PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

xiaoaojiang

0x519556f235d1f76572211b03862f54ca178644eb

Realised P&L
$-55.45
Volume
$66.1k
Markets traded
703
Open portfolio
$3.8k

Can you copy this trader?

difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-0.1%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded703
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
ClearProfit concentration11.2% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)88.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration9.8% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will 2026 be the hottest year on record? · Yes0.5940.895$326.68+$109.68
Will the Eurozone's 2026 Annual Inflation be at least 3.1%? · Yes0.6430.818$302.48+$64.50
Will Strait of Hormuz traffic not return to normal in 2026? · Yes0.4830.885$265.50+$120.55
Will no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026? · Yes0.7950.967$198.13+$35.18
Will UK annual GDP growth in 2026 be between 1% and 2%? · Yes0.5400.861$185.01+$68.82
Will the Labour Party win 30-34 seats in the New Zealand House of Representatives in the 2026 New Zealand legislative election? · Yes0.0540.450$157.50+$138.60
Will SpaceX have between 140-159 launches in 2026? · Yes0.3520.698$150.07+$74.44
Will Waymo operate in 12-15 cities on December 31 2026? · Yes0.1020.517$131.84+$105.85
Will Republicans win 2 Senate and Governor elections in states won by Kamala? · Yes0.2700.445$115.70+$45.53
Will the Labour Party win 35-39 seats in the New Zealand House of Representatives in the 2026 New Zealand legislative election? · Yes0.2900.320$112.00+$10.61
Will 2 Fed rate hikes happen in 2026? · Yes0.1860.725$87.00+$64.65
Will India’s 2026 Annual Inflation be at least 4.50%? · Yes0.5070.954$81.09+$37.99
Will South Korea’s 2026 Annual Inflation be at least 3.0%? · Yes0.2020.444$73.26+$39.98
Will South Korea’s 2026 Annual Inflation be between 2.7% and 2.9%? · Yes0.3080.425$70.21+$19.38
Will Republicans win 3 Senate and Governor elections in states won by Kamala? · Yes0.2290.266$69.16+$9.53

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
08-13 06:15Will Eurozone annual GDP growth in 2026 be between 5.0% and 6.0%?BUY0.003$0.01
08-13 06:15Will Eurozone annual GDP growth in 2026 be between 3.0% and 4.0%?BUY0.003$0.01
08-13 06:15Will Eurozone annual GDP growth in 2026 be between 6.0% and 7.0%?BUY0.007$0.04
08-13 06:15Will Eurozone annual GDP growth in 2026 be between 2.0% and 3.0%?BUY0.044$0.22
08-13 06:15Will Eurozone annual GDP growth in 2026 be at least 7.0%?BUY0.003$0.01
08-13 06:15Will Eurozone annual GDP growth in 2026 be between 4.0% and 5.0%?BUY0.066$0.33
08-13 06:15Will Eurozone annual GDP growth in 2026 be less than 0%?BUY0.078$0.39
08-13 06:15Will Eurozone annual GDP growth in 2026 be between 0% and 1.0%?BUY0.46$2.30
08-13 06:15Will Eurozone annual GDP growth in 2026 be between 1.0% and 2.0%?BUY0.25$1.25
08-12 22:40Will UK annual GDP growth in 2026 be between 4% and 5%?BUY0.003$0.01
08-12 22:40Will UK annual GDP growth in 2026 be between 3% and 4%?BUY0.035$0.18
08-12 22:40Will UK annual GDP growth in 2026 be 5% or higher?BUY0.004$0.02
08-12 22:40Will UK annual GDP growth in 2026 be below 0%?BUY0.07$0.35
08-12 22:40Will UK annual GDP growth in 2026 be between 2% and 3%?BUY0.1374$0.69
08-12 22:40Will UK annual GDP growth in 2026 be between 0% and 1%?BUY0.24$1.20