PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

Continue in Telegram — referral link

Traders

0x3a9dad53d474a9f80b5550f12b77b41b5e7bf332

0x3a9dad53d474a9f80b5550f12b77b41b5e7bf332

Realised P&L
$-767.65
Volume
$69.0k
Markets traded
643
Open portfolio
$7.7k

Can you copy this trader?

difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-1.1%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded643
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
ClearProfit concentration20.6% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)98.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration7.8% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will there be 1-3 hurricanes during the Atlantic Hurricane Season in 2026? · Yes0.3270.848$429.03+$263.63
Will there be 20 to 34 West Nile neuroinvasive disease cases among NYC residents in 2026? · Yes0.2380.681$365.01+$237.72
Will Pablo Picasso be #1 in global fine art auction turnover for 2026? · Yes0.6000.895$337.95+$111.54
Will Nicolás Maduro be sentenced to no prison time? · Yes0.6090.450$237.16−$83.74
Reserve Bank of Australia increases interest rates by 25 bps at the November 2026 meeting? · Yes0.2640.920$211.61+$150.91
Will no Millennium Prize Problem be solved by AI by December 31, 2027? · Yes0.1630.375$199.29+$112.85
Will Nicolás Maduro be sentenced to at least 60 years in prison? · Yes0.2320.350$184.45+$62.25
Will another city host the final of the 2030 FIFA World Cup? · Yes0.4100.465$178.11+$21.07
Will Robinhood be first to list tokenized stocks in the US? · Yes0.4730.330$177.87−$77.14
Will there be 35 to 49 West Nile neuroinvasive disease cases among NYC residents in 2026? · Yes0.5510.288$154.46−$140.68
Will Discord not IPO by December 31, 2027? · Yes0.4740.664$152.27+$43.66
Will the Chiefs win the season series against the Chargers during the 2026-27 NFL regular season? · Yes0.2090.625$130.19+$86.65
Will the Yang-Mills existence and mass gap problem be the next Millennium Prize Problem solved by AI? · Yes0.0070.208$125.01+$120.83
Reserve Bank of New Zealand increases interest rates by 25 bps at the December 2026 meeting? · Yes0.4820.710$122.04+$39.21
Will none of the listed platforms list tokenized stocks in the US by December 31, 2027? · Yes0.1050.211$114.03+$57.47

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
10-11 14:16Will Likud win 25-29 seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?BUY0.27$8.64
10-11 14:16Will Likud win 30-34 seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?BUY0.1199999983$2.84
10-11 14:16Will Likud win 20-24 seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?BUY0.4$12.90
10-11 14:16Will Likud win fewer than 20 seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?BUY0.1479999964$4.55
10-11 14:14Will Likud win 35 or more seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?BUY0.0298620081$1.24
10-11 14:14Will Likud win 30-34 seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?BUY0.12$1.02
10-11 09:08Will the lowest 2026 Great Salt Lake elevation be 4,189.3 or 4,189.4 ft?BUY0.5016550349$15.09
10-11 09:08Will the lowest 2026 Great Salt Lake elevation be 4,189.7 ft or more?BUY0.0333979935$1.19
10-11 09:08Will the lowest 2026 Great Salt Lake elevation be below 4,189.3 ft?BUY0.092$2.76
10-11 09:08Will the lowest 2026 Great Salt Lake elevation be 4,189.5 or 4,189.6 ft?BUY0.32$9.60
10-10 20:37Will "The Social Reckoning" Opening Weekend Box Office be less than 5m?BUY0.74$7.40
10-10 20:24Chicago White Sox to win the 1st inning?BUY0.2099999971$12.84
10-10 20:24Chicago White Sox vs. Cleveland Guardians: 1st inning tied?BUY0.4299999988$25.97
10-10 20:24Cleveland Guardians to win the 1st inning?BUY0.2599999993$15.95
10-10 20:22Will "The Social Reckoning" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 5m and 7m?BUY0.23$2.30