PolyBot

Read-only · no wallet, no orders

Traders

JohnP92

0x9163b65317deaab8b3b681c5a7a5c261d99b82ae

Realised P&L
$9.7k
Volume
$1.03M
Markets traded
826
Open portfolio
$28.6k

Can you copy this trader?

difficultPossible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar0.9%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded826
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
CautionProfit concentration36.4% from one position
Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)40.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
CautionOpen concentration80.6% in top position
Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will Eric Trump win the 2028 US Presidential Election? · No0.5000.998$22.9k+$11.4k
Will Nithya Raman win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election? · Yes0.1350.380$569.25+$366.10
Will Steve Hilton win the California Governor Election in 2026? · No0.9230.936$468.25+$6.85
Will Renan Santos win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? · No0.8840.931$465.75+$23.55
Will Karen Bass win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election? · Yes0.6060.625$437.49+$13.13
Will Mike Mazzei win the 2026 Oklahoma Governor Republican primary election? · Yes0.8350.792$290.51$15.59
Will Renan Santos win the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? · No0.9580.985$228.80+$6.16
Will Xavier Becerra win the California Governor Election in 2026? · Yes0.5060.938$217.87+$100.23
Will Abdul El-Sayed win the Michigan Senate Democratic primary by 15–20%? · No0.6400.586$212.63$19.76
Will Trump's approval rating hit 35% in 2026? · No0.7370.635$190.50$30.50
Will Francesca Hong win the Wisconsin Democratic Governor primary by 25–30%? · No0.6870.725$181.53+$9.47
Kash Patel out by December 31? · No0.2100.740$175.38+$125.61
Will Nigel Farage win the 2026 Clacton by-election by between 40% and 60%? · No0.4490.363$163.57$38.62
Will Tom Steyer win the California Governor Election in 2026? · No0.7321.000$150.93+$40.34
Will Peggy Flanagan win the Minnesota Senate Democratic primary by 10–15%? · No0.6590.744$148.80+$17.00

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
08-04 06:50Will Abdul El-Sayed win the Michigan Senate Democratic primary by less than 5%?BUY0.023$0.47
08-04 06:47Will Abdul El-Sayed win the Michigan Senate Democratic primary by 15–20%?BUY0.5992$89.88
08-03 22:35Will Francesca Hong win the Wisconsin Democratic Governor primary by 25–30%?BUY0.6871890726$172.06
08-03 19:09Will Count Binface get second place in the Clacton by-election?BUY0.07$14.00
08-02 17:05Will Nigel Farage win the 2026 Clacton by-election by between 40% and 60%?BUY0.522$52.20
08-02 16:48Will Peggy Flanagan win the Minnesota Senate Democratic primary by 10–15%?BUY0.659$131.80
08-02 16:45Will Angie Craig be the Democratic nominee for Senate in Minnesota?BUY0.17$8.36
08-02 16:29Will Monty Fritts win the 2026 Tennessee Governor Republican primary election?BUY0.0161398319$5.88
08-02 16:02Will Abdul El-Sayed win Genesee County in the Michigan Senate Democratic primary?BUY0.7$105.00
07-31 07:31Will Abdul El-Sayed win the Michigan Senate Democratic primary by less than 5%?BUY0.0491198922$5.47
07-31 07:30Will Abdul El-Sayed win the Michigan Senate Democratic primary by 15–20%?BUY0.6745214114$137.82
07-31 07:29Will Abdul El-Sayed win the Michigan Senate Democratic primary by more than 25%?BUY0.098$8.04
07-31 07:25Will Adam Hamilton be the Democratic nominee for Senate in Kansas?BUY0.058989$29.49
07-31 07:21Will Philip Sarnecki win the Kansas Republican Governor primary by 5–10%?BUY0.012$1.75
07-31 07:19Will Ty Masterson win the Kansas Republican Governor primary by 20–25%?BUY0.0223600536$2.67