PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

Continue in Telegram — referral link

Traders

wozaitaibei

0xdad7bf909828fdb0f61afa40c0a269bb5daa005a

Realised P&L
$283.60
Volume
$54.8k
Markets traded
510
Open portfolio
$1.5k

Can you copy this trader?

difficultPossible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar0.5%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded510
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
ClearProfit concentration16.3% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)94.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration12.9% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will OpenAI not IPO by December 31, 2026? · Yes0.5150.963$182.88+$85.03
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the October 2026 meeting? · Yes0.2020.525$173.25+$106.52
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting? · Yes0.5900.475$156.75$37.95
Will there be between 14 and 16 earthquakes of magnitude 7.0 or higher worldwide in 2026? · Yes0.3730.485$72.75+$16.75
Will the minimum Arctic sea ice extent this summer be between 4.4m & 4.6m square kilometers? · Yes0.0710.973$63.21+$58.59
Will the upper bound of the target federal funds rate be 4.25% at the end of 2026? · Yes0.1410.535$50.87+$37.47
Will US GDP growth in 2026 be between 2.0% and 2.5%? · Yes0.1070.565$45.20+$36.65
Will United Russia win between 325 and 339 seats in the next Russian State Duma election? · Yes0.3440.415$43.58+$7.48
Will 1250 or more tornadoes occur in the United States in 2026? · Yes0.5860.905$40.73+$14.38
Will the S&P 500 have the best performance in 2026? · Yes0.4880.545$38.15+$4.00
Will there be between 17 and 19 earthquakes of magnitude 7.0 or higher worldwide in 2026? · Yes0.1760.240$36.00+$9.65
Will Argentina’s annual inflation in 2026 be between 30% and 34.9%? · Yes0.3230.522$33.93+$12.91
Will Argentina’s annual inflation in 2026 be between 25% and 29.9%? · Yes0.2170.465$30.23+$16.12
Will United Russia win between 340 and 354 seats in the next Russian State Duma election? · Yes0.2900.275$28.88$1.62
Will Nicolás Maduro be sentenced to no prison time? · Yes0.3700.515$28.32+$7.98

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
07-05 09:08Will Jack Doherty be sentenced to less than 2 years in prison?BUY0.024$0.12
07-05 09:08Will Jack Doherty be sentenced to at least 5 years in prison?BUY0.064$0.32
07-05 09:08Will Jack Doherty be sentenced to 2 to 5 years in prison?BUY0.061$0.30
07-05 09:08Will Jack Doherty be sentenced to no prison time?BUY0.82$4.10
07-05 09:04Will Jack Doherty be sentenced to 2 to 5 years in prison?BUY0.05035$0.25
07-05 09:04Will Jack Doherty be sentenced to no prison time?BUY0.836$4.18
07-05 09:04Will Jack Doherty be sentenced to less than 2 years in prison?BUY0.024$0.12
07-05 09:04Will Jack Doherty be sentenced to at least 5 years in prison?BUY0.064$0.32
07-05 01:38Will the Bank of Israel increase the Bank of Israel Interest Rate after the July decision?BUY0.001$0.01
07-05 01:38Will the Bank of Israel make no change to the Bank of Israel Interest Rate after the July decision?BUY0.02$0.10
07-05 01:38Will the Bank of Israel make no change to the Bank of Israel Interest Rate after the July decision?BUY0.02$0.10
07-05 01:38Will the Bank of Israel increase the Bank of Israel Interest Rate after the July decision?BUY0.001$0.01
07-05 01:38Will the Bank of Israel increase the Bank of Israel Interest Rate after the July decision?BUY0.001$0.01
07-05 01:38Will the Bank of Israel make no change to the Bank of Israel Interest Rate after the July decision?BUY0.02$0.10
07-05 01:38Will the Bank of Israel increase the Bank of Israel Interest Rate after the July decision?BUY0.001$0.01