24.6kat 0.500Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
- +$24.6kat 0.500Will Mike Pence win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-17 03:42 | Will the Abgeordnetenhaus of Berlin have fewer than 143 seats after the 2026 election? | BUY | 0.96 | $148.11 |
| 09-17 03:41 | Will the Abgeordnetenhaus of Berlin have 163 or more seats after the 2026 election? | BUY | 0.4828781592 | $320.03 |
| 09-17 03:26 | Will the peak severe (S2+) drought coverage in Minas Gerais be 40% to 59.99%? | BUY | 0.1173494386 | $61.98 |
| 09-17 03:23 | Will Apple be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31? | BUY | 0.1894585106 | $240.86 |
| 09-17 03:22 | Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31? | BUY | 0.3004642103 | $5.2k |
| 09-17 02:29 | Will United Russia win between 280 and 294 seats in the next Russian State Duma election? | SELL | 0.02 | $6.00 |
| 09-17 02:28 | Will United Russia win fewer than 280 seats in the next Russian State Duma election? | BUY | 0.9789834468 | $16.5k |
| 09-17 02:21 | Will Holtec Nuclear not IPO before November 2026? | BUY | 0.8250996931 | $99.48 |
| 09-17 02:15 | Will Argentina's monthly inflation in September 2026 be between 1.6% and 1.8%? | BUY | 0.614109589 | $44.83 |
| 09-17 02:14 | Will Argentina's monthly inflation in September 2026 be between 1.9% and 2.1%? | BUY | 0.4551082357 | $74.21 |
| 09-17 02:12 | Will the Rhine River return to normal levels between September 15 and September 30, 2026? | BUY | 0.938489155 | $1.0k |
| 09-17 02:09 | Will China’s CPI increase by at least 1.1% over the 12 month period ending in September 2026? | BUY | 0.1676225322 | $21.99 |
| 09-17 01:26 | Will Linke win the most seats in the 2026 Berlin state elections? | BUY | 0.3457188234 | $15.6k |
| 09-16 06:44 | Will South African inflation be greater than 5.0% in 2026? | BUY | 0.3653939958 | $94.21 |
| 09-16 05:33 | Will the US add between 100k and 150k jobs in September? | BUY | 0.15 | $111.27 |