PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

tachyo

0x5afc232925d007050a743153197bf0d694eb2995

Realised P&L
$-136.92
Volume
$108.7k
Markets traded
1,278
Open portfolio
$109.15

Can you copy this trader?

difficultPossible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-0.1%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
CautionMarkets traded1,278
High turnover. Following this needs automation and low latency, not judgement.
CautionProfit concentration47.3% from one position
Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)58.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration6.4% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
OpenAI IPO closing market cap above $1.4T? · Yes0.3000.745$7.00+$4.18
Will Pablo Picasso be #1 in global fine art auction turnover for 2026? · Yes0.4000.730$5.60+$2.53
Will Anthropic’s market cap be 1.8T or greater at market close on IPO day by December 31 2027? · Yes0.4000.785$5.48+$2.69
Will the median home value in the US be less than $419,000 on September 30? · Yes0.1000.521$5.21+$4.21
Will SPD win the third-most seats in the 2026 Berlin state elections? · No0.9860.994$4.97+$0.04
Will US GDP growth in 2026 be greater than 2.5%? · Yes0.1790.197$4.60+$0.41
Will the median home value in Miami be between $1,125,000 and $1,161,000 on September 30? · Yes0.3000.539$4.10+$1.82
Will Lady Gaga be the top artist in the US for 2026? · No0.9700.999$3.99+$0.11
Will the median home value in Austin Metro be between $462,000 and $470,000 on September 30? · No0.8000.999$3.21+$0.64
Will Shaun Deeb win the 2026 WSOP Player of the Year? · No0.7500.750$3.12$0.00
Will the median home value in the DC Metro be between $530,000 and $536,000 on September 30? · No0.9000.954$3.05+$0.17
Will Braga win the 2026-27 Primeira Liga Championship? · No0.9600.988$3.03+$0.09
Will Pedro Sánchez be the next Prime Minister of Spain? · No0.7500.854$3.00+$0.36
Will the median home value in Miami be between $1,089,000 and $1,125,000 on September 30? · Yes0.2500.175$2.87$1.23
Will Tom Holland be the #1 searched actor on Google this year? · No0.9000.873$2.79$0.09

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
08-01 00:03Will there be 80 or more average daily transits of the Strait of Hormuz on August 31?BUY0.95$1.90
07-31 12:18OpenAI IPO closing market cap above $1.4T?BUY0.3$2.82
07-31 10:13Will the median home value in Austin Metro be between $478,000 and $486,000 on September 30?BUY0.9389999739$2.05
07-31 07:03Dota 2: Yellow Submarine vs Execration - Game 2 WinnerBUY0.56$1.33
07-30 22:52Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 100-101°F on July 30?BUY0.53$2.12
07-30 21:45Will Braeden Caley win the 2026 North Vancouver—Capilano by-election?BUY0.2$1.73
07-30 11:24LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs Dplus KIA - Game 2 WinnerBUY0.7399999443$1.86
07-30 11:21Dota 2: PuckChamp vs Zero Tenacity - Game 2 WinnerBUY0.01$1.50
07-30 08:26Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 27°C on July 30?BUY0.48$1.14
07-30 06:06Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 25°C on August 1?BUY0.76$2.28
07-30 05:15Set 1 Winner: Svrcina vs DarderiBUY0.2$2.79
07-30 01:40Will Philip Sarnecki win the Kansas Republican Governor primary by less than 5%?BUY0.8$1.65
07-29 20:31Counter-Strike: MIBR vs largadosypelados - Map 2 WinnerBUY0.3699999213$2.35
07-29 19:17LoL: DIA Ozarox Esports vs Team Phoenix - Game 2 WinnerBUY0.1033333333$1.55
07-29 16:11Map Handicap: TL (-1.5) vs GIANTX (+1.5)BUY0.32$1.24