PolyBot

Read-only · no wallet, no orders

Traders

xiaoaojiang

0x519556f235d1f76572211b03862f54ca178644eb

Realised P&L
$249.39
Volume
$53.0k
Markets traded
678
Open portfolio
$7.0k

Can you copy this trader?

difficultPossible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar0.5%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded678
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
ClearProfit concentration16.6% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample41 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)100.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration15.9% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will the ECB announce a 25 bps increase at the September 2026 meeting? · Yes0.7560.875$905.63+$122.64
No change in Reserve Bank of Australia's interest rates at the August 2026 meeting? · Yes0.7810.993$352.34+$74.90
Will there be between 0 and 20 average daily transits of the Strait of Hormuz on July 31? · Yes0.1580.991$341.72+$287.18
Will the Bank of Brazil decrease the target for the Selic rate by 25 bps at the August meeting? · Yes0.8300.982$289.54+$44.62
Will the Bank of Brazil decrease the target for the Selic rate by 25 bps at the September meeting? · Yes0.4640.761$232.26+$90.72
Will the Bank of Russia make no change to the key rate after the September Meeting? · Yes0.5450.630$189.86+$25.47
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting? · Yes0.6600.685$188.38+$6.98
No change in Bank of England’s interest rates after September 2026 meeting? · Yes0.7550.915$183.00+$31.90
Will no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026? · Yes0.7950.887$181.94+$18.99
No change in Bank of Mexico’s interest rates after August 2026 meeting? · Yes0.8840.977$161.20+$15.32
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting? · Yes0.4230.565$144.05+$36.20
Will Nigel Farage win the 2026 Clacton by-election by between 40% and 60%? · Yes0.4460.588$120.54+$29.17
Will the Bank of Russia decrease the key rate after the September Meeting? · Yes0.3100.365$111.33+$16.83
Will the ECB announce no change at the September 2026 meeting? · Yes0.1560.105$108.67$52.66
Will UK annual GDP growth in 2026 be between 1% and 2%? · Yes0.5140.697$107.96+$28.30

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
08-02 22:16Will UK annual GDP growth in 2026 be between 3% and 4%?BUY0.017$0.09
08-02 22:16Will UK annual GDP growth in 2026 be between 4% and 5%?BUY0.004$0.02
08-02 22:16Will UK annual GDP growth in 2026 be 5% or higher?BUY0.006$0.03
08-02 22:16Will UK annual GDP growth in 2026 be between 2% and 3%?BUY0.065$0.33
08-02 22:16Will UK annual GDP growth in 2026 be below 0%?BUY0.087$0.43
08-02 22:16Will UK annual GDP growth in 2026 be between 0% and 1%?BUY0.07$0.35
08-02 22:16Will UK annual GDP growth in 2026 be between 1% and 2%?BUY0.7$3.50
08-02 22:16Will UK annual GDP growth in 2026 be between 3% and 4%?BUY0.017$0.09
08-02 22:16Will UK annual GDP growth in 2026 be between 4% and 5%?BUY0.004$0.02
08-02 22:16Will UK annual GDP growth in 2026 be 5% or higher?BUY0.006$0.03
08-02 22:16Will UK annual GDP growth in 2026 be between 2% and 3%?BUY0.065$0.33
08-02 22:16Will UK annual GDP growth in 2026 be between 0% and 1%?BUY0.07$0.35
08-02 22:16Will UK annual GDP growth in 2026 be below 0%?BUY0.087$0.43
08-02 22:16Will UK annual GDP growth in 2026 be between 1% and 2%?BUY0.7$3.50
08-02 22:15Will UK annual GDP growth in 2026 be between 3% and 4%?BUY0.017$0.09