0x3a9dad53d474a9f80b5550f12b77b41b5e7bf332
0x3a9dad53d474a9f80b5550f12b77b41b5e7bf332
- Realised P&L
- $-767.65
- Volume
- $69.0k
- Markets traded
- 643
- Open portfolio
- $7.7k
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-1.1%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded643
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration20.6% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)98.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration7.8% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$360.17at 0.280Will Likud win 25-29 seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?
- +$236.11at 0.368Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in the United States by September 30, 2026?
- +$200.31at 0.233Will "Hacks" win 0 or 1 awards at the Emmys?
- +$171.41at 0.494Will there be between 25 and 29 average daily transits of the Bab el-Mandeb Strait on September 30?
- +$125.47at 0.333Will 190-209 ships transit the Bab el-Mandeb Strait between September 28-October 4?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-11 14:16 | Will Likud win 25-29 seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election? | BUY | 0.27 | $8.64 |
| 10-11 14:16 | Will Likud win 30-34 seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election? | BUY | 0.1199999983 | $2.84 |
| 10-11 14:16 | Will Likud win 20-24 seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election? | BUY | 0.4 | $12.90 |
| 10-11 14:16 | Will Likud win fewer than 20 seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election? | BUY | 0.1479999964 | $4.55 |
| 10-11 14:14 | Will Likud win 35 or more seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election? | BUY | 0.0298620081 | $1.24 |
| 10-11 14:14 | Will Likud win 30-34 seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election? | BUY | 0.12 | $1.02 |
| 10-11 09:08 | Will the lowest 2026 Great Salt Lake elevation be 4,189.3 or 4,189.4 ft? | BUY | 0.5016550349 | $15.09 |
| 10-11 09:08 | Will the lowest 2026 Great Salt Lake elevation be 4,189.7 ft or more? | BUY | 0.0333979935 | $1.19 |
| 10-11 09:08 | Will the lowest 2026 Great Salt Lake elevation be below 4,189.3 ft? | BUY | 0.092 | $2.76 |
| 10-11 09:08 | Will the lowest 2026 Great Salt Lake elevation be 4,189.5 or 4,189.6 ft? | BUY | 0.32 | $9.60 |
| 10-10 20:37 | Will "The Social Reckoning" Opening Weekend Box Office be less than 5m? | BUY | 0.74 | $7.40 |
| 10-10 20:24 | Chicago White Sox to win the 1st inning? | BUY | 0.2099999971 | $12.84 |
| 10-10 20:24 | Chicago White Sox vs. Cleveland Guardians: 1st inning tied? | BUY | 0.4299999988 | $25.97 |
| 10-10 20:24 | Cleveland Guardians to win the 1st inning? | BUY | 0.2599999993 | $15.95 |
| 10-10 20:22 | Will "The Social Reckoning" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 5m and 7m? | BUY | 0.23 | $2.30 |