xiaoaojiang
0x519556f235d1f76572211b03862f54ca178644eb
- Realised P&L
- $-55.45
- Volume
- $66.1k
- Markets traded
- 703
- Open portfolio
- $3.8k
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.1%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded703
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration11.2% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)88.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration9.8% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$290.45at 0.158Will there be between 0 and 20 average daily transits of the Strait of Hormuz on July 31?
- +$243.45at 0.765Will the ECB announce a 25 bps increase at the September 2026 meeting?
- +$212.21at 0.652Will the People’s Bank of China not change rates by September 30?
- +$182.89at 0.108Will Nigel Farage win the 2026 Clacton by-election by between 20% and 40%?
- +$170.22at 0.514Will the Bank of Brazil decrease the target for the Selic rate by 25 bps at the September meeting?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08-13 06:15 | Will Eurozone annual GDP growth in 2026 be between 5.0% and 6.0%? | BUY | 0.003 | $0.01 |
| 08-13 06:15 | Will Eurozone annual GDP growth in 2026 be between 3.0% and 4.0%? | BUY | 0.003 | $0.01 |
| 08-13 06:15 | Will Eurozone annual GDP growth in 2026 be between 6.0% and 7.0%? | BUY | 0.007 | $0.04 |
| 08-13 06:15 | Will Eurozone annual GDP growth in 2026 be between 2.0% and 3.0%? | BUY | 0.044 | $0.22 |
| 08-13 06:15 | Will Eurozone annual GDP growth in 2026 be at least 7.0%? | BUY | 0.003 | $0.01 |
| 08-13 06:15 | Will Eurozone annual GDP growth in 2026 be between 4.0% and 5.0%? | BUY | 0.066 | $0.33 |
| 08-13 06:15 | Will Eurozone annual GDP growth in 2026 be less than 0%? | BUY | 0.078 | $0.39 |
| 08-13 06:15 | Will Eurozone annual GDP growth in 2026 be between 0% and 1.0%? | BUY | 0.46 | $2.30 |
| 08-13 06:15 | Will Eurozone annual GDP growth in 2026 be between 1.0% and 2.0%? | BUY | 0.25 | $1.25 |
| 08-12 22:40 | Will UK annual GDP growth in 2026 be between 4% and 5%? | BUY | 0.003 | $0.01 |
| 08-12 22:40 | Will UK annual GDP growth in 2026 be between 3% and 4%? | BUY | 0.035 | $0.18 |
| 08-12 22:40 | Will UK annual GDP growth in 2026 be 5% or higher? | BUY | 0.004 | $0.02 |
| 08-12 22:40 | Will UK annual GDP growth in 2026 be below 0%? | BUY | 0.07 | $0.35 |
| 08-12 22:40 | Will UK annual GDP growth in 2026 be between 2% and 3%? | BUY | 0.1374 | $0.69 |
| 08-12 22:40 | Will UK annual GDP growth in 2026 be between 0% and 1%? | BUY | 0.24 | $1.20 |