xiaoaojiang
0x519556f235d1f76572211b03862f54ca178644eb
- Realised P&L
- $249.39
- Volume
- $53.0k
- Markets traded
- 678
- Open portfolio
- $7.0k
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar0.5%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded678
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration16.6% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample41 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)100.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration15.9% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$152.49at 0.455Will fewer than 150 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between July 6-July 12?
- +$112.04at 0.277Will the Bank of Russia decrease the key rate after the July Meeting?
- +$85.59at 0.144Will "Toy Story 5" 4th Weekend Box Office be between 19m and 21m?
- +$80.94at 0.048Will Claude go down 12+ times in July?
- +$74.79at 0.120Will three people dissent the July Fed decision?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08-02 22:16 | Will UK annual GDP growth in 2026 be between 3% and 4%? | BUY | 0.017 | $0.09 |
| 08-02 22:16 | Will UK annual GDP growth in 2026 be between 4% and 5%? | BUY | 0.004 | $0.02 |
| 08-02 22:16 | Will UK annual GDP growth in 2026 be 5% or higher? | BUY | 0.006 | $0.03 |
| 08-02 22:16 | Will UK annual GDP growth in 2026 be between 2% and 3%? | BUY | 0.065 | $0.33 |
| 08-02 22:16 | Will UK annual GDP growth in 2026 be below 0%? | BUY | 0.087 | $0.43 |
| 08-02 22:16 | Will UK annual GDP growth in 2026 be between 0% and 1%? | BUY | 0.07 | $0.35 |
| 08-02 22:16 | Will UK annual GDP growth in 2026 be between 1% and 2%? | BUY | 0.7 | $3.50 |
| 08-02 22:16 | Will UK annual GDP growth in 2026 be between 3% and 4%? | BUY | 0.017 | $0.09 |
| 08-02 22:16 | Will UK annual GDP growth in 2026 be between 4% and 5%? | BUY | 0.004 | $0.02 |
| 08-02 22:16 | Will UK annual GDP growth in 2026 be 5% or higher? | BUY | 0.006 | $0.03 |
| 08-02 22:16 | Will UK annual GDP growth in 2026 be between 2% and 3%? | BUY | 0.065 | $0.33 |
| 08-02 22:16 | Will UK annual GDP growth in 2026 be between 0% and 1%? | BUY | 0.07 | $0.35 |
| 08-02 22:16 | Will UK annual GDP growth in 2026 be below 0%? | BUY | 0.087 | $0.43 |
| 08-02 22:16 | Will UK annual GDP growth in 2026 be between 1% and 2%? | BUY | 0.7 | $3.50 |
| 08-02 22:15 | Will UK annual GDP growth in 2026 be between 3% and 4%? | BUY | 0.017 | $0.09 |